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My methods for timeline calculations are constantly improving, being refined. I am learning as I go and encounter different types of problems, and have learned from the rewriting of this blog for future problems. So, the method is not perfect. However, the results are pretty much as desired. At some point, I may further improve the blog with a further refined method and further accuracy with times as well as just dates, but for now, this will more than suffice.

Preamble

Pistol Pete's file says his body was found in the river on "4/13/1987". According to this and this, he was probably killed about a week earlier, so around April 6, 1987. Using April 6, 1987 as a firm date.

If an actor appeared in fewer than the majority of the episodes in a season, their individual episodes will be included in calculations. If they appear in the majority of the episodes, they will just be treated as part of the season as a whole, for sake of ease.

The events to be dated, in approximate initial guess at chronological order, are:

  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth
  • Pop's Date of Birth
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth
  • Mariah's Date of Birth
  • Donovan's Date of Birth
  • Anansi's Date of Birth
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth
  • Reva's Date of Birth
  • Nandi's Date of Birth
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
  • Misty's Date of Birth
  • Tilda's Date of Birth
  • "Two Years Later"
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
  • Pop's Arrest
  • Bert's Date of Birth

First Pass

Evidence

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

LATANYA RICHARDSON JACKSON

  • LaTanya Richardson Jackson plays Mama Mabel in Marvel's Luke Cage in three flashbacks, one on April 6, 1987 and two not firmly dated. Just dealing with the firm April 6, 1987 date here, in Manifest. Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 1 filmed roughly August 18, 2015-roughly March 16, 2016, so the middle of filming for Episode 7 would be roughly August 18, 2015 + 211 days × (6.5 ÷ 13) = December 1.5, 2015. Richardson Jackson was born on October 21, 1949, making her approximately 24,147.5 days old at the middle of filming. Working back, this would place Mama Mabel's date of birth around February 23.5, 1921.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: February 23.5, 1921.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years. This is only one of three parts to Richardson Jackson's age contributing as a factor. Two where she was 66.11225, in Manifest, and one from The Creator. Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2 filmed June 6, 2017-November 19, 2017, so the middle of filming for Episode 11 would be roughly June 6, 2017 + 166 days × (10.5 ÷ 13) = October 18.07692, 2017, making her approximately 24,834.07692 days old at the middle of filming, 67.99200. So, using the usual weighted average system, this accounts for (1 ÷ 66.11225) ÷ ((1 ÷ 66.11225) + (1 ÷ 66.11225) + (1 ÷ 67.99200)) = 0.33643 of the "Richardson Jackson's age" factor. (4 ÷ age in years) × 0.33643, i.e. 1.34574 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • February 23.5, 1921, weight 1.34574 ÷ ((66.11225 × (1 ÷ 66.11225) + 66.11225 × (1 ÷ 66.11225) + 67.99200 × (1 ÷ 67.99200)) ÷ ((1 ÷ 66.11225) + (1 ÷ 66.11225) + (1 ÷ 67.99200))) = 0.02017.

Overall Result

February 23.5, 1921. Weight 0.02017.

Pop's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

FRANKIE FAISON

  • Frankie Faison plays Pop in Marvel's Luke Cage in two episodes: Moment of Truth, for which the midpoint is November 5, 2015, and Code of the Streets, for which the midpoint is November 6, 2015, so the middle is November 5.5, 2015. Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 1 filmed roughly August 18, 2015-roughly March 16, 2016, so the middle of filming for Episodes 1 and 2 would be roughly August 18, 2015 + 211 days × (((0.5 + 1.5) ÷ 2) ÷ 13) = September 3.23077, 2015. Faison was born on June 10, 1949, making him approximately 24,191.23077 days old at the middle of filming. Working back, this would place Mama Mabel's date of birth around August 11.76923, 1949.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: August 11.76923, 1949.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • August 11.76923, 1949, weight 4 ÷ (24,191.23077 ÷ 365.25) = 0.06039.

Overall Result

August 11.76923, 1949. Weight 0.06039.

Ridenhour's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

PETER JAY FERNANDEZ

  • Peter Jay Fernandez plays Tom Ridenhour in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2, for which the midpoint is August 29, 2017. Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2 filmed June 6, 2017-November 19, 2017, so the middle of filming would be August 28, 2017. Fernandez was born on August 15, 1953, making him approximately 23,389 days old at the middle of filming. Working back, this would place Ridenhour's date of birth around August 16, 1953.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: August 16, 1953.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • August 16, 1953, weight 4 ÷ (23,389 ÷ 365.25) = 0.06247.

KARLA 35 YEARS

  • On August 28, 2017, in The Basement, Ridenhour and Dillard have a conversation. Dillard: "I am not that shy girl you held hands with in the ninth grade." Ridenhour: "Ninth, tenth, and eleventh. You don't remember?" Dillard: "I never forget. And then there was Karla, and that was that. It's been 30 years?" Ridenhour: "35. I'll give her your regards." So, Ridenhour was in eleventh grade or older 35 years ago.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: 35 years prior to August 28, 2017 = ([August 28, 1982] × 2 + [July 2, 1982] × 1) ÷ (2 + 1) = August 9, 1982. So, he has likely been with Karla since around August 9, 1982. Assuming this was some months after his relationship with Dillard ended in eleventh grade (the implication being that Karla came next at school), that would put Ridenhour in eleventh grade in the 1981-1982 school year. Going by the New York system, this would make him born in 1965. So, roughly July 2, 1965.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory dialogue. Value: 3000.
      • Absolute earliest interpretation: Ridenhour and Karla only got together many years after he broke up with Dillard, so using the earliest Ridenhour's date of birth can be, using Alfre Woodard's age and that he was likely the same year, so absolute earliest January 1, 1952.
      • Earliest possible interpretation: The same, January 1, 1952.
      • Earliest realistic interpretation: Ridenhour got together with Karla at the end of school, twelfth grade, and this was actually 36 years ago, he's just rounding 35, mid-1981. So, he was twelfth grade in the 1980-1981 school year, making him, by the New York system, born in 1963. The earliest for that is then January 1, 1963.
      • Latest realistic interpretation: Ridenhour got together with Karla 34 years ago, he's just rounding to 35, around 1983. Using late 1983 to then allow that to be the beginning of eleventh grade, having just broken up with Dillard also at the beginning of eleventh grade, so he was eleventh grade in the 1983-1984 school year, born 1967. The latest for that is then December 31, 1967.
      • Latest possible interpretation: Ridenhour got together with Karla 33 years ago, he's just rounding a fair amount to 35, around 1984. Using late 1984 to then allow that to be the beginning of eleventh grade, having just broken up with Dillard also at the beginning of eleventh grade, so he was eleventh grade in the 1984-1985 school year, born 1968. The latest for that is then December 31, 1968.
      • Absolute latest interpretation: Ridenhour got together with Karla 32.5 years ago and he's rounding up generously. However, this would be February 1985, still the 1984-1985 school year, so the same result, December 31, 1968.
        • (([January 1, 1952] × 1 + [January 1, 1952] × 2 + [January 1, 1963] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([December 31, 1967] × 4 + [December 31, 1968] × 2 + [December 31, 1968] × 1) ÷ 7) = April 15, 1958 to June 4.85714, 1968 = 3703.85714 days of leniency. July 2, 1965, weight 3000 ÷ 3703.85714 = 0.80997.

Overall Result

([August 16, 1953] × 0.06247 + [July 2, 1965] × 0.80997) ÷ (0.06247 + 0.80997) = August 25.38281, 1964. Weight 0.06247 + 0.80997 = 0.87244.

Mariah's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

MEGAN MILLER

  • Megan Miller plays Mariah Dillard in Marvel's Luke Cage in two flashbacks in Manifest, one on April 6, 1987 and one not firmly dated. Just dealing with the firm April 6, 1987 date here. The middle of filming for Episode 7 would be roughly December 1.5, 2015 as established. Miller was born on March 4, 1986, making her approximately 10,864.5 days old (29.74538) at the middle of filming. Working back, this would place Mariah's date of birth around July 7.5, 1957.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: July 7.5, 1957.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years. This is only one of two parts to Miller's age contributing as a factor, but from the same episode/time of filming, meaning this is exactly half of the "Miller's age" factor. (4 ÷ age in years) × 0.5, i.e. 2 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • July 7.5, 1957, weight 2 ÷ 29.74538 = 0.06724.

ALFRE WOODARD

  • Alfre Woodard plays Mariah Dillard in Marvel's Luke Cage: Seasons 1 and 2, for which the midpoints are November 30, 2015 and August 29, 2017 respectively. The middle of filming for Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 1 was roughly December 1.5, 2015 as established and Season 2 was August 28, 2017 as established. Woodard was born on November 8, 1952, making her approximately 23,033.5 days old (63.06229) at the middle of filming for Season 1. Working back, this would place Mariah's date of birth around November 6.5, 1952. It would also make her approximately 23,669 days old (64.80219) at the middle of filming for Season 2. Working back, this would place Mariah's date of birth around November 9, 1952.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: ([November 6.5, 1952] × (1 ÷ 63.06229) + [November 9, 1952] × (1 ÷ 64.80219)) ÷ ((1 ÷ 63.06229) + (1 ÷ 64.80219)) = November 7.73299, 1952.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • November 7.73299, 1952, weight 4 ÷ ((63.06229 × (1 ÷ 63.06229) + 64.80219 × (1 ÷ 64.80219)) ÷ ((1 ÷ 63.06229) + (1 ÷ 64.80219))) = 0.06258.

Overall Result

([July 7.5, 1957] × 0.06724 + [November 7.73299, 1952] × 0.06258) ÷ (0.06724 + 0.06258) = April 8.67763, 1955. Weight 0.06247 + 0.06258 = 0.12505.

Donovan's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

DANNY JOHNSON

  • Danny Johnson plays Ben Donovan in Marvel's Daredevil: Season 2 in two episodes: Seven Minutes in Heaven, for which the midpoint is November 17, 2015, and The Man in the Box, for which the midpoint is November 18, 2015, so the average is November 17.5, 2015. He plays Donovan in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 1 in two episodes: Manifest, for which the midpoint is November 30, 2015, and Blowin' up the Spot, for which the midpoint is December 1, 2015, so the average is December 0.5, 2015. He plays Donovan in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2 in six episodes: Straighten It Out, for which the midpoint is August 23, 2017, I Get Physical, for which the midpoint is August 25, 2017, All Souled Out, for which the midpoint is August 28, 2017, If It Ain't Rough, It Ain't Right, for which the midpoint is August 30, 2017, The Main Ingredient, for which the midpoint is September 3, 2017, and They Reminisce Over You, for which the midpoint is September 8, 2017, so the average is ([August 23, 2017] + [August 25, 2017] + [August 28, 2017] + [August 30, 2017] + [September 3, 2017] + [September 8, 2017]) ÷ 6 = August 29.83333, 2017. He plays Donovan in Marvel's Daredevil: Season 3 in four episodes: Resurrection, for which the midpoint is September 25, 2017, No Good Deed, for which the midpoint is October 24, 2017, The Perfect Game, for which the midpoint is October 26, 2017, and Reunion, for which the midpoint is October 30, 2017, so the average is ([September 25, 2017] + [October 24, 2017] + [October 26, 2017] + [October 30, 2017]) ÷ 4 = October 18.75, 2017. Marvel's Daredevil: Season 2 filmed July 6, 2015-roughly December 16, 2015, so the middle of filming for Episodes 9 and 10 would be roughly July 6, 2015 + 163 days × (((8.5 + 9.5) ÷ 2) ÷ 13) = October 26.84615, 2015. Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 1 filmed roughly August 18, 2015-roughly March 16, 2016, so the middle of filming for Episodes 7 and 8 would be roughly August 18, 2015 + 211 days × (((6.5 + 7.5) ÷ 2) ÷ 13) = December 9.61539, 2015. Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2 filmed June 6, 2017-November 19, 2017, so the middle of filming for Episodes 2, 4, 5, 8, 10, and 13 would be roughly June 6, 2017 + 166 days × (((1.5 + 3.5 + 4.5 + 7.5 + 9.5 + 12.5) ÷ 6) ÷ 13) = August 28, 2017. Marvel's Daredevil: Season 3 filmed November 13, 2017-roughly May 18, 2018, so the middle of filming for Episodes 1, 3, 5, and 11 would be roughly November 13, 2017 + 186 days × (((0.5 + 2.5 + 4.5 + 10.5) ÷ 4) ÷ 13) = January 16.38462, 2018. Johnson was born on October 25, 1955, making him approximately 21,916.84615 days old (60.00505) at the middle of filming for Marvel's Daredevil: Season 2. Working back, this would place Donovan's date of birth around November 15.65385, 1955. It would also make him approximately 21,960.61539 days old (60.12489) at the middle of filming for Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 1. Working back, this would place Donovan's date of birth around October 23.5, 1955. It would also make him approximately 22,588 days old (61.84257) at the middle of filming for Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2. Working back, this would place Donovan's date of birth around October 26.83333, 1955. It would also make him approximately 22,729.38462 days old (62.22966) at the middle of filming for Marvel's Daredevil: Season 3. Working back, this would place Donovan's date of birth around July 27.36538, 1955.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: ([November 15.65385, 1955] × (1 ÷ 60.00505) × 2 + [October 23.5, 1955] × (1 ÷ 60.12489) × 2 + [October 26.83333, 1955] × (1 ÷ 61.84257) × 6 + [July 27.36538, 1955] × (1 ÷ 62.22966) × 4) ÷ ((1 ÷ 60.00505) × 2 + (1 ÷ 60.12489) × 2 + (1 ÷ 61.84257) × 6 + (1 ÷ 62.22966) × 4) = October 3.44680, 1955.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • October 3.44680, 1955, weight 4 ÷ ((60.00505 × (1 ÷ 60.00505) + 60.12489 × (1 ÷ 60.12489) + 61.84257 × (1 ÷ 61.84257) + 62.22966 × (1 ÷ 62.22966)) ÷ ((1 ÷ 60.00505) + (1 ÷ 60.12489) + (1 ÷ 61.84257) + (1 ÷ 62.22966))) = 0.06554.

Overall Result

October 3.44680, 1955. Weight 0.06554.

Anansi's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

SAHR NGAUJAH

  • Sahr Ngaujah plays Anansi in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2, for which the midpoint is August 29, 2017. The middle of filming for Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2 is established as August 28, 2017. Ngaujah was born around July 29.5, 1977, making him approximately 14,639.5 days old (40.08077) at the middle of filming. Working back, this would place Anansi's date of birth around July 30.5, 1977.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: July 30.5, 1977.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • July 30.5, 1977, weight (earliest possible date of birth January 28, 1977 so oldest possible 14,822 days) 4 ÷ (14,822 ÷ 365.25) = 0.09857.

Overall Result

July 30.5, 1977. Weight 0.09857.

Ingrid's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

HEATHER ALICIA SIMMS

  • Heather Alicia Simms plays Ingrid Mackintosh in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2, for which the midpoint is August 29, 2017. The middle of filming for Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2 is established as August 28, 2017. Simms was born on February 25, 1970, making her approximately 17,351 days old (47.50445) at the middle of filming. Working back, this would place Ingrid's date of birth around February 26, 1970.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: February 26, 1970.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • July 30.5, 1977, weight 4 ÷ 47.50445 = 0.08420.

Overall Result

February 26, 1970. Weight 0.08420.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

14 YEARS OLD

  • In Manifest, Cottonmouth says at the time he "was 14 years old" at the time of killing Pistol Pete, April 6, 1987.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: Approximating by him being halfway through 14 at April 6, 1987, October 5.5, 1986, so October 5.5, 1972.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory dialogue. Value: 3000.
      • Absolute earliest interpretation: Turning 15 tomorrow, April 7, 1987, so April 7, 1972.
      • Earliest possible interpretation: The same, April 7, 1972.
      • Earliest realistic interpretation: The same, April 7, 1972.
      • Latest realistic interpretation: The day after his 14th birthday (assuming it would come up if it were in fact his 14th birthday), so 14th birthday April 5, 1987, so April 5, 1973.
      • Latest possible interpretation: His 14th birthday on April 6, 1987, so April 6, 1973.
      • Absolute latest interpretation: The same, April 6, 1973.
        • April 7, 1972 to (([April 5, 1973] × 4 + [April 6, 1973] × 2 + [April 6, 1973] × 1) ÷ 7) = April 7, 1972 to April 5.42857, 1973 = 363.42857 days of leniency. October 5.5, 1972, weight 3000 ÷ 363.42857 = 8.25472.

ELIJAH BOOTHE

  • Elijah Boothe plays Cottonmouth in Marvel's Luke Cage in three flashbacks, one on April 6, 1987 and two not firmly dated. Just dealing with the firm April 6, 1987 date here, in Manifest. The middle of filming for Episode 7 would be roughly December 1.5, 2015 as established. Boothe was born on February 11, 1996, making him approximately 7233.5 days old (19.80424) at the middle of filming. Working back, this would place Cornell's date of birth around June 16.5, 1967.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: June 16.5, 1967.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years. This is only one of three parts to Boothe's age contributing as a factor. Two where he was 19.80287, in Manifest, and one from Code of the Streets. Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 1 filmed roughly August 18, 2015-roughly March 16, 2016, so the middle of filming for Episode 2 would be roughly August 18, 2015 + 211 days × (1.5 ÷ 13) = September 11.34615, 2015, making him approximately 7152.34615 days old (19.58206) at the middle of filming. So, using the usual weighted average system, this accounts for (1 ÷ 19.80424) ÷ ((1 ÷ 19.58206) + (1 ÷ 19.80424) + (1 ÷ 19.80424)) = 0.33208 of the "Boothe's age" factor. (4 ÷ age in years) × 0.33208, i.e. 1.32831 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • June 16.5, 1967, weight 1.32831 ÷ ((19.58206 × (1 ÷ 19.58206) + 19.80424 × (1 ÷ 19.80424) + 19.80424 × (1 ÷ 19.80424)) ÷ ((1 ÷ 19.58206) + (1 ÷ 19.80424) + (1 ÷ 19.80424))) = 0.06733.

MAHERSHALA ALI

  • Mahershala Ali plays Cottonmouth in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 1, for which the midpoint is November 30, 2015. The middle of filming for Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 1 is established as December 1.5, 2015. Ali was born on February 16, 1974, making him approximately 15,263.5 days old (41.78919) at the middle of filming. Working back, this would place Cottonmouth's date of birth around February 14.5, 1974.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: February 14.5, 1974.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • February 14.5, 1974, weight 4 ÷ 41.78919 = 0.09572.

Overall Result

([October 5.5, 1972] × 8.25472 + [June 16.5, 1967] × 0.06733 + [February 14.5, 1974] × 0.09572) ÷ (8.25472 + 0.06733 + 0.09572) = September 25.65028, 1972. Weight 8.25472 + 0.06733 + 0.09572 = 8.41777.

Sheldon's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

KEVIN MAMBO

  • Kevin Mambo plays Sheldon in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2, for which the midpoint is August 29, 2017. The middle of filming for Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2 is established as August 28, 2017. Mambo was born on June 29, 1972, making her approximately 16,496 days old (45.16359) at the middle of filming. Working back, this would place Sheldon's date of birth around June 30, 1972.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: June 30, 1972.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • June 30, 1972, weight 4 ÷ 45.16359 = 0.08858.

Overall Result

June 30, 1972. Weight 0.08858.

Bushmaster's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

MUSTAFA SHAKIR

  • Mustafa Shakir plays Bushmaster in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2, for which the midpoint is August 29, 2017. The middle of filming for Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2 is established as August 28, 2017. Shakir was born on August 21, 1976, making him approximately 14,982 days old (41.01848) at the middle of filming. Working back, this would place Sheldon's date of birth around August 22, 1976.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: August 22, 1976.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • August 22, 1976, weight 4 ÷ 41.01848 = 0.09752.

Overall Result

August 22, 1976. Weight 0.09752.

Reva's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

PARISA FITZ-HENLEY

  • Parisa Fitz-Henley plays Reva Connors in Marvel's Jessica Jones: Seasons 1 in flashbacks trickled through but likely filmed in one block, starting at AKA It's Called Whiskey, set January 20, 2014, in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 1 in flashbacks in Step in the Arena, the middle of the flashbacks being roughly April 9, 2013, and in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2 in a flashback in On and On, with her body as it was when she died on January 20, 2014. Marvel's Jessica Jones: Season 1 filmed February 5, 2015-roughly August 21, 2015, so the middle of filming for Episode 3 would be roughly February 5, 2015 + 197 days × (2.5 ÷ 13) = March 14.88462, 2015. Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 1 filmed roughly August 18, 2015-roughly March 16, 2016, so the middle of filming for Episode 4 would be roughly August 18, 2015 + 211 days × (3.5 ÷ 13) = October 13.80769, 2015. Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2 filmed June 6, 2017-November 19, 2017, so the middle of filming for Episode 7 would be roughly June 6, 2017 + 166 days × (6.5 ÷ 13) = August 28, 2017. Fitz-Henley was born on July 22, 1977, making her approximately 13,749.88462 days old (37.64513) at the middle of filming for AKA Crush Syndrome. Working back, this would place Reva's date of birth around May 29.11538, 1976. It would also make her approximately 13,962.80769 days old (38.22808) at the middle of filming for Step in the Arena. Working back, this would place Reva's date of birth around January 16.19231, 1975. It would also make her approximately 14,647 days old (40.10130) at the middle of filming for On and On. Working back, this would place Reva's date of birth around December 14, 1973.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: ([May 29.11538, 1976] × (1 ÷ 37.64513) + [January 16.19231, 1975] × (1 ÷ 38.22808) + [December 14, 1973] × (1 ÷ 40.10130)) ÷ ((1 ÷ 37.64513) + (1 ÷ 38.22808) + (1 ÷ 40.10130)) = February 27.99020, 1975.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • November 7.73299, 1952, weight 4 ÷ ((37.64513 × (1 ÷ 37.64513) + 38.22808 × (1 ÷ 38.22808) + 40.10130 × (1 ÷ 40.10130)) ÷ ((1 ÷ 37.64513) + (1 ÷ 38.22808) + (1 ÷ 40.10130))) = 0.10355.

Overall Result

February 27.99020, 1975. Weight 0.10355.

Nandi's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

ANTONIQUE SMITH

  • Antonique Smith plays Nandi in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2, for which the midpoint is August 29, 2017. The middle of filming for Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2 is established as August 28, 2017. Smith was born on August 11, 1983, making her approximately 12,436 days old (34.04791) at the middle of filming. Working back, this would place Nandi's date of birth around August 12, 1983.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: August 12, 1983.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • August 12, 1983, weight 4 ÷ 34.04791 = 0.11748.

Overall Result

August 12, 1983. Weight 0.11748.

"Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks

List of Evidence

MID 80'S [SIC]

  • In The Creator, these events are shown to be in the "mid 80's [sic]", the mid-1980s.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: The exact middle of the decade, so December 31, 1984.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory on-screen. Value: 6000.
      • Absolute earliest interpretation: Just after the ideal point for "early" 1980s (⅙ through the decade), and being very generous with "mid", just describing every point between the earliest and latest ⅙ of the decade, August 31.33333, 1981.
      • Earliest possible interpretation: First ⅓ "early", middle ⅓ "mid", final ⅓ "late", so ⅓ through the decade, May 2.16667, 1983.
      • Earliest realistic interpretation: First ⅕ comfortable "early", next ⅕ "early-to-mid", middle ⅕ comfortable "mid", next ⅕ "mid-to-late", final ⅕ comfortable "late", so ⅖ through the decade, January 0.7, 1984.
      • Latest realistic interpretation: First ⅕ comfortable "early", next ⅕ "early-to-mid", middle ⅕ comfortable "mid", next ⅕ "mid-to-late", final ⅕ comfortable "late", so ⅗ through the decade, December 31.3, 1985.
      • Latest possible interpretation: First ⅓ "early", middle ⅓ "mid", final ⅓ "late", so ⅔ through the decade, September 0.83333, 1986.
      • Absolute latest interpretation: Just before the ideal point for "late" 1980s (⅚ through the decade), and being very generous with "mid", just describing every point between the earliest and latest ⅙ of the decade, May 1.66667, 1988.
        • (([August 31.33333, 1981] × 1 + [May 2.16667, 1983] × 2 + [January 0.7, 1984] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([December 31.3, 1985] × 4 + [September 0.83333, 1986] × 2 + [May 1.66667, 1988] × 1) ÷ 7) = June 23.35238, 1983 to July 10.64762, 1986 = 1113.29524 days of leniency. December 31, 1984, weight 6000 ÷ 1113.29524 = 5.38941.

Overall Result

December 31, 1984. Weight 5.38941.

Misty's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

SIMONE MISSICK

  • Simone Missick plays Misty Knight in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 1, for which the midpoint is November 30, 2015, Marvel's The Defenders: Season 1, for which the midpoint is May 7, 2016, Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2, for which the midpoint is August 29, 2017, and Marvel's Iron Fist: Season 2, for which the midpoint is October 9, 2017. The middle of filming for Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 1 was roughly December 1.5, 2015 as established. Marvel's The Defenders: Season 1 filmed October 31, 2016-March 19, 2017, so the middle of filming was roughly January 8.5, 2017. The middle of filming for Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2 was roughly August 28, 2017. Marvel's Iron Fist: Season 2 filmed December 6, 2017-May 10, 2018, so the middle of filming was roughly February 21.5, 2018. Missick was born on January 19, 1982, making her approximately 12,369.5 days old (33.86585) at the middle of filming for Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 1. Working back, this would place Misty's date of birth around January 17.5, 1982. It would also make her approximately 12,773.5 days old (34.97194) at the middle of filming for Marvel's The Defenders: Season 1. Working back, this would place Misty's date of birth around May 17.5, 1981. It would also make her approximately 13,005 days old (35.60575) at the middle of filming for Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2. Working back, this would place Misty's date of birth around January 20, 1982. It would also make her approximately 13,182.5 days old (36.09172) at the middle of filming for Marvel's Iron Fist: Season 2. Working back, this would place Misty's date of birth around September 5.5, 1981.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: ([January 17.5, 1982] × (1 ÷ 33.86585) + [May 17.5, 1981] × (1 ÷ 34.97194) + [January 20, 1982] × (1 ÷ 35.60575) + [September 5.5, 1981] × (1 ÷ 36.09172)) ÷ ((1 ÷ 33.86585) + (1 ÷ 34.97194) + (1 ÷ 35.60575) + (1 ÷ 36.09172)) = October 16.02547, 1981.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • October 16.02547, 1981, weight 4 ÷ ((33.86585 × (1 ÷ 33.86585) + 34.97194 × (1 ÷ 34.97194) + 35.60575 × (1 ÷ 35.60575) + 36.09172 × (1 ÷ 36.09172)) ÷ ((1 ÷ 33.86585) + (1 ÷ 34.97194) + (1 ÷ 35.60575) + (1 ÷ 36.09172))) = 0.11392.

MIKE TYSON

  • In Wig Out, Misty says she "was 5" when Mike Tyson first lost, which was February 11, 1990.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: Approximating by her being halfway through 5 at February 11, 1990, so turned 5 around August 13, 1989, so August 13, 1984.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory dialogue. Value: 3000.
      • Absolute earliest interpretation: Turning 6 tomorrow, February 12, 1990, so February 12, 1984.
      • Earliest possible interpretation: The same, February 12, 1984.
      • Earliest realistic interpretation: The same, February 12, 1984.
      • Latest realistic interpretation: Her 5th birthday on February 11, 1990, so February 11, 1985.
      • Latest possible interpretation: The same, February 11, 1985.
      • Absolute latest interpretation: The same, February 11, 1985.
        • February 12, 1984 to February 11, 1985 = 365 days of leniency. August 13, 1984, weight 3000 ÷ 365 = 8.21918.

Overall Result

([October 16.02547, 1981] × 0.11392 + [August 13, 1984] × 8.21918) ÷ (0.11392 + 8.21918) = July 29.89210, 1984. Weight 0.11392 + 8.21918 = 8.33310.

Tilda's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

GABRIELLE DENNIS

  • Gabrielle Dennis plays Tilda in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2, for which the midpoint is August 29, 2017. The middle of filming for Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2 is established as August 28, 2017. Dennis was born on October 19, 1981, making her approximately 13,097 days old (35.85763) at the middle of filming. Working back, this would place Tilda's date of birth around October 20, 1981.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: October 20, 1981.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • October 20, 1981, weight 4 ÷ 35.85763 = 0.11155.

MABEL'S STROKE WHEN TILDA WAS 3

  • "They were so happy he wasn't gay, they didn't care how black my ass was. That's how bad the idea of a gay son was to them. They didn't care I already had a kid [...] What's one more lie? The gayness evaporated. It also gave you a good daddy and a hell of a role model [...] The second you were born, the Johnsons would raise you. You were already with them. I was already engaged to Jackson when Cornell killed Pete. Mabel had her first stroke when you were 3. As she withered, her influence wane. So, eventually, I was able to get you back." Mariah had already given birth to Tilda when she got together with Jackson, or at least by the time she married him. She then says that Tilda was already born and with the Johnsons when Pete was killed (so she wasn't pregnant when he was killed, she'd already had Tilda). She was engaged to Jackson at the time, so again, Tilda was definitely born by the time they got married (and ideally might have also been born before she even got together with Jackson, it's not really important). Mariah then continues the story, saying Tilda was 3 when Mabel had her first stroke. The fact that she's continuing the story implies chronological order - that Mabel's first stroke, when Tilda was 3, was after Pete's death, so Pete's death was less than 4 years after Tilda's birth, for her to still be 3 at a point after his death. This is further supported by the fact that Mariah goes on to say Mabel's influence waned after that, and with her seemingly still very influential at the time of Pete's death, again, it should be after. Sure, there's a chance that Pete's death was after the stroke, and Mabel was just having a good spell, but the overall strong implication is it was after Pete's death.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: The way Mariah speaks implies Tilda wasn't 3 when Pete was killed, so his death should be between when she was 0 and 2.99999, so born no later than April 5, 1987, no earlier than April 7, 1984, so roughly October 5.5, 1985.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory strong implication. Value: 2250.
      • Absolute earliest interpretation: Mabel had her first stroke later the same day of Pete's death, and Tilda was a day from turning 4, so turned 4 on April 7, 1987, so born April 7, 1983.
      • Earliest possible interpretation: Mabel had her first stroke as early as the day after Pete's death, and Tilda was a day from turning 4, so turned 4 on April 8, 1987, so born April 8, 1983.
      • Earliest realistic interpretation: Mariah talking about Pete's death and then saying Tilda was 3 when Mabel had her stroke implies she wasn't 3 when Pete died, otherwise it would be "you were 3 when Cornell killed Pete and then Mabel had her first stroke", implying she was no more than 2 when Pete was killed. So, no more than a day from turning 3, so turned 3 on April 7, 1987, so born April 7, 1984.
      • Latest realistic interpretation: It would seem that after Tilda was born, Mariah then met Jackson and they eventually got engaged, then while she was engaged, Cornell killed Pete. They could have got engaged fast, considering it wasn't for love, but still, there's at least 6 months or so in there, so October 7, 1986.
      • Latest possible interpretation: Tilda was born at least a few days before Cornell killed Pete, to give Mariah time to recover, April 3, 1987.
      • Absolute latest interpretation: Tilda was born the day before and delivered to the Johnsons, and Mariah recovered very fast, April 5, 1987.
        • (([April 7, 1983] × 1 + [April 8, 1983] × 2 + [April 7, 1984] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([October 7, 1986] × 4 + [April 3, 1987] × 2 + [April 5, 1987] × 1) ÷ 7) = November 2.42857, 1984 to December 22.57143, 1986 = 780.14286 days of leniency. October 5.5, 1985, weight 2250 ÷ 780.14286 = 2.88409.

Overall Result

([October 20, 1981] × 0.11155 + [October 5.5, 1985] × 2.88409) ÷ (0.11155 + 2.88409) = August 12.63603, 1985. Weight 0.11155 + 2.88409 = 2.99564.

Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's

List of Evidence

SOON BEFORE KILLING PETE

  • The flashback where Pop visits Mama Mabel includes Pistol Pete, but is presented not long before Cottonmouth kills him on April 6, 1987.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: About a month prior, so roughly March 6, 1987.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Order of events is undeniable, gap is an estimate. Value: 6000.
      • Absolute earliest interpretation: Elijah Boothe was 19.80424 during filming. There is no way, ever, that any actor playing a normal human can play less than ⁶/₁₁ their age (the smallest fraction of real actor age that does in fact occur in the MCU), so there is no world where Cornell is seen as less than 10.80231. We know Cornell is 14 when he kills Pete, so at the most he's 1 day from turning 15, 14.99726. So, maximum 4.19495 years, 1532 days, January 25, 1983.
      • Earliest possible interpretation: There is almost no way that any actor playing a normal human can play less than ⅗ their age, so there is no chance Cornell is seen as less than 11.88172. We know Cornell is 14 when he kills Pete, so at the most he's 1 day from turning 15, 14.99726. So, maximum 3.11554 years, 1138 days, February 23, 1984.
      • Earliest realistic interpretation: There is very little chance that any actor playing a normal human can play less than ⅔ their age, so there is almost no chance Cornell is seen as less than 13.20191. We know Cornell is 14 when he kills Pete, so at the most he's 1 day from turning 15, 14.99726. So, maximum 1.79535 years, 656 days, June 19, 1985.
      • Latest realistic interpretation: Just the day before he kills Pete, so April 5, 1987.
      • Latest possible interpretation: The same, April 5, 1987.
      • Absolute latest interpretation: Everyone gets changed for some reason and it's the same day, April 6, 1987.
        • (([January 25, 1983] × 1 + [February 23, 1984] × 2 + [June 19, 1985] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([April 5, 1987] × 4 + [April 5, 1987] × 2 + [April 6, 1987] × 1) ÷ 7) = September 29.14286, 1984 to April 5.14286, 1987 = 918 days of leniency. March 6, 1987, weight 6000 ÷ 918 = 6.53595.

Overall Result

March 6, 1987. Weight 6.53595.

Bert's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

STEPHEN HILL

  • Stephen Hill plays Bert Hunter in Marvel's Luke Cage in one episode: Just to Get a Rep, on November 20, 2015. Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 1 filmed roughly August 18, 2015-roughly March 16, 2016, so the middle of filming for Episode 5 would be roughly August 18, 2015 + 211 days × (4.5 ÷ 13) = October 30.03846, 2015. Hill was born on October 14, 1976 (1976, supported by at university from 1996-2000, October 14th (1, 2)), making him approximately 14,292.5 days old (39.13073) at the middle of filming. Working back, this would place Mama Mabel's date of birth around October 12.5, 1976.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: October 12.5, 1976.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • October 12.5, 1976, weight 4 ÷ 39.13073 = 0.10222.

Overall Result

October 12.5, 1976. Weight 0.10222.

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks

List of Evidence

LATANYA RICHARDSON JACKSON

  • LaTanya Richardson Jackson plays Mama Mabel in Marvel's Luke Cage in three flashbacks, as mentioned. Just dealing with the scene from The Creator here. As established, she was approximately 24,834.07692 days old (67.99200) at the middle of filming.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: 24,834.07692 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years. This is only one of three parts to Richardson Jackson's age contributing as a factor. Two where she was 66.11225, in Manifest, and one from The Creator, where she was 67.99200. So, using the usual weighted average system, this accounts for (1 ÷ 67.99200) ÷ ((1 ÷ 66.11225) + (1 ÷ 66.11225) + (1 ÷ 67.99200)) = 0.32713 of the "Richardson Jackson's age" factor. (4 ÷ age in years) × 0.32713, i.e. 1.30853 ÷ age in years.
      • Shortest interpretation: N/A.
      • Longest interpretation: N/A.
        • 24,834.07692 days, weight 1.30853 ÷ ((66.11225 × (1 ÷ 66.11225) + 66.11225 × (1 ÷ 66.11225) + 67.99200 × (1 ÷ 67.99200)) ÷ ((1 ÷ 66.11225) + (1 ÷ 66.11225) + (1 ÷ 67.99200))) = 0.01961.

Overall Result

24,834.07692 days. Weight 0.01961.

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's

List of Evidence

LATANYA RICHARDSON JACKSON

  • LaTanya Richardson Jackson plays Mama Mabel in Marvel's Luke Cage in three flashbacks, as mentioned. Just dealing with the scene from The Creator here. As established, she was approximately 24,147.5 days old (66.11225) at the middle of filming.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: 24,147.5 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years. This is only one of three parts to Richardson Jackson's age contributing as a factor. Two where she was 66.11225, in Manifest, and one from The Creator, where she was 67.99200. So, using the usual weighted average system, this accounts for (1 ÷ 66.11225) ÷ ((1 ÷ 66.11225) + (1 ÷ 66.11225) + (1 ÷ 67.99200)) = 0.33643 of the "Richardson Jackson's age" factor. (4 ÷ age in years) × 0.33643, i.e. 1.34572 ÷ age in years.
      • Shortest interpretation: N/A.
      • Longest interpretation: N/A.
        • 24,147.5 days, weight 1.34572 ÷ ((66.11225 × (1 ÷ 66.11225) + 66.11225 × (1 ÷ 66.11225) + 67.99200 × (1 ÷ 67.99200)) ÷ ((1 ÷ 66.11225) + (1 ÷ 66.11225) + (1 ÷ 67.99200))) = 0.02017.

Overall Result

24,147.5 days. Weight 0.02017.

Pop's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets

List of Evidence

EDWIN FREEMAN

  • Edwin Freeman plays Pop in Marvel's Luke Cage in two flashbacks, not firmly dated. Just dealing with the scene from Code of the Streets here. Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 1 filmed roughly August 18, 2015-roughly March 16, 2016, so the middle of filming for Episode 2 would be roughly August 18, 2015 + 211 days × (1.5 ÷ 13) = September 11.34615, 2015. Freeman was born on May 7, 1978, making her approximately 13,641.34615 days old (37.34797) at the middle of filming.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: 13,641.34615 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years. This is only one of two parts to Freeman's age contributing as a factor. One where he was 37.34797, in Code of the Streets, and one from Manifest, for which the middle of filming is established as December 1.5, 2015, making him approximately 13,722.5 days old (37.57016) at the middle of filming. So, using the usual weighted average system, this accounts for (1 ÷ 37.34797) ÷ ((1 ÷ 37.34797) + (1 ÷ 37.57016)) = 0.50148 of the "Freeman's age" factor. (4 ÷ age in years) × 0.50148, i.e. 2.00593 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • 13,641.34615 days, weight 2.00593 ÷ ((37.34797 × (1 ÷ 37.34797) + 37.57016 × (1 ÷ 37.57016)) ÷ ((1 ÷ 37.34797) + (1 ÷ 37.57016))) = 0.05355.

Overall Result

13,641.34615 days. Weight 0.05355.

Pop's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's

List of Evidence

EDWIN FREEMAN

  • Edwin Freeman plays Pop in Marvel's Luke Cage in two flashbacks, as mentioned. Just dealing with the scene from Manifest here. As established, he was approximately 13,722.5 days old (37.57016) at the middle of filming.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: 13,722.5 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years. This is only one of two parts to Freeman's age contributing as a factor. One where he was 37.34797, in Code of the Streets, and one where he was 37.57016, from Manifest. So, using the usual weighted average system, this accounts for (1 ÷ 37.57016) ÷ ((1 ÷ 37.34797) + (1 ÷ 37.57016)) = 0.49852 of the "Freeman's age" factor. (4 ÷ age in years) × 0.49852, i.e. 1.99407 ÷ age in years.
      • Shortest interpretation: N/A.
      • Longest interpretation: N/A.
        • 13,722.5 days, weight 1.99407 ÷ ((37.34797 × (1 ÷ 37.34797) + 37.57016 × (1 ÷ 37.57016)) ÷ ((1 ÷ 37.34797) + (1 ÷ 37.57016))) = 0.05323.

Overall Result

13,722.5 days. Weight 0.05323.

Ridenhour's Date of Birth → Mariah's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

IMPLIED TO BE THE SAME AGE

  • In The Basement, Ridenhour and Dillard have a conversation. Dillard: "I am not that shy girl you held hands with in the ninth grade." Ridenhour: "Ninth, tenth, and eleventh. You don't remember?" Dillard: "I never forget." The implication is that Ridenhour and Dillard were in the same year at school.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: 0 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory implication dialogue. Value: 1500.
      • Absolute shortest interpretation: If Ridenhour were as old as possible when he got with Mariah - born January 1st and at the end of ninth grade - he would be up to 15.48361 when he started going out with Mariah. Going by the colloquial "÷ 2 + 7" rule of thumb for acceptable age gaps, if he were younger and Mariah in fact older, in a higher year, she could be up to 16.96722. Multiplying the 1.48361-year maximum age gap by 2, considering the possibility of a very relatively large age gap. So, 2.96722 years, - 1084 days.
      • Shortest possible interpretation: As established, the maximum age gap would be Ridenhour being 15.48361 and Mariah 16.96722 (taking the quote just literally, to be referring to Ridenhour only). So, 1.48361 years, - 542 days.
      • Shortest realistic interpretation: Still in the same school year, but born as far apart as January 1st and December 31st, plus potentially a leap year, - 365 days.
      • Longest realistic interpretation: Still in the same school year, but born as far apart as January 1st and December 31st, plus potentially a leap year, 365 days.
      • Longest possible interpretation: The "÷ 2 + 7" rule of thumb only really applies from 16, with the years preceding that being considered acceptable for up to a 1-year gap. So, even if Ridenhour were as old as possible, about 15.48361 when he started going out with Mariah, Mariah shouldn't be less than 14.48361, so maximum gap 366 days.
      • Absolute longest interpretation: Multiplying the 1-year maximum age gap by 2, under the possibility of a very relatively large age gap. So, 2 years, 731 days.
        • (([- 1084 days] × 1 + [- 542 days] × 2 + [- 365 days] × 4) ÷ 7) days to (([365 days] × 4 + [366 days] × 2 + [731 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = - 518.28571 days to 417.57143 days = 935.85714 days of leniency. 0 days, weight 1500 ÷ 935.85714 = 1.60281.

Overall Result

0 days. Weight 1.60281.

Mariah's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks

List of Evidence

TOREE ALEXANDRE

  • Toree Alexandre plays Mariah Dillard in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2, in a flashback in The Creator. The middle of filming for The Creator is established as October 18.07692, 2017. Alexandre was born on August 22, 1995, making her approximately 8093.07692 days old (22.15764) at the middle of filming.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: 8093.07692 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • 8093.07692 days, weight 4 ÷ 22.15764 = 0.18052.

Overall Result

8093.07692 days. Weight 0.18052.

Mariah's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's

List of Evidence

MEGAN MILLER

  • Megan Miller plays Mariah Dillard in Marvel's Luke Cage in two flashbacks in Manifest, one on April 6, 1987 and one not firmly dated. Just dealing with the non-firm date here. The middle of filming for Episode 7 would be roughly December 1.5, 2015 as established, making Miller approximately 10,864.5 days old (29.74538), as established.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: 10,864.5 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years. This is only one of two parts to Miller's age contributing as a factor, but from the same episode/time of filming, meaning this is exactly half of the "Miller's age" factor. (4 ÷ age in years) × 0.5, i.e. 2 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • 10,864.5 days, weight 2 ÷ 29.74538 = 0.06724.

STUDYING

  • Mariah is shown to be studying at home in the flashback when Pop visits Mama Mabel's, which would suggest she is around late high school, or just college age.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: Ideally, just from this, around the sort of age for end of high school/beginning of college. So, if approximately the middle of her school year, she'd be about 18.16427 at the August 31st end of the academic year, at the end of high school/possibly about to go to college, 6635 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory mild implication dialogue. Value: 1125.
      • Absolute shortest interpretation: Megan Miller was 29.74538 during filming. There is no way, ever, that any actor playing a normal human can play less than ⁶/₁₁ their age (the smallest fraction of real actor age that does in fact occur in the MCU), so there is no world where Mariah is seen as less than 16.22475, 5926 days.
      • Earliest possible interpretation: There is almost no way that any actor playing a normal human can play less than ⅗ their age, so there is no chance Mariah is seen as less than 17.84723, 6519 days.
      • Earliest realistic interpretation: There is very little chance that any actor playing a normal human can play less than ⅔ their age, but this is 19.83025 for Megan Miller, which is more than her ideal age here. So, extending to the ideal, 6635 days.
      • Longest realistic interpretation: She is studying on a college break, and is one of the oldest in her year, in her final year, assuming no gap years, so could be up to about 21.41257, 7821 days.
      • Longest possible interpretation: She is studying on a college break, and is one of the oldest in her year, in her final year, plus about a maximum of 4 years (1-3 as gap years, 1-3 as further years of study), so could be up to about 25.41257, 9282 days.
      • Absolute longest interpretation: No absolute limit, so using the longest evidence otherwise - the earliest possibility for Mariah's date of birth is November 7.73299, 1952, based on Alfre Woodard's date of birth, and the absolute latest for this scene is April 6, 1987, so 12,567.26701 days.
        • (([5926 days] × 1 + [6519 days] × 2 + [6635 days] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([7821 days] × 4 + [9282 days] × 2 + [12,567.26701 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = 6500.57143 days to 8916.46672 days = 2415.89529 days of leniency. 6635 days, weight 1125 ÷ 2415.89529 = 0.46567.

Overall Result

([10,864.5 days] × 0.06724 + [6635 days] × 0.46567) ÷ (0.06724 + 0.46567) = 7168.65780 days. Weight 0.06724 + 0.46567 = 0.53291.

Donovan's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks

List of Evidence

CHAUNDRE HALL-BROOMFIELD

  • Chaundre Hall-Broomfield plays Ben Donovan in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2, in a flashback in The Creator. The middle of filming for The Creator is established as October 18.07692, 2017. Hall-Broomfield was born on July 18, 1994 (1, 2), making him approximately 8493.07692 days old (23.25278) at the middle of filming.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: 8493.07692 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • 8493.07692 days, weight 4 ÷ 23.25278 = 0.17202.

Overall Result

8493.07692 days. Weight 0.17202.

Anansi's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"

List of Evidence

DESMOND ELISHA DENIS

  • Desmond Elisha Denis plays Anansi in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2, in a flashback in The Creator. The middle of filming for The Creator is established as October 18.07692, 2017. Elisha Denis was born on February 7, 1992, making him approximately 9385.07692 days old (25.69494) at the middle of filming.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: 9385.07692 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • 9385.07692 days, weight 4 ÷ 25.69494 = 0.15567.

Overall Result

9385.07692 days. Weight 0.15567.

Ingrid's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"

List of Evidence

MELISSA VASSELL

  • Melissa Vassell plays Ingrid in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2, in a flashback in The Creator. The middle of filming for The Creator is established as October 18.07692, 2017. Vassell was born on April 15, 1996, making her approximately 7856.07692 days old (21.50877) at the middle of filming.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: 7856.07692 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • 7856.07692 days, weight 4 ÷ 21.50877 = 0.18597.

Overall Result

7856.07692 days. Weight 0.18597.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks

List of Evidence

JAYDEN D. BROWN

  • Jayden D. Brown plays Cornell in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2, in a flashback in The Creator. Unfortunately, his age is not available, so we have to guess.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: Using the shortest and longest interpretations below, (([2191.5 days] × 1 + [2556.75 days] × 2 + [2922 days] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([4382 days] × 4 + [4747.25 days] × 2 + [5112.5 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = 2713.28571 days to 4590.71429 days, so halfway between, for an estimate, is 3652 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years.
      • Absolute shortest interpretation: At the absolute least, there's no way he's less than 6 years old, 2191.5 days.
      • Earliest possible interpretation: He's at least 7, 2556.75 days.
      • Earliest realistic interpretation: Realistically, he's at least 8, 2922 days.
      • Longest realistic interpretation: Realistically, he's no more than 11 (which can be up to 11-going-on-12), 4382 days.
      • Longest possible interpretation: He's no more than 12 (which can be up to 12-going-on-13), 4747.25 days.
      • Absolute longest interpretation: At the absolute most, there's no way he's more than 13 (which can be up to 13-going-on-14) 5112.5 days.
        • 3652 days, weight (using upper limit (([4382 days] × 4 + [4747.25 days] × 2 + [5112.5 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = 4590.71429 days) 4 ÷ (4590.71429 ÷ 365.25) = 0.31825.

Overall Result

3652 days. Weight 0.31825.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets

List of Evidence

ELIJAH BOOTHE

  • Elijah Boothe plays Cottonmouth in Marvel's Luke Cage in three flashbacks, as mentioned. Just dealing with the scene from Code of the Streets here. As established, he was approximately 7152.34615 days old (19.58206) at the middle of filming.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: 7152.34615 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years. This is only one of three parts to Boothe's age contributing as a factor. One where he was 19.58206, in Code of the Streets, and two from Manifest, where he was 19.80424. So, using the usual weighted average system, this accounts for (1 ÷ 19.58206) ÷ ((1 ÷ 19.58206) + (1 ÷ 19.80424) + (1 ÷ 19.80424)) = 0.33585 of the "Boothe's age" factor. (4 ÷ age in years) × 0.33585, i.e. 1.34338 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • 7152.34615 days, weight 1.34338 ÷ ((19.58206 × (1 ÷ 19.58206) + 19.80424 × (1 ÷ 19.80424) + 19.80424 × (1 ÷ 19.80424)) ÷ ((1 ÷ 19.58206) + (1 ÷ 19.80424) + (1 ÷ 19.80424))) = 0.06809.

Overall Result

7152.34615 days. Weight 0.06809.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's

List of Evidence

ELIJAH BOOTHE

  • Elijah Boothe plays Cottonmouth in Marvel's Luke Cage in three flashbacks, as mentioned. Just dealing with the scene from Manifest here. As established, he was approximately 7233.5 days old (19.80424) at the middle of filming.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: 7233.5 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years. This is only one of three parts to Boothe's age contributing as a factor. One where he was 19.58206, in Code of the Streets, and two from Manifest, where he was 19.80424. So, using the usual weighted average system, this accounts for (1 ÷ 19.80424) ÷ ((1 ÷ 19.58206) + (1 ÷ 19.80424) + (1 ÷ 19.80424)) = 0.33208 of the "Boothe's age" factor. (4 ÷ age in years) × 0.33208, i.e. 1.32831 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • 7233.5 days, weight 1.32831 ÷ ((19.58206 × (1 ÷ 19.58206) + 19.80424 × (1 ÷ 19.80424) + 19.80424 × (1 ÷ 19.80424)) ÷ ((1 ÷ 19.58206) + (1 ÷ 19.80424) + (1 ÷ 19.80424))) = 0.06733.

Overall Result

7233.5 days. Weight 0.06733.

Sheldon's Date of Birth → Bushmaster's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

SAME AGE

  • In The Creator, Sheldon says he has known Bushmaster since they "were both 11".
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: Same age, 0 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory dialogue. Value: 3000.
      • Absolute shortest interpretation: Bushmaster could be older by up to just under a year (potentially a leap year), - 365 days.
      • Earliest possible interpretation: The same, - 365 days.
      • Earliest realistic interpretation: Bushmaster could be older by up to just under a year (assuming normal year), - 364 days.
      • Latest realistic interpretation: Just under a year (assuming normal year), 364 days.
      • Latest possible interpretation: Just under a year (potentially a leap year), 365 days.
      • Absolute latest interpretation: The same, 365 days.
        • (([- 365 days] × 1 + [- 365 days] × 2 + [- 364 days] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([364 days] × 4 + [365 days] × 2 + [365 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = - 364.42857 days to 364.42857 days = 728.85714 days of leniency. 0 days, weight 3000 ÷ 728.85714 = 4.11603.

Overall Result

0 days. Weight 4.11603.

Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks

List of Evidence

MEKHI HEWLING

  • Mekhi Hewling plays Bushmaster in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2, in two flashbacks in The Creator, one in the mid-1980s and one "two years later", just dealing with the mid-1980s one here. The middle of filming for The Creator is established as October 18.07692, 2017. Hewling was born on May 14, 2004, making him approximately 4905.07692 days old (13.42937) at the middle of filming.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: 4905.07692 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years. This is only one of two parts to Hewling's age contributing as a factor, but from the same episode/time of filming, meaning this is exactly half of the "Hewling's age" factor. (4 ÷ age in years) × 0.5, i.e. 2 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • 4905.07692 days, weight 2 ÷ 13.42937 = 0.14893.

Overall Result

4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.

Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"

List of Evidence

MEKHI HEWLING

  • Mekhi Hewling plays Bushmaster in Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 2, in two flashbacks in The Creator, one in the mid-1980s and one "two years later", just dealing with the "two years later" one here. The middle of filming for The Creator is established as October 18.07692, 2017, making him approximately 4905.07692 days old (13.42937) as established.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: 4905.07692 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years. This is only one of two parts to Hewling's age contributing as a factor, but from the same episode/time of filming, meaning this is exactly half of the "Hewling's age" factor. (4 ÷ age in years) × 0.5, i.e. 2 ÷ age in years.
      • Earliest interpretation: N/A.
      • Latest interpretation: N/A.
        • 4905.07692 days, weight 2 ÷ 13.42937 = 0.14893.

Overall Result

4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.

Nandi's Date of Birth → Misty's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

ONE-YEAR DIFFERENCE

  • In Straighten It Out, Nandi says Misty was a year below her at school.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: 1 year (Misty was born between February 12, 1984 and February 11, 1985, so 1 year prior would be 365 days from February 12th to February 28th/29th, and 1 year prior would be 366 days from February 29th/March 1st to February 11th, so a 17.5/366 chance of a leap year), 365.04781 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory dialogue. Value: 3000.
      • Absolute shortest interpretation: Nandi was born on December 31st (1984) and Misty on January 1st (1985), 1 day.
      • Shortest possible interpretation: The same, 1 day.
      • Shortest realistic interpretation: The same, 1 day.
      • Longest realistic interpretation: Nandi was born on January 1st (1983) and Misty on December 31st (1984), 730 days.
      • Longest possible interpretation: The same, 730 days.
      • Absolute longest interpretation: The same, 730 days.
        • 1 day to 730 days = 729 days of leniency. 365.04781 days, weight 3000 ÷ 729 = 4.11523.

Overall Result

365.04781 days. Weight 4.11523.

"Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks → "Two Years Later"

List of Evidence

TWO YEARS LATER

  • "Two years later".
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: 2 years, 730.5 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory on-screen. Value: 6000.
      • Absolute shortest interpretation: December 31st of one year to January 1st of the second following year, making it 2 years by calendar number, except barely over 1 year really, 366 days.
      • Shortest possible interpretation: Late one year to early the second following year, at least 1.25 years on though, minimum to even consider calling it 2 years, 456.5625 days.
      • Shortest realistic interpretation: 1.5 years, rounding up, 547.875 days.
      • Longest realistic interpretation: Just under 2.5 years, rounding down, 913.125 days.
      • Latest possible interpretation: Early one year to late the second following year, but no more than 2.75 years on though, maximum to even consider calling it 2 years, 1004.4375 days.
      • Absolute latest interpretation: January 1st of one year to December 31st of the second following year, making it 2 years by calendar number, except barely under 3 years really, 1095 days.
        • (([366 days] × 1 + [456.5625 days] × 2 + [547.875 days] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([913.125 days] × 4 + [1004.4375 days] × 2 + [1095 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = 495.80357 days to 965.19643 days = 469.39286 days of leniency. 730.5 days, weight 6000 ÷ 469.39286 = 12.78247.

Overall Result

730.5 days. Weight 12.78247.

Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's

List of Evidence

ROUGHLY THE SAME TIME

  • While Cornell looks to be about 19 in the Marvel's Luke Cage: Season 1 flashbacks (since Elijah Boothe was 19), he is said to be 14 when he killed Pistol Pete, and therefore no more than 14 when Pop visits Mama Mabel's and Pete is present. Therefore, he looks like a normal 19-year-old when he's only 14, so it's likely that the Code of the Streets flashback is around the same time, being the same 19-year-old actor, filmed around the same time. Plus, Pop, Cottonmouth, and Fredo are a group in their peak on the streets in the Code of the Streets, and when Pop visits Mama Mabel's, it's for the same thing, suggesting that same time period.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: The same time, so about 0 days, though shouldn't be the exact same day. While the flashbacks are almost entirely separate, chronological order makes more sense than not, so the Code on the Streets flashback can be approximated as maybe the day before Pop visiting Mama Mabel's, 1 day.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory loose implication. Value: 750.
      • Absolute shortest interpretation: Pop visiting Mama Mabel's actually comes first, up to the biggest gap other evidence would suggest. 19.58206 (actor age) in Code of the Streets, and 14 when he kills Pete, so not much before then - as established earlier, likely no younger than 13.20191. So, 6.38015 years, - 2330 days.
      • Shortest possible interpretation: Almost certainly no more than 5 years, for his face to have changed so little at the sort of age where your face would still be developing fairly significantly, - 1826 days.
      • Shortest realistic interpretation: Roughly no more than 4 years, for his face to have changed so little at the sort of age where your face would still be developing fairly significantly, - 1461 days.
      • Longest realistic interpretation: Elijah Boothe was 19.58206 during filming. There is very little chance that any actor playing a normal human can play less than ⅔ their age, so there is almost no chance Cornell is seen as less than 13.05471. We know Cornell is 14 when he kills Pete, so at the most he's 1 day from turning 15 then, so at least 2 days from turning 15 when Pop visits, 14.99452. So, maximum 1.93981 years, 709 days.
      • Longest possible interpretation: There is almost no way that any actor playing a normal human can play less than ⅗ their age, so there is no chance Cornell is seen as less than 11.74924. However, it is highly unlikely Cornell was picked up before the age of 12. We know Cornell is 14 when he kills Pete, so at the most he's 1 day from turning 15 then, so at least 2 days from turning 15 when Pop visits, 14.99452. So, maximum 2.99452 years, 1094 days.
      • Absolute longest interpretation: There is no way, ever, that any actor playing a normal human can play less than ⁶/₁₁ their age (the smallest fraction of real actor age that does in fact occur in the MCU), so there is no world where Cornell is seen as less than 10.80231. However, it is simply impossible that Cornell was picked up before the age of 11. We know Cornell is 14 when he kills Pete, so at the most he's 1 day from turning 15 when he kills Pete and, at absolute minimum, Pop visiting was earlier that day, so 14.99726. So, maximum 3.99726 years, 1532 days, 1460 days.
        • (([- 2330 days] × 1 + [- 1826.25 days] × 2 + [- 1461 days] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([709 days] × 4 + [1094 days] × 2 + [1460 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = - 1689.42857 days to 926.28571 days = 2615.71428 days of leniency. 1 day, weight 750 ÷ 2615.71428 = 0.28673.

Overall Result

1 day. Weight 0.28673.

Pop's Arrest → Bert's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

PREGNANCY

  • In Code of the Streets, Pop says his partner was pregnant with Bert when he was arrested.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: An average pregnancy is 280 days from the beginning of the menstrual cycle in which conception happens. On average, a menstrual cycle would be about 28 days long, with conception possible mainly from approximately Day 11-16, the middle being Day 13/14, 13 days after the beginning, meaning an average pregnancy is 267 days. So, using the middle of the pregnancy as an approximation, Pop was likely arrested around 133.5 days after conception and before Bert's birth, 133.5 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory dialogue. Value: 3000.
      • Absolute shortest interpretation: The day of Bert's birth, 0 days.
      • Shortest possible interpretation: The day before Bert's birth, assuming Pop would say if it were the actual day of birth, 1 day.
      • Shortest realistic interpretation: At least 5 days or so before Bert's birth, assuming Pop would say if it were immediately before, 5 days.
      • Longest realistic interpretation: Assuming from the phrasing that Pop knew his partner was pregnant when he went in, at least 5 weeks should have passed since the beginning of his partner's last menstrual cycle, making it approximately 245 days until Bert's birth. Assuming she found out as early as 5 weeks and Pop were arrested the same day, plus Bert were up to a realistic maximum 14 days late, the longest gap realistically would be 259 days.
      • Longest possible interpretation: Assuming, despite the phrasing, that Bert had only just been conceived, as early as possible on Day 10 of the menstrual cycle, 9.5 days after the cycle began, so 270.5 days before Bert's due date, then Pop was arrested the next day, 269.5 days to go. Then, assuming Bert was up to 2.5 weeks maximum late, 17.5 days, then 287 days.
      • Absolute longest interpretation: Assuming, despite the phrasing, that Bert had only just been conceived the same day, so 270.5 days before Bert's due date, plus Bert was an absolute maximum 3.5 weeks after the due date, 24.5 days, so 295 days.
        • (([0 days] × 1 + [1 day] × 2 + [5 days] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([259 days] × 4 + [287 days] × 2 + [295 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = 3.14286 days to 272.14286 days = 269 days of leniency. 133.5 days, weight 3000 ÷ 269 = 11.15242.

Overall Result

133.5 days. Weight 11.15242.

Maths

Collected Evidence

  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth
    • February 23.5, 1921. Weight 0.02017.
  • Pop's Date of Birth
    • August 11.76923, 1949. Weight 0.06039.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth
    • August 25.38281, 1964. Weight 0.87244.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth
    • April 8.67763, 1955. Weight 0.12505.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth
    • October 3.44680, 1955. Weight 0.06554.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth
    • July 30.5, 1977. Weight 0.09857.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth
    • February 26, 1970. Weight 0.08420.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth
    • September 25.65028, 1972. Weight 8.41777.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth
    • June 30, 1972. Weight 0.08858.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth
    • August 22, 1976. Weight 0.09752.
  • Reva's Date of Birth
    • February 27.99020, 1975. Weight 0.10355.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth
    • August 12, 1983. Weight 0.11748.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • December 31, 1984. Weight 5.38941.
  • Misty's Date of Birth
    • July 29.89210, 1984. Weight 8.33310.
  • Tilda's Date of Birth
    • August 12.63603, 1985. Weight 2.99564.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • March 6, 1987. Weight 6.53595.
  • Bert's Date of Birth
    • October 12.5, 1976. Weight 0.10222.
  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • 24,834.07692 days. Weight 0.01961.
  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • 24,147.5 days. Weight 0.02017.
  • Pop's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
    • 13,641.34615 days. Weight 0.05355.
  • Pop's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • 13,722.5 days. Weight 0.05323.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth → Mariah's Date of Birth
    • 0 days. Weight 1.60281.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • 8093.07692 days. Weight 0.18052.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • 7168.65780 days. Weight 0.53291.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • 8493.07692 days. Weight 0.17202.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
    • 9385.07692 days. Weight 0.15567.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
    • 7856.07692 days. Weight 0.18597.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • 3652 days. Weight 0.31825.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
    • 7152.34615 days. Weight 0.06809.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • 7233.5 days. Weight 0.06733.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth → Bushmaster's Date of Birth
    • 0 days. Weight 4.11603.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
    • 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth → Misty's Date of Birth
    • 365.04781 days. Weight 4.11523.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks → "Two Years Later"
    • 730.5 days. Weight 12.78247.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • 1 day. Weight 0.28673.
  • Pop's Arrest → Bert's Date of Birth
    • 133.5 days. Weight 11.15242.

Equations

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth (MMDoB)

  • February 23.5, 1921. Weight 0.02017.
  • Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF) - 24,834.07692 days. Weight 0.01961.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) - 24,147.5 days. Weight 0.02017.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • MMDoB = (420.5 × 0.02017 + (MEF - 24,834.07692) × 0.01961 + (PVMM - 24,147.5) × 0.02017) ÷ (0.02017 + 0.01961 + 0.02017)
    • = MMDoB = (8.48149 + 0.01961MEF - 486.99625 + 0.02017PVMM - 487.05508) ÷ 0.05995
    • = MMDoB = (0.01961MEF + 0.02017PVMM - 965.56984) ÷ 0.05995
    • = MMDoB = 0.32711MEF + 0.33645PVMM - 16,106.25254
    • = MMDoB + 16,106.25254 = 0.32711MEF + 0.33645PVMM
    • = 16,106.25254 = - MMDoB + 0.32711MEF + 0.33645PVMM

Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB)

  • August 11.76923, 1949. Weight 0.06039.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS) - 13,641.34615 days. Weight 0.05355.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) - 13,722.5 days. Weight 0.05323.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • PDoB = (10,816.76923 × 0.06039 + (PCFotS - 13,641.34615) × 0.05355 + (PVMM - 13,722.5) × 0.05323) ÷ (0.06039 + 0.05355 + 0.05323)
    • = PDoB = (653.22469 + 0.05355PCFotS - 730.49409 + 0.05323PVMM - 730.44868) ÷ 0.16717
    • = PDoB = (0.05355PCFotS + 0.05323PVMM - 807.71808) ÷ 0.16717
    • = PDoB = 0.32033PCFotS + 0.31842PVMM - 4831.71670
    • ⇒ PDoB + 4831.71670 = 0.32033PCFotS + 0.31842PVMM
    • ⇒ 4831.71670 = - PDoB + 0.32033PCFotS + 0.31842PVMM

Ridenhour's Date of Birth (RiDoB)

  • August 25.38281, 1964. Weight 0.87244.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB) - 0 days. Weight 1.60281.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • RiDoB = (16,309.38281 × 0.87244 + (MaDoB - 0) × 1.60281) ÷ (0.87244 + 1.60281)
    • = RiDoB = (14,228.95794 + 1.60281MaDoB - 0) ÷ 2.47525
    • = RiDoB = (1.60281MaDoB + 14,228.95794) ÷ 2.47525
    • = RiDoB = 0.64753MaDoB + 5748.49326
    • ⇒ RiDoB - 5748.49326 = 0.64753MaDoB
    • ⇒ - 5748.49326 = - RiDoB + 0.64753MaDoB

Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB)

  • April 8.67763, 1955. Weight 0.12505.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth (RiDoB) + 0 days. Weight 1.60281.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF) - 8093.07692 days. Weight 0.18052.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) - 7168.65780 days. Weight 0.53291.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • MaDoB = (12,882.67763 × 0.12505 + (RiDoB + 0) × 1.60281 + (MEF - 8093.07692) × 0.18052 + (PVMM - 7168.65780) × 0.53291) ÷ (0.12505 + 1.60281 + 0.18052 + 0.53291)
    • = MaDoB = (1610.97884 + 1.60281RiDoB + 0 + 0.18052MEF - 1460.96225 + 0.53291PVMM - 3820.24943) ÷ 2.44129
    • = MaDoB = (1.60281RiDoB + 0.18052MEF + 0.53291PVMM - 3670.23284) ÷ 2.44129
    • = MaDoB = 0.65654RiDoB + 0.07394MEF + 0.21829PVMM - 1503.39896
    • ⇒ MaDoB + 1503.39896 = 0.65654RiDoB + 0.07394MEF + 0.21829PVMM
    • ⇒ 1503.39896 = 0.65654RiDoB - MaDoB + 0.07394MEF + 0.21829PVMM

Donovan's Date of Birth (DDoB)

  • October 3.44680, 1955. Weight 0.06554.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF) - 8493.07692 days. Weight 0.17202.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • DDoB = (13,060.44680 × 0.06554 + (MEF - 8493.07692) × 0.17202) ÷ (0.06554 + 0.17202)
    • = DDoB = (855.98168 + 0.17202MEF - 1460.97909) ÷ 0.23756
    • = DDoB = (0.17202MEF - 604.99741) ÷ 0.23756
    • = DDoB = 0.72411MEF - 2546.71414
    • ⇒ DDoB + 2546.71414 = 0.72411MEF
    • ⇒ 2546.71414 = - DDoB + 0.72411MEF

Anansi's Date of Birth (ADoB)

  • July 30.5, 1977. Weight 0.09857.
  • "Two Years Later" (TYL) - 9385.07692 days. Weight 0.15567.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • ADoB = (21,031.5 × 0.09857 + (TYL - 9385.07692) × 0.15567) ÷ (0.09857 + 0.15567)
    • = ADoB = (2073.07496 + 0.15567TYL - 1460.97492) ÷ 0.25424
    • = ADoB = (0.15567TYL + 612.10004) ÷ 0.25424
    • = ADoB = 0.61230TYL + 2407.56781
    • ⇒ ADoB - 2407.56781 = 0.61230TYL
    • ⇒ - 2407.56781 = - ADoB + 0.61230TYL

Ingrid's Date of Birth (IDoB)

  • February 26, 1970. Weight 0.08420.
  • "Two Years Later" (TYL) - 7856.07692 days. Weight 0.18597.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • IDoB = (18,320 × 0.08420 + (TYL - 7856.07692) × 0.18597) ÷ (0.08420 + 0.18597)
    • = IDoB = (1542.54400 + 0.18597TYL - 1460.99462) ÷ 0.27017
    • = IDoB = (0.18597TYL + 81.54938) ÷ 0.27017
    • = IDoB = 0.68834TYL + 301.84469
    • ⇒ IDoB - 301.84469 = 0.68834TYL
    • ⇒ - 301.84469 = - IDoB + 0.68834TYL

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB)

  • September 25.65028, 1972. Weight 8.41777.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF) - 3652 days. Weight 0.31825.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS) - 7152.34615 days. Weight 0.06809.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) - 7233.5 days. Weight 0.06733.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • CDoB = (19,262.65028 × 8.41777 + (MEF - 3652) × 0.31825 + (PCFotS - 7152.34615) × 0.06809 + (PVMM - 7233.5) × 0.06733) ÷ (8.41777 + 0.31825 + 0.06809 + 0.06733)
    • = CDoB = (162,148.55965 + 0.31825MEF - 1162.24900 + 0.06809PCFotS - 487.00325 + 0.06733PVMM - 487.03156) ÷ 8.87144
    • = CDoB = (0.31825MEF + 0.06809PCFotS + 0.06733PVMM + 160,012.27584) ÷ 8.87144
    • = CDoB = 0.03587MEF + 0.00768PCFotS + 0.00759PVMM + 18,036.78725
    • ⇒ CDoB - 18,036.78725 = 0.03587MEF + 0.00768PCFotS + 0.00759PVMM
    • ⇒ - 18,036.78725 = - CDoB + 0.03587MEF + 0.00768PCFotS + 0.00759PVMM

Sheldon's Date of Birth (SDoB)

  • June 30, 1972. Weight 0.08858.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth (BuDoB) - 0 days. Weight 4.11603.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • SDoB = (19,175 × 0.08858 + (BuDoB - 0) × 4.11603) ÷ (0.08858 + 4.11603)
    • = SDoB = (1698.52150 + 4.11603BuDoB - 0) ÷ 4.20461
    • = SDoB = (4.11603BuDoB + 1698.52150) ÷ 4.20461
    • = SDoB = 0.97893BuDoB + 403.96648
    • ⇒ SDoB - 403.96648 = 0.97893BuDoB
    • ⇒ - 403.96648 = - SDoB + 0.97893BuDoB

Bushmaster's Date of Birth (BuDoB)

  • August 22, 1976. Weight 0.09752.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth (SDoB) + 0 days. Weight 4.11603.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF) - 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.
  • "Two Years Later" (TYL) - 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • BuDoB = (20,689 × 0.09752 + (SDoB + 0) × 4.11603 + (MEF - 4905.07692) × 0.14893 + (TYL - 4905.07692) × 0.14893) ÷ (0.09752 + 4.11603 + 0.14893 + 0.14893)
    • = BuDoB = (2017.59128 + 4.11603SDoB + 0 + 0.14893MEF - 730.51311 + 0.14893TYL - 730.51311) ÷ 4.51141
    • = BuDoB = (4.11603SDoB + 0.14893MEF + 0.14893TYL + 556.56506) ÷ 4.51141
    • = BuDoB = 0.91236SDoB + 0.03301MEF + 0.03301TYL + 123.36832
    • ⇒ BuDoB - 123.36832 = 0.91236SDoB + 0.03301MEF + 0.03301TYL
    • ⇒ - 123.36832 = 0.91236SDoB - BuDoB + 0.03301MEF + 0.03301TYL

Reva's Date of Birth (ReDoB)

  • February 27.99020, 1975. Weight 0.10355.
    • ReDoB = 20,147.99020

Nandi's Date of Birth (NDoB)

  • August 12, 1983. Weight 0.11748.
  • Misty's Date of Birth (MiDoB) - 365.04781 days. Weight 4.11523.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • NDoB = (23,235 × 0.11748 + (MiDoB - 365.04781) × 4.11523) ÷ (0.11748 + 4.11523)
    • = NDoB = (2729.64780 + 4.11523MiDoB - 1502.25570) ÷ 4.23271
    • = NDoB = (4.11523MiDoB + 1227.39210) ÷ 4.23271
    • = NDoB = 0.97224MiDoB + 289.97784
    • ⇒ NDoB - 289.97784 = 0.97224MiDoB
    • ⇒ - 289.97784 = - NDoB + 0.97224MiDoB

"Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF)

  • December 31, 1984. Weight 5.38941.
  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth (MMDoB) + 24,834.07692 days. Weight 0.01961.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB) + 8093.07692 days. Weight 0.18052.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth (DDoB) + 8493.07692 days. Weight 0.17202.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB) + 3652 days. Weight 0.31825.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth (BuDoB) + 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.
  • "Two Years Later" (TYL) - 730.5 days. Weight 12.78247.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • MEF = (23,742 × 5.38941 + (MMDoB + 24,834.07692) × 0.01961 + (MaDoB + 8093.07692) × 0.18052 + (DDoB + 8493.07692) × 0.17202 + (CDoB + 3652) × 0.31825 + (BuDoB + 4905.07692) × 0.14893 + (TYL - 730.5) × 12.78247) ÷ (5.38941 + 0.01961 + 0.18052 + 0.17202 + 0.31825 + 0.14893 + 12.78247)
    • = MEF = (127,955.37222 + 0.01961MMDoB + 486.99625 + 0.18052MaDoB + 1460.96225 + 0.17202DDoB + 1460.97909 + 0.31825CDoB + 1162.24900 + 0.14893BuDoB + 730.51311 + 12.78247TYL - 9337.59433) ÷ 19.01121
    • = MEF = (0.01961MMDoB + 0.18052MaDoB + 0.17202DDoB + 0.31825CDoB + 0.14893BuDoB + 12.78247TYL + 123,919.478) ÷ 19.01121
    • = MEF = 0.00103MMDoB + 0.00950MaDoB + 0.00905DDoB + 0.01674CDoB + 0.00783BuDoB + 0.67236TYL + 6518.23203
    • ⇒ MEF - 6518.23203 = 0.00103MMDoB + 0.00950MaDoB + 0.00905DDoB + 0.01674CDoB + 0.00783BuDoB + 0.67236TYL
    • ⇒ - 6518.23203 = 0.00103MMDoB + 0.00950MaDoB + 0.00905DDoB + 0.01674CDoB + 0.00783BuDoB - MEF + 0.67236TYL

Misty's Date of Birth (MiDoB)

  • July 29.89210, 1984. Weight 8.33310.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth (NDoB) + 365.04781 days. Weight 4.11523.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • MiDoB = (23,587.89210 × 8.33310 + (NDoB + 365.04781) × 4.11523) ÷ (8.33310 + 4.11523)
    • = MiDoB = (196,560.26366 + 4.11523NDoB + 1502.25570) ÷ 12.44833
    • = MiDoB = (4.11523NDoB + 198,062.51936) ÷ 12.44833
    • = MiDoB = 0.33058NDoB + 15,910.77031
    • ⇒ MiDoB - 15,910.77031 = 0.33058NDoB
    • ⇒ - 15,910.77031 = 0.33058NDoB - MiDoB

Tilda's Date of Birth (TDoB)

  • August 12.63603, 1985. Weight 2.99564.
    • TDoB = 23,966.63603

"Two Years Later" (TYL)

  • Anansi's Date of Birth (ADoB) + 9385.07692 days. Weight 0.15567.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth (IDoB) + 7856.07692 days. Weight 0.18597.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth (BuDoB) + 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF) + 730.5 days. Weight 12.78247.
    • TYL = ((ADoB + 9385.07692) × 0.15567 + (IDoB + 7856.07692) × 0.18597 + (BuDoB + 4905.07692) × 0.14893 + (MEF + 730.5) × 12.78247) ÷ (0.15567 + 0.18597 + 0.14893 + 12.78247)
    • = TYL = (0.15567ADoB + 1460.97492 + 0.18597IDoB + 1460.99462 + 0.14893BuDoB + 730.51311 + 12.78247MEF + 9337.59433) ÷ 13.27304
    • = TYL = (0.15567ADoB + 0.18597IDoB + 0.14893BuDoB + 12.78247MEF + 12,990.07698) ÷ 13.27304
    • = TYL = 0.01173ADoB + 0.01401IDoB + 0.01122BuDoB + 0.96304MEF + 978.68137
    • ⇒ TYL - 978.68137 = 0.01173ADoB + 0.01401IDoB + 0.01122BuDoB + 0.96304MEF
    • ⇒ - 978.68137 = 0.01173ADoB + 0.01401IDoB + 0.01122BuDoB + 0.96304MEF - TYL

Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS)

  • Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB) + 13,641.34615 days. Weight 0.05355.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB) + 7152.34615 days. Weight 0.06809.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) - 1 day. Weight 0.28673.
    • PCFotS = ((PDoB + 13,641.34615) × 0.05355 + (CDoB + 7152.34615) × 0.06809 + (PVMM - 1) × 0.28673) ÷ (0.05355 + 0.06809 + 0.28673)
    • = PCFotS = (0.05355PDoB + 730.49409 + 0.06809CDoB + 487.00325 + 0.28673PVMM - 0.28673) ÷ 0.40837
    • = PCFotS = (0.05355PDoB + 0.06809CDoB + 0.28673PVMM + 1217.21061) ÷ 0.40837
    • = PCFotS = 0.13113PDoB + 0.16674CDoB + 0.70213PVMM + 2980.65629
    • ⇒ PCFotS - 2980.65629 = 0.13113PDoB + 0.16674CDoB + 0.70213PVMM
    • ⇒ - 2980.65629 = 0.13113PDoB + 0.16674CDoB - PCFotS + 0.70213PVMM

Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM)

  • March 6, 1987. Weight 6.53595.
  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth (MMDoB) + 24,147.5 days. Weight 0.02017.
  • Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB) + 13,722.5 days. Weight 0.05323.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB) + 7168.65780 days. Weight 0.53291.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB) + 7233.5 days. Weight 0.06733.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS) + 1 day. Weight 0.28673.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • PVMM = (24,537 × 6.53595 + (MMDoB + 24,147.5) × 0.02017 + (PDoB + 13,722.5) × 0.05323 + (MaDoB + 7168.65780) × 0.53291 + (CDoB + 7233.5) × 0.06733 + (PCFotS + 1) × 0.28673) ÷ (6.53595 + 0.02017 + 0.05323 + 0.53291 + 0.06733 + 0.28673)
    • = PVMM = (160,372.60515 + 0.02017MMDoB + 487.05508 + 0.05323PDoB + 730.44868 + 0.53291MaDoB + 3820.24943 + 0.06733CDoB + 487.03156 + 0.28673PCFotS + 0.28673) ÷ 7.49632
    • = PVMM = (0.02017MMDoB + 0.05323PDoB + 0.53291MaDoB + 0.06733CDoB + 0.28673PCFotS + 165,897.67663) ÷ 7.49632
    • = PVMM = 0.00269MMDoB + 0.00710PDoB + 0.07109MaDoB + 0.00898CDoB + 0.03825PCFotS + 22,130.54894
    • ⇒ PVMM - 22,130.54894 = 0.00269MMDoB + 0.00710PDoB + 0.07109MaDoB + 0.00898CDoB + 0.03825PCFotS
    • ⇒ - 22,130.54894 = 0.00269MMDoB + 0.00710PDoB + 0.07109MaDoB + 0.00898CDoB + 0.03825PCFotS - PVMM

Pop's Arrest (PA)

  • Bert's Date of Birth (BeDoB) - 133.5 days. Weight 11.15242.
    • PA = BeDoB - 133.5
    • ⇒ PA + 133.5 = BeDoB
    • ⇒ 133.5 = - PA + BeDoB

Bert's Date of Birth (BeDoB)

  • October 12.5, 1976. Weight 0.10222.
  • Pop's Arrest (PA) + 133.5 days. Weight 11.15242.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • BeDoB = (20,740.5 × 0.10222 + (PA + 133.5) × 11.15242) ÷ (0.10222 + 11.15242)
    • = BeDoB = (2120.09391 + 11.15242PA + 1488.84807) ÷ 11.25464
    • = BeDoB = (11.15242PA + 3608.94198) ÷ 11.25464
    • = BeDoB = 0.99092PA + 320.66259
    • ⇒ BeDoB - 320.66259 = 0.99092PA
    • ⇒ - 320.66259 = 0.99092PA - BeDoB

So:

  • 16,106.25254 = - MMDoB + 0.32711MEF + 0.33645PVMM
  • 4831.71670 = - PDoB + 0.32033PCFotS + 0.31842PVMM
  • - 5748.49326 = - RiDoB + 0.64753MaDoB
  • 1503.39896 = 0.65654RiDoB - MaDoB + 0.07394MEF + 0.21829PVMM
  • 2546.71414 = - DDoB + 0.72411MEF
  • - 2407.56781 = - ADoB + 0.61230TYL
  • - 301.84469 = - IDoB + 0.68834TYL
  • - 18,036.78725 = - CDoB + 0.03587MEF + 0.00768PCFotS + 0.00759PVMM
  • - 403.96648 = - SDoB + 0.97893BuDoB
  • - 123.36832 = 0.91236SDoB - BuDoB + 0.03301MEF + 0.03301TYL
  • ReDoB = 20,147.99020
  • - 289.97784 = - NDoB + 0.97224MiDoB
  • - 6518.23203 = 0.00103MMDoB + 0.00950MaDoB + 0.00905DDoB + 0.01674CDoB + 0.00783BuDoB - MEF + 0.67236TYL
  • - 15,910.77031 = 0.33058NDoB - MiDoB
  • TDoB = 23,966.63603
  • - 978.68137 = 0.01173ADoB + 0.01401IDoB + 0.01122BuDoB + 0.96304MEF - TYL
  • - 2980.65629 = 0.13113PDoB + 0.16674CDoB - PCFotS + 0.70213PVMM
  • - 22,130.54894 = 0.00269MMDoB + 0.00710PDoB + 0.07109MaDoB + 0.00898CDoB + 0.03825PCFotS - PVMM
  • 133.5 = - PA + BeDoB
  • - 320.66259 = 0.99092PA - BeDoB

Results

  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth (MMDoB) = - 82.35440. October 9.64560, 1919.
  • Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB) = 10,916.73213. November 19.73213, 1949.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth (RiDoB) = 16,309.26993. August 25.26993, 1964.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB) = 16,309.32415. August 25.32415, 1964.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth (DDoB) = 14,681.44869. March 11.44869, 1960.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth (ADoB) = 17,443.44179. October 3.44179, 1967.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth (IDoB) = 17,204.98611. February 6.98611, 1967.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB) = 19,266.70389. September 29.70389, 1972.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth (SDoB) = 19,530.48415. June 20.48415, 1973.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth (BuDoB) = 19,538.18727. June 28.18727, 1973.
  • Reva's Date of Birth (ReDoB) = 20,147.99020. February 27.99020, 1975.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth (NDoB) = 23,223.01376. July 31.01376, 1983.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF) = 23,792.19018. February 19.19018, 1985.
  • Misty's Date of Birth (MiDoB) = 23,587.83420. July 29.83420, 1984.
  • Tilda's Date of Birth (TDoB) = 23,966.63603. August 12.63603, 1985.
  • "Two Years Later" (TYL) = 24,556.38409. March 25.38409, 1987.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS) = 24,819.59878. December 13.59878, 1987.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) = 24,489.62614. January 17.62614, 1987.
  • Pop's Arrest (PA) = 20,612.62004. June 6.62004, 1976.
  • Bert's Date of Birth (BeDoB) = 20,746.12004. October 18.12004, 1976.

Factors Yet to Be Introduced

  • Mama Mabel's birthday is August 22nd.
    • Can't apply until it can be specifically "August 22nd, 19xx" as a date, and for that it needs to be clear which August 22nd is best suited.
      • Need to wait until otherwise at final results.
  • The noticeable part of Mariah's pregnancy (roughly 3.5-9 months) cannot be during any flashbacks.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • "Two years later" cannot be after April 5, 1987, with Pete killed on April 6, 1987 and present in "Two years later".
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Jamel Shabazz has to be working by "Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets", so it has to be after 1980.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • The age gap between Mariah and Cornell is enough that Mariah was old enough to change Cornell's diapers.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Pop last saw Reva when she was 5, so her being 5 cannot be during his 10-year prison stint.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results don't fit, with her being 5 from 1980 to 1981 and Pop in prison from 1976 to 1986. However, the results are not clear enough yet for whether Reva being 5 should be after or before the prison stint, so cannot add into evidence yet.
  • Nandi should not just be close to a year older than Misty, but has to specifically be one calendar year apart.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Misty met Pop aged 9, so Misty being 9 cannot be during his prison stint.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Pop's arrest has to be after "Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets", from his dialogue in Code of the Streets.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results don't fit, with "Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets" being 1987 and Pop's arrest being 1976. So, adding to second pass.
  • Pop's arrest has to be after "Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's", from his dialogue in Code of the Streets.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results don't fit, with "Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's" being 1987 and Pop's arrest being 1976. So, adding to second pass.
  • Once it is clear which directions each date is being pulled in, it's important to then change the leniency windows to just the earlier/later, shorter/longer ones as is fitting, as they are currently operating on an averaged leniency, whereas something might have little leniency in a certain direction and a lot in another, but being pulled in the little direction, too far since it's based on average leniency.
    • Can't apply until all the evidence is in play.
      • Need to wait until nearly at final results.

Second Pass

Evidence

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
LATANYA RICHARDSON JACKSON

  • Unchanged: February 23.5, 1921, weight 0.02017.

Overall Result
Unchanged: February 23.5, 1921. Weight 0.02017.

Pop's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
FRANKIE FAISON

  • Unchanged: August 11.76923, 1949, weight 0.06039.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 11.76923, 1949. Weight 0.06039.

Ridenhour's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
PETER JAY FERNANDEZ

  • Unchanged: August 16, 1953, weight 0.06247.

KARLA 35 YEARS

  • July 2, 1965, weight 0.80997.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 25.38281, 1964. Weight 0.87244.

Mariah's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
MEGAN MILLER

  • Unchanged: July 7.5, 1957, weight 0.06724.

ALFRE WOODARD

  • Unchanged: November 7.73299, 1952, weight 0.06258.

Overall Result
Unchanged: April 8.67763, 1955. Weight 0.12505.

Donovan's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
DANNY JOHNSON

  • Unchanged: October 3.44680, 1955, weight 0.06554.

Overall Result
Unchanged: October 3.44680, 1955. Weight 0.06554.

Anansi's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
SAHR NGAUJAH

  • Unchanged: July 30.5, 1977, weight 0.09857.

Overall Result
Unchanged: July 30.5, 1977. Weight 0.09857.

Ingrid's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
HEATHER ALICIA SIMMS

  • Unchanged: February 26, 1970. Weight 0.08420.

Overall Result
Unchanged: February 26, 1970. Weight 0.08420.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
14 YEARS OLD

  • Unchanged: October 5.5, 1972, weight 8.25472.

ELIJAH BOOTHE

  • Unchanged: June 16.5, 1967, weight 0.06733.

MAHERSHALA ALI

  • Unchanged: February 14.5, 1974, weight 0.09572.

Overall Result
Unchanged: September 25.65028, 1972. Weight 8.41777.

Sheldon's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
KEVIN MAMBO

  • Unchanged: June 30, 1972, weight 0.08858.

Overall Result
Unchanged: June 30, 1972. Weight 0.08858.

Bushmaster's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
MUSTAFA SHAKIR

  • Unchanged: August 22, 1976, weight 4 ÷ 41.01848 = 0.09752.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 22, 1976. Weight 0.09752.

Reva's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
PARISA FITZ-HENLEY

  • Unchanged: February 27.99020, 1975. Weight 0.10355.

Overall Result
Unchanged: February 27.99020, 1975. Weight 0.10355.

Nandi's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
ANTONIQUE SMITH

  • Unchanged: August 12, 1983, weight 0.11748.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 12, 1983. Weight 0.11748.

"Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
MID 80'S [SIC]

  • Unchanged: December 31, 1984, weight 5.38941.

Overall Result
Unchanged: December 31, 1984. Weight 5.38941.

Misty's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
SIMONE MISSICK

  • Unchanged: October 16.02547, 1981, weight 0.11392.

MIKE TYSON

  • Unchanged: August 13, 1984, weight 8.21918.

Overall Result
Unchanged: July 29.89210, 1984. Weight 8.33310.

Tilda's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
GABRIELLE DENNIS

  • Unchanged: October 20, 1981, weight 0.11155.

MABEL'S STROKE WHEN TILDA WAS 3

  • Unchanged: October 5.5, 1985, weight 2.88409.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 12.63603, 1985. Weight 2.99564.

Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
SOON BEFORE KILLING PETE

  • Unchanged: March 6, 1987, weight 6.53595.

Overall Result
Unchanged: March 6, 1987. Weight 6.53595.

Bert's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
STEPHEN HILL

  • Unchanged: October 12.5, 1976, weight 0.10222.

Overall Result
Unchanged: October 12.5, 1976. Weight 0.10222.

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
LATANYA RICHARDSON JACKSON

  • Unchanged: 24,834.07692 days, weight 0.01961.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 24,834.07692 days. Weight 0.01961.

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
LATANYA RICHARDSON JACKSON

  • Unchanged: 24,147.5 days, weight 0.02017.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 24,147.5 days. Weight 0.02017.

Pop's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
List of Evidence
EDWIN FREEMAN

  • Unchanged: 13,641.34615 days, weight 0.05355.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 13,641.34615 days. Weight 0.05355.

Pop's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
EDWIN FREEMAN

  • Unchanged: 13,722.5 days, weight 0.05323.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 13,722.5 days. Weight 0.05323.

Ridenhour's Date of Birth → Mariah's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
IMPLIED TO BE THE SAME AGE

  • Unchanged: 0 days, weight 1.60281.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 0 days. Weight 1.60281.

Mariah's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
TOREE ALEXANDRE

  • Unchanged: 8093.07692 days, weight 0.18052.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 8093.07692 days. Weight 0.18052.

Mariah's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
MEGAN MILLER

  • Unchanged: 10,864.5 days, weight 0.06724.

STUDYING

  • Unchanged: 6635 days, weight 0.46567.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7168.65780 days. Weight 0.53291.

Donovan's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
CHAUNDRE HALL-BROOMFIELD

  • Unchanged: 8493.07692 days, weight 0.17202.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 8493.07692 days. Weight 0.17202.

Anansi's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
DESMOND ELISHA DENIS

  • Unchanged: 9385.07692 days, weight 0.15567.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 9385.07692 days. Weight 0.15567.

Ingrid's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
MELISSA VASSELL

  • Unchanged: 7856.07692 days, weight 0.18597.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7856.07692 days. Weight 0.18597.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
JAYDEN D. BROWN

  • Unchanged: 3652 days, weight 0.31825.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 3652 days. Weight 0.31825.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
List of Evidence
ELIJAH BOOTHE

  • Unchanged: 7152.34615 days, weight 0.06809.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7152.34615 days. Weight 0.06809.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
ELIJAH BOOTHE

  • Unchanged: 7233.5 days, weight 0.06733.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7233.5 days. Weight 0.06733.

Sheldon's Date of Birth → Bushmaster's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
SAME AGE

  • Unchanged: 0 days, weight 4.11603.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 0 days. Weight 4.11603.

Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
MEKHI HEWLING

  • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days, weight 0.14893.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.

Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
MEKHI HEWLING

  • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days, weight 0.14893.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.

Nandi's Date of Birth → Misty's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
ONE-YEAR DIFFERENCE

  • Unchanged: 365.04781 days, weight 4.11523.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 365.04781 days. Weight 4.11523.

"Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
TWO YEARS LATER

  • Unchanged: 730.5 days, weight 12.78247.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 730.5 days. Weight 12.78247.

Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
ROUGHLY THE SAME TIME

  • Unchanged: 1 day, weight 0.28673.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 1 day. Weight 0.28673.

Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets → Pop's Arrest

List of Evidence

AFTER

  • In Code of the Streets, Pop states that his arrest ended his time at the top of his game on the streets with Cottonmouth and Fredo.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: Since the first pass has shown that this is not ideal, to minimise the push from ideal placements, it can be just the next day, 1 day.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory dialogue. Value: 3000.
      • Absolute shortest interpretation: It's the same day, 0 days.
      • Shortest possible interpretation: The same, 0 days.
      • Shortest realistic interpretation: The same, 0 days.
      • Longest realistic interpretation: It is already pushing it quite a lot to stretch the arrest as after this, shouldn't be more than a month, 30.4375 days.
      • Longest possible interpretation: Again, shouldn't be too much after, no more than 3 months, 91.3125 days.
      • Absolute longest interpretation: Really shouldn't be too much after, definitely no more than 6 months, 182.625 days.
        • 0 days to (([30.4375 days] × 4 + [91.3125 days] × 2 + [182.625 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = 0 days to 69.57143 days = 69.57143 days of leniency. 1 day, weight 3000 ÷ 69.57143 = 43.12115.

Overall Result

1 day. Weight 43.12115.

Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's → Pop's Arrest

List of Evidence

AFTER

  • In Code of the Streets, Pop states that his arrest ended his time at the top of his game on the streets with Cottonmouth and Fredo, so also after he visits Mama Mabel's to get Cottonmouth, set during that time.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: Since the first pass has shown that this is not ideal, to minimise the push from ideal placements, it can be just the next day, 1 day.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory dialogue. Value: 3000.
      • Absolute shortest interpretation: It's the same day, 0 days.
      • Shortest possible interpretation: The same, 0 days.
      • Shortest realistic interpretation: The same, 0 days.
      • Longest realistic interpretation: It is already pushing it quite a lot to stretch the arrest as after this, shouldn't be more than a month, 30.4375 days.
      • Longest possible interpretation: Again, shouldn't be too much after, no more than 3 months, 91.3125 days.
      • Absolute longest interpretation: Really shouldn't be too much after, definitely no more than 6 months, 182.625 days.
        • 0 days to (([30.4375 days] × 4 + [91.3125 days] × 2 + [182.625 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = 0 days to 69.57143 days = 69.57143 days of leniency. 1 day, weight 3000 ÷ 69.57143 = 43.12115.

Overall Result

1 day. Weight 43.12115.

Pop's Arrest → Bert's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
PREGNANCY

  • Unchanged: 133.5 days, weight 11.15242.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 133.5 days. Weight 11.15242.

Maths

Collected Evidence

  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: February 23.5, 1921. Weight 0.02017.
  • Pop's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 11.76923, 1949. Weight 0.06039.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 25.38281, 1964. Weight 0.87244.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: April 8.67763, 1955. Weight 0.12505.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: October 3.44680, 1955. Weight 0.06554.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: July 30.5, 1977. Weight 0.09857.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: February 26, 1970. Weight 0.08420.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: September 25.65028, 1972. Weight 8.41777.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: June 30, 1972. Weight 0.08858.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 22, 1976. Weight 0.09752.
  • Reva's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: February 27.99020, 1975. Weight 0.10355.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 12, 1983. Weight 0.11748.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: December 31, 1984. Weight 5.38941.
  • Misty's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: July 29.89210, 1984. Weight 8.33310.
  • Tilda's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 12.63603, 1985. Weight 2.99564.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: March 6, 1987. Weight 6.53595.
  • Bert's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: October 12.5, 1976. Weight 0.10222.
  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 24,834.07692 days. Weight 0.01961.
  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 24,147.5 days. Weight 0.02017.
  • Pop's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
    • Unchanged: 13,641.34615 days. Weight 0.05355.
  • Pop's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 13,722.5 days. Weight 0.05323.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth → Mariah's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: 0 days. Weight 1.60281.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 8093.07692 days. Weight 0.18052.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 7168.65780 days. Weight 0.53291.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 8493.07692 days. Weight 0.17202.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 9385.07692 days. Weight 0.15567.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 7856.07692 days. Weight 0.18597.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 3652 days. Weight 0.31825.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
    • Unchanged: 7152.34615 days. Weight 0.06809.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 7233.5 days. Weight 0.06733.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth → Bushmaster's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: 0 days. Weight 4.11603.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth → Misty's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: 365.04781 days. Weight 4.11523.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 730.5 days. Weight 12.78247.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 1 day. Weight 0.28673.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets → Pop's Arrest
    • 1 day. Weight 43.12115.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's → Pop's Arrest
    • 1 day. Weight 43.12115.
  • Unchanged: Pop's Arrest → Bert's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: 133.5 days. Weight 11.15242.

Equations

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth (MMDoB)

  • Unchanged: 16,106.25254 = - MMDoB + 0.32711MEF + 0.33645PVMM

Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB)

  • Unchanged: 4831.71670 = - PDoB + 0.32033PCFotS + 0.31842PVMM

Ridenhour's Date of Birth (RiDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 5748.49326 = - RiDoB + 0.64753MaDoB

Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB)

  • Unchanged: 1503.39896 = 0.65654RiDoB - MaDoB + 0.07394MEF + 0.21829PVMM

Donovan's Date of Birth (DDoB)

  • Unchanged: 2546.71414 = - DDoB + 0.72411MEF

Anansi's Date of Birth (ADoB)

  • Unchanged: - 2407.56781 = - ADoB + 0.61230TYL

Ingrid's Date of Birth (IDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 301.84469 = - IDoB + 0.68834TYL

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 18,036.78725 = - CDoB + 0.03587MEF + 0.00768PCFotS + 0.00759PVMM

Sheldon's Date of Birth (SDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 403.96648 = - SDoB + 0.97893BuDoB

Bushmaster's Date of Birth (BuDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 123.36832 = 0.91236SDoB - BuDoB + 0.03301MEF + 0.03301TYL

Reva's Date of Birth (ReDoB)

  • Unchanged: ReDoB = 20,147.99020

Nandi's Date of Birth (NDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 289.97784 = - NDoB + 0.97224MiDoB

"Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF)

  • Unchanged: - 6518.23203 = 0.00103MMDoB + 0.00950MaDoB + 0.00905DDoB + 0.01674CDoB + 0.00783BuDoB - MEF + 0.67236TYL

Misty's Date of Birth (MiDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 15,910.77031 = 0.33058NDoB - MiDoB

Tilda's Date of Birth (TDoB)

  • Unchanged: TDoB = 23,966.63603

"Two Years Later" (TYL)

  • Unchanged: - 978.68137 = 0.01173ADoB + 0.01401IDoB + 0.01122BuDoB + 0.96304MEF - TYL

Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS)

  • Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB) + 13,641.34615 days. Weight 0.05355.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB) + 7152.34615 days. Weight 0.06809.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) - 1 day. Weight 0.28673.
  • Pop's Arrest (PA) - 1 day. Weight 43.12115.
    • PCFotS = ((PDoB + 13,641.34615) × 0.05355 + (CDoB + 7152.34615) × 0.06809 + (PVMM - 1) × 0.28673 + (PA - 1) × 43.12115) ÷ (0.05355 + 0.06809 + 0.28673 + 43.12115)
    • = PCFotS = (0.05355PDoB + 730.49409 + 0.06809CDoB + 487.00325 + 0.28673PVMM - 0.28673 + 43.12115PA - 43.12115) ÷ 43.52952
    • = PCFotS = (0.05355PDoB + 0.06809CDoB + 0.28673PVMM + 43.12115PA + 1174.08946) ÷ 43.52952
    • = PCFotS = 0.00123PDoB + 0.00156CDoB + 0.00659PVMM + 0.99062PA + 26.97226
    • ⇒ PCFotS - 26.97226 = 0.00123PDoB + 0.00156CDoB + 0.00659PVMM + 0.99062PA
    • ⇒ - 26.97226 = 0.00123PDoB + 0.00156CDoB - PCFotS + 0.00659PVMM + 0.99062PA

Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM)

  • March 6, 1987. Weight 6.53595.
  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth (MMDoB) + 24,147.5 days. Weight 0.02017.
  • Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB) + 13,722.5 days. Weight 0.05323.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB) + 7168.65780 days. Weight 0.53291.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB) + 7233.5 days. Weight 0.06733.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS) + 1 day. Weight 0.28673.
  • Pop's Arrest (PA) - 1 day. Weight 43.12115.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • PVMM = (24,537 × 6.53595 + (MMDoB + 24,147.5) × 0.02017 + (PDoB + 13,722.5) × 0.05323 + (MaDoB + 7168.65780) × 0.53291 + (CDoB + 7233.5) × 0.06733 + (PCFotS + 1) × 0.28673 + (PA - 1) × 43.12115) ÷ (6.53595 + 0.02017 + 0.05323 + 0.53291 + 0.06733 + 0.28673 + 43.12115)
    • = PVMM = (160,372.60515 + 0.02017MMDoB + 487.05508 + 0.05323PDoB + 730.44868 + 0.53291MaDoB + 3820.24943 + 0.06733CDoB + 487.03156 + 0.28673PCFotS + 0.28673 + 43.12115PA - 43.12115) ÷ 50.61747
    • = PVMM = (0.02017MMDoB + 0.05323PDoB + 0.53291MaDoB + 0.06733CDoB + 0.28673PCFotS + 43.12115PA + 165,854.55548) ÷ 50.61747
    • = PVMM = 0.00040MMDoB + 0.00105PDoB + 0.01053MaDoB + 0.00133CDoB + 0.00566PCFotS + 0.85190PA + 3276.62674
    • ⇒ PVMM - 3276.62674 = 0.00040MMDoB + 0.00105PDoB + 0.01053MaDoB + 0.00133CDoB + 0.00566PCFotS + 0.85190PA
    • ⇒ - 3276.62674 = 0.00040MMDoB + 0.00105PDoB + 0.01053MaDoB + 0.00133CDoB + 0.00566PCFotS - PVMM + 0.85190PA

Pop's Arrest (PA)

  • Bert's Date of Birth (BeDoB) - 133.5 days. Weight 11.15242.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS) + 1 day. Weight 43.12115.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) + 1 day. Weight 43.12115.
    • PA = ((BeDoB - 133.5) × 11.15242 + (PCFotS + 1) × 43.12115 + (PVMM + 1) × 43.12115) ÷ (11.15242 + 43.12115 + 43.12115)
    • = PA = (11.15242BeDoB - 1488.84807 + 43.12115PCFotS + 43.12115 + 43.12115PVMM + 43.12115) ÷ 97.39472
    • = PA = (11.15242BeDoB + 43.12115PCFotS + 43.12115PVMM - 1402.60577) ÷ 97.39472
    • = PA = 0.11451BeDoB + 0.44275PCFotS + 0.44275PVMM - 14.40125
    • ⇒ PA + 14.40125 = 0.11451BeDoB + 0.44275PCFotS + 0.44275PVMM
    • ⇒ 14.40125 = 0.44275PCFotS + 0.44275PVMM - PA + 0.11451BeDoB
  • Bert's Date of Birth (BeDoB)
  • Unchanged: - 320.66259 = 0.99092PA - BeDoB

So:

  • Unchanged: 16,106.25254 = - MMDoB + 0.32711MEF + 0.33645PVMM
  • Unchanged: 4831.71670 = - PDoB + 0.32033PCFotS + 0.31842PVMM
  • Unchanged: - 5748.49326 = - RiDoB + 0.64753MaDoB
  • Unchanged: 1503.39896 = 0.65654RiDoB - MaDoB + 0.07394MEF + 0.21829PVMM
  • Unchanged: 2546.71414 = - DDoB + 0.72411MEF
  • Unchanged: - 2407.56781 = - ADoB + 0.61230TYL
  • Unchanged: - 301.84469 = - IDoB + 0.68834TYL
  • Unchanged: - 18,036.78725 = - CDoB + 0.03587MEF + 0.00768PCFotS + 0.00759PVMM
  • Unchanged: - 403.96648 = - SDoB + 0.97893BuDoB
  • Unchanged: - 123.36832 = 0.91236SDoB - BuDoB + 0.03301MEF + 0.03301TYL
  • Unchanged: ReDoB = 20,147.99020
  • Unchanged: - 289.97784 = - NDoB + 0.97224MiDoB
  • Unchanged: - 6518.23203 = 0.00103MMDoB + 0.00950MaDoB + 0.00905DDoB + 0.01674CDoB + 0.00783BuDoB - MEF + 0.67236TYL
  • Unchanged: - 15,910.77031 = 0.33058NDoB - MiDoB
  • Unchanged: TDoB = 23,966.63603
  • Unchanged: - 978.68137 = 0.01173ADoB + 0.01401IDoB + 0.01122BuDoB + 0.96304MEF - TYL
  • - 26.97226 = 0.00123PDoB + 0.00156CDoB - PCFotS + 0.00659PVMM + 0.99062PA
  • - 3276.62674 = 0.00040MMDoB + 0.00105PDoB + 0.01053MaDoB + 0.00133CDoB + 0.00566PCFotS - PVMM + 0.85190PA
  • 14.40125 = 0.44275PCFotS + 0.44275PVMM - PA + 0.11451BeDoB
  • Unchanged: - 320.66259 = 0.99092PA - BeDoB

Results

  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth (MMDoB) = - 100.62053. September 21.37947, 1919.
  • Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB) = 10,779.36206. July 5.36206, 1949.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth (RiDoB) = 16,297.28232. August 13.28232, 1964.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB) = 16,290.81133. August 6.81133, 1964.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth (DDoB) = 14,680.89563. March 10.89563, 1960.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth (ADoB) = 17,442.98043. October 2.98043, 1967.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth (IDoB) = 17,204.46746. February 6.46746, 1967.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB) = 19,263.38515. September 26.38515, 1972.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth (SDoB) = 19,530.02534. June 20.02534, 1973.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth (BuDoB) = 19,537.71859. June 27.71859, 1973.
  • Reva's Date of Birth (ReDoB) = 20,147.99020. February 27.99020, 1975.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth (NDoB) = 23,223.01376. July 31.01376, 1983.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF) = 23,791.42640. February 18.42640, 1985.
  • Misty's Date of Birth (MiDoB) = 23,587.83420. July 29.83420, 1984.
  • Tilda's Date of Birth (TDoB) = 23,966.63603. August 12.63603, 1985.
  • "Two Years Later" (TYL) = 24,555.63060. March 24.63060, 1987.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS) = 24,438.96554. November 27.96554, 1986.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) = 24,441.13100. November 30.13100, 1986.
  • Pop's Arrest (PA) = 24,436.83424. November 25.83424, 1986.
  • Bert's Date of Birth (BeDoB) = 24,535.61037. March 4.61037, 1987.

Factors Yet to Be Introduced

  • Mama Mabel's birthday is August 22nd.
    • Can't apply until it can be specifically "August 22nd, 19xx" as a date, and for that it needs to be clear which August 22nd is best suited.
      • Need to wait until otherwise at final results.
  • The noticeable part of Mariah's pregnancy (roughly 3.5-9 months) cannot be during any flashbacks.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • "Two years later" cannot be after April 5, 1987, with Pete killed on April 6, 1987 and present in "Two years later".
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Jamel Shabazz has to be working by "Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets", so it has to be after 1980.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • The age gap between Mariah and Cornell is enough that Mariah was old enough to change Cornell's diapers.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Pop last saw Reva when she was 5, so her being 5 cannot be during his 10-year prison stint.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Nandi should not just be close to a year older than Misty, but has to specifically be one calendar year apart.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Misty met Pop aged 9, so Misty being 9 cannot be during his prison stint.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results don't fit, with her being 9 from July 1993 to July 1994 and Pop in prison from November 1986 to November 1996. Usually, would wait until it's clear which direction to push it, but there's nothing else to be applied yet to help, sothe decision has to be made. While this would usually suggest Misty meeting Pop should be after Pop gets out of prison, Misty cannot turn 10 later than February 1995, and Pop's arrest can't be as early as February 1985, with Cottonmouth clearly older than 12 when he spent his time with Pop on the streets. Misty meeting Pop must therefore be before his arrest. So, adding to third pass.
  • Pop's arrest has to be after "Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets", from his dialogue in Code of the Streets.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results still don't quite fit, which would involve strengthening the evidence to make sure it fits, but since the aforementioned Misty adjustment is happening, Pop's arrest will be pulled significantly later anyway, so the added evidence just trying to drag Pop's arrest past these scenes is likely no longer necessary. So, removing from third pass.
  • Pop's arrest has to be after "Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's", from his dialogue in Code of the Streets.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results still don't quite fit, which would involve strengthening the evidence to make sure it fits, but since the aforementioned Misty adjustment is happening, Pop's arrest will be pulled significantly later anyway, so the added evidence just trying to drag Pop's arrest past these scenes is likely no longer necessary. So, removing from third pass.
  • Once it is clear which directions each date is being pulled in, it's important to then change the leniency windows to just the earlier/later, shorter/longer ones as is fitting, as they are currently operating on an averaged leniency, whereas something might have little leniency in a certain direction and a lot in another, but being pulled in the little direction, too far since it's based on average leniency.
    • Can't apply until all the evidence is in play.
      • Need to wait until nearly at final results.

Third Pass

Evidence

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
LATANYA RICHARDSON JACKSON

  • Unchanged: February 23.5, 1921, weight 0.02017.

Overall Result
Unchanged: February 23.5, 1921. Weight 0.02017.

Pop's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
FRANKIE FAISON

  • Unchanged: August 11.76923, 1949, weight 0.06039.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 11.76923, 1949. Weight 0.06039.

Ridenhour's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
PETER JAY FERNANDEZ

  • Unchanged: August 16, 1953, weight 0.06247.

KARLA 35 YEARS

  • July 2, 1965, weight 0.80997.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 25.38281, 1964. Weight 0.87244.

Mariah's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
MEGAN MILLER

  • Unchanged: July 7.5, 1957, weight 0.06724.

ALFRE WOODARD

  • Unchanged: November 7.73299, 1952, weight 0.06258.

Overall Result
Unchanged: April 8.67763, 1955. Weight 0.12505.

Donovan's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
DANNY JOHNSON

  • Unchanged: October 3.44680, 1955, weight 0.06554.

Overall Result
Unchanged: October 3.44680, 1955. Weight 0.06554.

Anansi's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
SAHR NGAUJAH

  • Unchanged: July 30.5, 1977, weight 0.09857.

Overall Result
Unchanged: July 30.5, 1977. Weight 0.09857.

Ingrid's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
HEATHER ALICIA SIMMS

  • Unchanged: February 26, 1970. Weight 0.08420.

Overall Result
Unchanged: February 26, 1970. Weight 0.08420.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
14 YEARS OLD

  • Unchanged: October 5.5, 1972, weight 8.25472.

ELIJAH BOOTHE

  • Unchanged: June 16.5, 1967, weight 0.06733.

MAHERSHALA ALI

  • Unchanged: February 14.5, 1974, weight 0.09572.

Overall Result
Unchanged: September 25.65028, 1972. Weight 8.41777.

Sheldon's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
KEVIN MAMBO

  • Unchanged: June 30, 1972, weight 0.08858.

Overall Result
Unchanged: June 30, 1972. Weight 0.08858.

Bushmaster's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
MUSTAFA SHAKIR

  • Unchanged: August 22, 1976, weight 4 ÷ 41.01848 = 0.09752.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 22, 1976. Weight 0.09752.

Reva's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
PARISA FITZ-HENLEY

  • Unchanged: February 27.99020, 1975. Weight 0.10355.

Overall Result
Unchanged: February 27.99020, 1975. Weight 0.10355.

Nandi's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
ANTONIQUE SMITH

  • Unchanged: August 12, 1983, weight 0.11748.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 12, 1983. Weight 0.11748.

"Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
MID 80'S [SIC]

  • Unchanged: December 31, 1984, weight 5.38941.

Overall Result
Unchanged: December 31, 1984. Weight 5.38941.

Misty's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
SIMONE MISSICK

  • Unchanged: October 16.02547, 1981, weight 0.11392.

MIKE TYSON

  • Unchanged: August 13, 1984, weight 8.21918.

Overall Result
Unchanged: July 29.89210, 1984. Weight 8.33310.

Tilda's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
GABRIELLE DENNIS

  • Unchanged: October 20, 1981, weight 0.11155.

MABEL'S STROKE WHEN TILDA WAS 3

  • Unchanged: October 5.5, 1985, weight 2.88409.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 12.63603, 1985. Weight 2.99564.

Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
SOON BEFORE KILLING PETE

  • Unchanged: March 6, 1987, weight 6.53595.

Overall Result
Unchanged: March 6, 1987. Weight 6.53595.

Bert's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
STEPHEN HILL

  • Unchanged: October 12.5, 1976, weight 0.10222.

Overall Result
Unchanged: October 12.5, 1976. Weight 0.10222.

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
LATANYA RICHARDSON JACKSON

  • Unchanged: 24,834.07692 days, weight 0.01961.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 24,834.07692 days. Weight 0.01961.

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
LATANYA RICHARDSON JACKSON

  • Unchanged: 24,147.5 days, weight 0.02017.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 24,147.5 days. Weight 0.02017.

Pop's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
List of Evidence
EDWIN FREEMAN

  • Unchanged: 13,641.34615 days, weight 0.05355.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 13,641.34615 days. Weight 0.05355.

Pop's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
EDWIN FREEMAN

  • Unchanged: 13,722.5 days, weight 0.05323.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 13,722.5 days. Weight 0.05323.

Ridenhour's Date of Birth → Mariah's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
IMPLIED TO BE THE SAME AGE

  • Unchanged: 0 days, weight 1.60281.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 0 days. Weight 1.60281.

Mariah's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
TOREE ALEXANDRE

  • Unchanged: 8093.07692 days, weight 0.18052.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 8093.07692 days. Weight 0.18052.

Mariah's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
MEGAN MILLER

  • Unchanged: 10,864.5 days, weight 0.06724.

STUDYING

  • Unchanged: 6635 days, weight 0.46567.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7168.65780 days. Weight 0.53291.

Donovan's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
CHAUNDRE HALL-BROOMFIELD

  • Unchanged: 8493.07692 days, weight 0.17202.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 8493.07692 days. Weight 0.17202.

Anansi's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
DESMOND ELISHA DENIS

  • Unchanged: 9385.07692 days, weight 0.15567.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 9385.07692 days. Weight 0.15567.

Ingrid's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
MELISSA VASSELL

  • Unchanged: 7856.07692 days, weight 0.18597.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7856.07692 days. Weight 0.18597.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
JAYDEN D. BROWN

  • Unchanged: 3652 days, weight 0.31825.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 3652 days. Weight 0.31825.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
List of Evidence
ELIJAH BOOTHE

  • Unchanged: 7152.34615 days, weight 0.06809.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7152.34615 days. Weight 0.06809.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
ELIJAH BOOTHE

  • Unchanged: 7233.5 days, weight 0.06733.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7233.5 days. Weight 0.06733.

Sheldon's Date of Birth → Bushmaster's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
SAME AGE

  • Unchanged: 0 days, weight 4.11603.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 0 days. Weight 4.11603.

Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
MEKHI HEWLING

  • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days, weight 0.14893.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.

Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
MEKHI HEWLING

  • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days, weight 0.14893.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.

Nandi's Date of Birth → Misty's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
ONE-YEAR DIFFERENCE

  • Unchanged: 365.04781 days, weight 4.11523.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 365.04781 days. Weight 4.11523.

"Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
TWO YEARS LATER

  • Unchanged: 730.5 days, weight 12.78247.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 730.5 days. Weight 12.78247.

Misty's Date of Birth → Pop's Arrest

List of Evidence

AFTER A POINT WHEN SHE WAS 9

  • In Code of the Streets, Misty says she has known Pop "since [she] was 9". As established, she has to meet him before his arrest.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: Since the second pass has shown that this is far from ideal, to minimise the push from ideal placements, it can be just after she turned 9, say a week as she seems to have got to know him at least a little at 9, 3294.25 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory dialogue. Value: 3000.
      • Absolute shortest interpretation: It was the day of her 9th birthday, 3287.25 days.
      • Shortest possible interpretation: The same, 3287.25 days.
      • Shortest realistic interpretation: The same, 3287.25 days.
      • Longest realistic interpretation: It is already pushing it quite a lot to stretch the arrest as after her meeting him in at least the first half of her being 9, shouldn't be more than a month after 9.5, 3500.3125 days.
      • Longest possible interpretation: Again, shouldn't be too much after, no more than 3 months, 3561.1875 days.
      • Absolute longest interpretation: Really shouldn't be too much after, definitely no more than 6 months, 3652.5 days.
        • 3287.25 days to (([3500.3125 days] × 4 + [3561.1875 days] × 2 + [3652.5 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = 3287.25 days to 3539.44643 days = 252.19643 days of leniency. 3294.25 days, weight 3000 ÷ 252.19643 = 11.89549.

Overall Result

3294.25 days. Weight 11.89549.

Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
ROUGHLY THE SAME TIME

  • Unchanged: 1 day, weight 0.28673.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 1 day. Weight 0.28673.

Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets → Pop's Arrest

List of Evidence

REMOVING "AFTER"

Overall Result

Nothing.

Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's → Pop's Arrest

List of Evidence

REMOVING "AFTER"

Overall Result

Nothing.

Pop's Arrest → Bert's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
PREGNANCY

  • Unchanged: 133.5 days, weight 11.15242.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 133.5 days. Weight 11.15242.

Maths

Collected Evidence

  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: February 23.5, 1921. Weight 0.02017.
  • Pop's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 11.76923, 1949. Weight 0.06039.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 25.38281, 1964. Weight 0.87244.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: April 8.67763, 1955. Weight 0.12505.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: October 3.44680, 1955. Weight 0.06554.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: July 30.5, 1977. Weight 0.09857.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: February 26, 1970. Weight 0.08420.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: September 25.65028, 1972. Weight 8.41777.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: June 30, 1972. Weight 0.08858.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 22, 1976. Weight 0.09752.
  • Reva's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: February 27.99020, 1975. Weight 0.10355.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 12, 1983. Weight 0.11748.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: December 31, 1984. Weight 5.38941.
  • Misty's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: July 29.89210, 1984. Weight 8.33310.
  • Tilda's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 12.63603, 1985. Weight 2.99564.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: March 6, 1987. Weight 6.53595.
  • Bert's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: October 12.5, 1976. Weight 0.10222.
  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 24,834.07692 days. Weight 0.01961.
  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 24,147.5 days. Weight 0.02017.
  • Pop's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
    • Unchanged: 13,641.34615 days. Weight 0.05355.
  • Pop's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 13,722.5 days. Weight 0.05323.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth → Mariah's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: 0 days. Weight 1.60281.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 8093.07692 days. Weight 0.18052.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 7168.65780 days. Weight 0.53291.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 8493.07692 days. Weight 0.17202.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 9385.07692 days. Weight 0.15567.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 7856.07692 days. Weight 0.18597.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 3652 days. Weight 0.31825.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
    • Unchanged: 7152.34615 days. Weight 0.06809.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 7233.5 days. Weight 0.06733.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth → Bushmaster's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: 0 days. Weight 4.11603.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth → Misty's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: 365.04781 days. Weight 4.11523.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 730.5 days. Weight 12.78247.
  • Misty's Date of Birth → Pop's Arrest
    • 3294.25 days. Weight 11.89549.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 1 day. Weight 0.28673.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets → Pop's Arrest
    • Nothing.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's → Pop's Arrest
    • Nothing.
  • Unchanged: Pop's Arrest → Bert's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: 133.5 days. Weight 11.15242.

Equations

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth (MMDoB)

  • Unchanged: 16,106.25254 = - MMDoB + 0.32711MEF + 0.33645PVMM

Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB)

  • Unchanged: 4831.71670 = - PDoB + 0.32033PCFotS + 0.31842PVMM

Ridenhour's Date of Birth (RiDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 5748.49326 = - RiDoB + 0.64753MaDoB

Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB)

  • Unchanged: 1503.39896 = 0.65654RiDoB - MaDoB + 0.07394MEF + 0.21829PVMM

Donovan's Date of Birth (DDoB)

  • Unchanged: 2546.71414 = - DDoB + 0.72411MEF

Anansi's Date of Birth (ADoB)

  • Unchanged: - 2407.56781 = - ADoB + 0.61230TYL

Ingrid's Date of Birth (IDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 301.84469 = - IDoB + 0.68834TYL

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 18,036.78725 = - CDoB + 0.03587MEF + 0.00768PCFotS + 0.00759PVMM

Sheldon's Date of Birth (SDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 403.96648 = - SDoB + 0.97893BuDoB

Bushmaster's Date of Birth (BuDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 123.36832 = 0.91236SDoB - BuDoB + 0.03301MEF + 0.03301TYL

Reva's Date of Birth (ReDoB)

  • Unchanged: ReDoB = 20,147.99020

Nandi's Date of Birth (NDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 289.97784 = - NDoB + 0.97224MiDoB

"Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF)

  • Unchanged: - 6518.23203 = 0.00103MMDoB + 0.00950MaDoB + 0.00905DDoB + 0.01674CDoB + 0.00783BuDoB - MEF + 0.67236TYL

Misty's Date of Birth (MiDoB)

  • July 29.89210, 1984. Weight 8.33310.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth (NDoB) + 365.04781 days. Weight 4.11523.
  • Pop's Arrest (PA) - 3294.25 days. Weight 11.89549.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • MiDoB = (23,587.89210 × 8.33310 + (NDoB + 365.04781) × 4.11523 + (PA - 3294.25) × 11.89549) ÷ (8.33310 + 4.11523 + 11.89549)
    • = MiDoB = (196,560.26366 + 4.11523NDoB + 1502.25570 + 11.89549PA - 39,186.71793) ÷ 24.34382
    • = MiDoB = (4.11523NDoB + 11.89549PA + 158,875.80143) ÷ 24.34382
    • = MiDoB = 0.16905NDoB + 0.48865PA + 6526.32994
    • ⇒ MiDoB - 6526.32994 = 0.16905NDoB + 0.48865PA
    • ⇒ - 6526.32994 = 0.16905NDoB - MiDoB + 0.48865PA

Tilda's Date of Birth (TDoB)

  • Unchanged: TDoB = 23,966.63603

"Two Years Later" (TYL)

  • Unchanged: - 978.68137 = 0.01173ADoB + 0.01401IDoB + 0.01122BuDoB + 0.96304MEF - TYL

Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS)

  • Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB) + 13,641.34615 days. Weight 0.05355.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB) + 7152.34615 days. Weight 0.06809.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) - 1 day. Weight 0.28673.
    • PCFotS = ((PDoB + 13,641.34615) × 0.05355 + (CDoB + 7152.34615) × 0.06809 + (PVMM - 1) × 0.28673) ÷ (0.05355 + 0.06809 + 0.28673)
    • = PCFotS = (0.05355PDoB + 730.49409 + 0.06809CDoB + 487.00325 + 0.28673PVMM - 0.28673) ÷ 0.40837
    • = PCFotS = (0.05355PDoB + 0.06809CDoB + 0.28673PVMM + 1217.21061) ÷ 0.40837
    • = PCFotS = 0.13113PDoB + 0.16674CDoB + 0.70213PVMM + 2980.65629
    • ⇒ PCFotS - 2980.65629 = 0.13113PDoB + 0.16674CDoB + 0.70213PVMM
    • ⇒ - 2980.65629 = 0.13113PDoB + 0.16674CDoB - PCFotS + 0.70213PVMM

Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM)

  • March 6, 1987. Weight 6.53595.
  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth (MMDoB) + 24,147.5 days. Weight 0.02017.
  • Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB) + 13,722.5 days. Weight 0.05323.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB) + 7168.65780 days. Weight 0.53291.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB) + 7233.5 days. Weight 0.06733.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS) + 1 day. Weight 0.28673.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • PVMM = (24,537 × 6.53595 + (MMDoB + 24,147.5) × 0.02017 + (PDoB + 13,722.5) × 0.05323 + (MaDoB + 7168.65780) × 0.53291 + (CDoB + 7233.5) × 0.06733 + (PCFotS + 1) × 0.28673) ÷ (6.53595 + 0.02017 + 0.05323 + 0.53291 + 0.06733 + 0.28673)
    • = PVMM = (160,372.60515 + 0.02017MMDoB + 487.05508 + 0.05323PDoB + 730.44868 + 0.53291MaDoB + 3820.24943 + 0.06733CDoB + 487.03156 + 0.28673PCFotS + 0.28673) ÷ 7.49632
    • = PVMM = (0.02017MMDoB + 0.05323PDoB + 0.53291MaDoB + 0.06733CDoB + 0.28673PCFotS + 165,897.67663) ÷ 7.49632
    • = PVMM = 0.00269MMDoB + 0.00710PDoB + 0.07109MaDoB + 0.00898CDoB + 0.03825PCFotS + 22,130.54894
    • ⇒ PVMM - 22,130.54894 = 0.00269MMDoB + 0.00710PDoB + 0.07109MaDoB + 0.00898CDoB + 0.03825PCFotS
    • ⇒ - 22,130.54894 = 0.00269MMDoB + 0.00710PDoB + 0.07109MaDoB + 0.00898CDoB + 0.03825PCFotS - PVMM

Pop's Arrest (PA)

  • Misty's Date of Birth (MiDoB) + 3294.25 days. Weight 11.89549.
  • Bert's Date of Birth (BeDoB) - 133.5 days. Weight 11.15242.
    • PA = ((MiDoB + 3294.25) × 11.89549 + (BeDoB - 133.5) × 11.15242) ÷ (11.89549 + 11.15242)
    • = PA = (11.89549MiDoB + 39,186.71793 + 11.15242BeDoB - 1488.84807) ÷ 23.04791
    • = PA = (11.89549MiDoB + 11.15242BeDoB + 37,697.86986) ÷ 23.04791
    • = PA = 0.51612MiDoB + 0.48388BeDoB + 1635.63073
    • ⇒ PA - 1635.63073 = 0.51612MiDoB + 0.48388BeDoB
    • ⇒ - 1635.63073 = 0.51612MiDoB - PA + 0.48388BeDoB
  • Bert's Date of Birth (BeDoB)
  • Unchanged: - 320.66259 = 0.99092PA - BeDoB

So:

  • Unchanged: 16,106.25254 = - MMDoB + 0.32711MEF + 0.33645PVMM
  • Unchanged: 4831.71670 = - PDoB + 0.32033PCFotS + 0.31842PVMM
  • Unchanged: - 5748.49326 = - RiDoB + 0.64753MaDoB
  • Unchanged: 1503.39896 = 0.65654RiDoB - MaDoB + 0.07394MEF + 0.21829PVMM
  • Unchanged: 2546.71414 = - DDoB + 0.72411MEF
  • Unchanged: - 2407.56781 = - ADoB + 0.61230TYL
  • Unchanged: - 301.84469 = - IDoB + 0.68834TYL
  • Unchanged: - 18,036.78725 = - CDoB + 0.03587MEF + 0.00768PCFotS + 0.00759PVMM
  • Unchanged: - 403.96648 = - SDoB + 0.97893BuDoB
  • Unchanged: - 123.36832 = 0.91236SDoB - BuDoB + 0.03301MEF + 0.03301TYL
  • Unchanged: ReDoB = 20,147.99020
  • Unchanged: - 289.97784 = - NDoB + 0.97224MiDoB
  • Unchanged: - 6518.23203 = 0.00103MMDoB + 0.00950MaDoB + 0.00905DDoB + 0.01674CDoB + 0.00783BuDoB - MEF + 0.67236TYL
  • - 6526.32994 = 0.16905NDoB - MiDoB + 0.48865PA
  • Unchanged: TDoB = 23,966.63603
  • Unchanged: - 978.68137 = 0.01173ADoB + 0.01401IDoB + 0.01122BuDoB + 0.96304MEF - TYL
  • - 2980.65629 = 0.13113PDoB + 0.16674CDoB - PCFotS + 0.70213PVMM
  • - 22,130.54894 = 0.00269MMDoB + 0.00710PDoB + 0.07109MaDoB + 0.00898CDoB + 0.03825PCFotS - PVMM
  • - 1635.63073 = 0.51612MiDoB - PA + 0.48388BeDoB
  • Unchanged: - 320.66259 = 0.99092PA - BeDoB

Results

  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth (MMDoB) = - 84.05450. October 7.9455, 1919.
  • Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB) = 10,916.73213. November 19.73213, 1949.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth (RiDoB) = 16,309.26993. August 25.26993, 1964.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB) = 16,309.32415. August 25.32415, 1964.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth (DDoB) = 14,681.44869. March 11.44869, 1960.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth (ADoB) = 17,443.44179. October 3.44179, 1967.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth (IDoB) = 17,204.98611. February 6.98611, 1967.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB) = 19,266.70389. September 29.70389, 1972.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth (SDoB) = 19,530.48415. June 20.48415, 1973.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth (BuDoB) = 19,538.18727. June 28.18727, 1973.
  • Reva's Date of Birth (ReDoB) = 20,147.99020. February 27.99020, 1975.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth (NDoB) = 23,152.17630. May 21.17630, 1983.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF) = 23,792.19018. February 19.19018, 1985.
  • Misty's Date of Birth (MiDoB) = 23,514.97414. May 17.97414, 1984.
  • Tilda's Date of Birth (TDoB) = 23,966.63603. August 12.63603, 1985.
  • "Two Years Later" (TYL) = 24,556.38409. March 25.38409, 1987.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS) = 24,819.59878. December 13.59878, 1987.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) = 24,489.62614. January 17.62614, 1987.
  • Pop's Arrest (PA) = 26,756.91968. April 2.91968, 1993.
  • Bert's Date of Birth (BeDoB) = 26,834.62944. June 19.62944, 1993.

Factors Yet to Be Introduced

  • Mama Mabel's birthday is August 22nd.
    • Can't apply until it can be specifically "August 22nd, 19xx" as a date, and for that it needs to be clear which August 22nd is best suited.
      • Need to wait until otherwise at final results.
  • The noticeable part of Mariah's pregnancy (roughly 3.5-9 months) cannot be during any flashbacks.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • "Two years later" cannot be after April 5, 1987, with Pete killed on April 6, 1987 and present in "Two years later".
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Jamel Shabazz has to be working by "Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets", so it has to be after 1980.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • The age gap between Mariah and Cornell is enough that Mariah was old enough to change Cornell's diapers.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Pop last saw Reva when she was 5, so her being 5 cannot be during his 10-year prison stint.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Nandi should not just be close to a year older than Misty, but has to specifically be one calendar year apart.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Misty met Pop aged 9, so Misty being 9 cannot be during his prison stint.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results still don't quite fit, so strengthening evidence in fourth pass.
  • Pop's arrest has to be after "Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets", from his dialogue in Code of the Streets.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Pop's arrest has to be after "Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's", from his dialogue in Code of the Streets.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Once it is clear which directions each date is being pulled in, it's important to then change the leniency windows to just the earlier/later, shorter/longer ones as is fitting, as they are currently operating on an averaged leniency, whereas something might have little leniency in a certain direction and a lot in another, but being pulled in the little direction, too far since it's based on average leniency.
    • Can't apply until all the evidence is in play.
      • Need to wait until nearly at final results.

Fourth Pass

Evidence

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
LATANYA RICHARDSON JACKSON

  • Unchanged: February 23.5, 1921, weight 0.02017.

Overall Result
Unchanged: February 23.5, 1921. Weight 0.02017.

Pop's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
FRANKIE FAISON

  • Unchanged: August 11.76923, 1949, weight 0.06039.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 11.76923, 1949. Weight 0.06039.

Ridenhour's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
PETER JAY FERNANDEZ

  • Unchanged: August 16, 1953, weight 0.06247.

KARLA 35 YEARS

  • July 2, 1965, weight 0.80997.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 25.38281, 1964. Weight 0.87244.

Mariah's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
MEGAN MILLER

  • Unchanged: July 7.5, 1957, weight 0.06724.

ALFRE WOODARD

  • Unchanged: November 7.73299, 1952, weight 0.06258.

Overall Result
Unchanged: April 8.67763, 1955. Weight 0.12505.

Donovan's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
DANNY JOHNSON

  • Unchanged: October 3.44680, 1955, weight 0.06554.

Overall Result
Unchanged: October 3.44680, 1955. Weight 0.06554.

Anansi's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
SAHR NGAUJAH

  • Unchanged: July 30.5, 1977, weight 0.09857.

Overall Result
Unchanged: July 30.5, 1977. Weight 0.09857.

Ingrid's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
HEATHER ALICIA SIMMS

  • Unchanged: February 26, 1970. Weight 0.08420.

Overall Result
Unchanged: February 26, 1970. Weight 0.08420.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
14 YEARS OLD

  • Unchanged: October 5.5, 1972, weight 8.25472.

ELIJAH BOOTHE

  • Unchanged: June 16.5, 1967, weight 0.06733.

MAHERSHALA ALI

  • Unchanged: February 14.5, 1974, weight 0.09572.

Overall Result
Unchanged: September 25.65028, 1972. Weight 8.41777.

Sheldon's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
KEVIN MAMBO

  • Unchanged: June 30, 1972, weight 0.08858.

Overall Result
Unchanged: June 30, 1972. Weight 0.08858.

Bushmaster's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
MUSTAFA SHAKIR

  • Unchanged: August 22, 1976, weight 4 ÷ 41.01848 = 0.09752.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 22, 1976. Weight 0.09752.

Reva's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
PARISA FITZ-HENLEY

  • Unchanged: February 27.99020, 1975. Weight 0.10355.

Overall Result
Unchanged: February 27.99020, 1975. Weight 0.10355.

Nandi's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
ANTONIQUE SMITH

  • Unchanged: August 12, 1983, weight 0.11748.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 12, 1983. Weight 0.11748.

"Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
MID 80'S [SIC]

  • Unchanged: December 31, 1984, weight 5.38941.

Overall Result
Unchanged: December 31, 1984. Weight 5.38941.

Misty's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
SIMONE MISSICK

  • Unchanged: October 16.02547, 1981, weight 0.11392.

MIKE TYSON

  • Unchanged: August 13, 1984, weight 8.21918.

Overall Result
Unchanged: July 29.89210, 1984. Weight 8.33310.

Tilda's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
GABRIELLE DENNIS

  • Unchanged: October 20, 1981, weight 0.11155.

MABEL'S STROKE WHEN TILDA WAS 3

  • Unchanged: October 5.5, 1985, weight 2.88409.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 12.63603, 1985. Weight 2.99564.

Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
SOON BEFORE KILLING PETE

  • Unchanged: March 6, 1987, weight 6.53595.

Overall Result
Unchanged: March 6, 1987. Weight 6.53595.

Bert's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
STEPHEN HILL

  • Unchanged: October 12.5, 1976, weight 0.10222.

Overall Result
Unchanged: October 12.5, 1976. Weight 0.10222.

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
LATANYA RICHARDSON JACKSON

  • Unchanged: 24,834.07692 days, weight 0.01961.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 24,834.07692 days. Weight 0.01961.

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
LATANYA RICHARDSON JACKSON

  • Unchanged: 24,147.5 days, weight 0.02017.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 24,147.5 days. Weight 0.02017.

Pop's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
List of Evidence
EDWIN FREEMAN

  • Unchanged: 13,641.34615 days, weight 0.05355.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 13,641.34615 days. Weight 0.05355.

Pop's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
EDWIN FREEMAN

  • Unchanged: 13,722.5 days, weight 0.05323.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 13,722.5 days. Weight 0.05323.

Ridenhour's Date of Birth → Mariah's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
IMPLIED TO BE THE SAME AGE

  • Unchanged: 0 days, weight 1.60281.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 0 days. Weight 1.60281.

Mariah's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
TOREE ALEXANDRE

  • Unchanged: 8093.07692 days, weight 0.18052.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 8093.07692 days. Weight 0.18052.

Mariah's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
MEGAN MILLER

  • Unchanged: 10,864.5 days, weight 0.06724.

STUDYING

  • Unchanged: 6635 days, weight 0.46567.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7168.65780 days. Weight 0.53291.

Donovan's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
CHAUNDRE HALL-BROOMFIELD

  • Unchanged: 8493.07692 days, weight 0.17202.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 8493.07692 days. Weight 0.17202.

Anansi's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
DESMOND ELISHA DENIS

  • Unchanged: 9385.07692 days, weight 0.15567.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 9385.07692 days. Weight 0.15567.

Ingrid's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
MELISSA VASSELL

  • Unchanged: 7856.07692 days, weight 0.18597.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7856.07692 days. Weight 0.18597.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
JAYDEN D. BROWN

  • Unchanged: 3652 days, weight 0.31825.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 3652 days. Weight 0.31825.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
List of Evidence
ELIJAH BOOTHE

  • Unchanged: 7152.34615 days, weight 0.06809.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7152.34615 days. Weight 0.06809.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
ELIJAH BOOTHE

  • Unchanged: 7233.5 days, weight 0.06733.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7233.5 days. Weight 0.06733.

Sheldon's Date of Birth → Bushmaster's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
SAME AGE

  • Unchanged: 0 days, weight 4.11603.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 0 days. Weight 4.11603.

Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
MEKHI HEWLING

  • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days, weight 0.14893.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.

Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
MEKHI HEWLING

  • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days, weight 0.14893.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.

Nandi's Date of Birth → Misty's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
ONE-YEAR DIFFERENCE

  • Unchanged: 365.04781 days, weight 4.11523.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 365.04781 days. Weight 4.11523.

"Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
TWO YEARS LATER

  • Unchanged: 730.5 days, weight 12.78247.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 730.5 days. Weight 12.78247.

Misty's Date of Birth → Pop's Arrest

List of Evidence

AFTER A POINT WHEN SHE WAS 9

  • In Code of the Streets, Misty says she has known Pop "since [she] was 9". As established, she has to meet him before his arrest.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: Since the second pass has shown that this is far from ideal, to minimise the push from ideal placements, it can be just after she turned 9, say a week as she seems to have got to know him at least a little at 9, 3294.25 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory firm order. Value: 30,000.
      • Absolute shortest interpretation: It was the day of her 9th birthday, 3287.25 days.
      • Shortest possible interpretation: The same, 3287.25 days.
      • Shortest realistic interpretation: The same, 3287.25 days.
      • Longest realistic interpretation: It is already pushing it quite a lot to stretch the arrest as after her meeting him in at least the first half of her being 9, shouldn't be more than a month after 9.5, 3500.3125 days.
      • Longest possible interpretation: Again, shouldn't be too much after, no more than 3 months, 3561.1875 days.
      • Absolute longest interpretation: Really shouldn't be too much after, definitely no more than 6 months, 3652.5 days.
        • 3287.25 days to (([3500.3125 days] × 4 + [3561.1875 days] × 2 + [3652.5 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = 3287.25 days to 3539.44643 days = 252.19643 days of leniency. 3294.25 days, weight 30,000 ÷ 252.19643 = 118.95490.

Overall Result

3294.25 days. Weight 118.95490.

Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
ROUGHLY THE SAME TIME

  • Unchanged: 1 day, weight 0.28673.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 1 day. Weight 0.28673.

Pop's Arrest → Bert's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
PREGNANCY

  • Unchanged: 133.5 days, weight 11.15242.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 133.5 days. Weight 11.15242.

Maths

Collected Evidence

  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: February 23.5, 1921. Weight 0.02017.
  • Pop's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 11.76923, 1949. Weight 0.06039.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 25.38281, 1964. Weight 0.87244.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: April 8.67763, 1955. Weight 0.12505.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: October 3.44680, 1955. Weight 0.06554.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: July 30.5, 1977. Weight 0.09857.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: February 26, 1970. Weight 0.08420.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: September 25.65028, 1972. Weight 8.41777.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: June 30, 1972. Weight 0.08858.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 22, 1976. Weight 0.09752.
  • Reva's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: February 27.99020, 1975. Weight 0.10355.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 12, 1983. Weight 0.11748.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: December 31, 1984. Weight 5.38941.
  • Misty's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: July 29.89210, 1984. Weight 8.33310.
  • Tilda's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 12.63603, 1985. Weight 2.99564.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: March 6, 1987. Weight 6.53595.
  • Bert's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: October 12.5, 1976. Weight 0.10222.
  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 24,834.07692 days. Weight 0.01961.
  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 24,147.5 days. Weight 0.02017.
  • Pop's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
    • Unchanged: 13,641.34615 days. Weight 0.05355.
  • Pop's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 13,722.5 days. Weight 0.05323.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth → Mariah's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: 0 days. Weight 1.60281.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 8093.07692 days. Weight 0.18052.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 7168.65780 days. Weight 0.53291.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 8493.07692 days. Weight 0.17202.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 9385.07692 days. Weight 0.15567.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 7856.07692 days. Weight 0.18597.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 3652 days. Weight 0.31825.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
    • Unchanged: 7152.34615 days. Weight 0.06809.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 7233.5 days. Weight 0.06733.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth → Bushmaster's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: 0 days. Weight 4.11603.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth → Misty's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: 365.04781 days. Weight 4.11523.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 730.5 days. Weight 12.78247.
  • Misty's Date of Birth → Pop's Arrest
    • 3294.25 days. Weight 118.95490.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 1 day. Weight 0.28673.
  • Unchanged: Pop's Arrest → Bert's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: 133.5 days. Weight 11.15242.

Equations

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth (MMDoB)

  • Unchanged: 16,106.25254 = - MMDoB + 0.32711MEF + 0.33645PVMM

Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB)

  • Unchanged: 4831.71670 = - PDoB + 0.32033PCFotS + 0.31842PVMM

Ridenhour's Date of Birth (RiDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 5748.49326 = - RiDoB + 0.64753MaDoB

Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB)

  • Unchanged: 1503.39896 = 0.65654RiDoB - MaDoB + 0.07394MEF + 0.21829PVMM

Donovan's Date of Birth (DDoB)

  • Unchanged: 2546.71414 = - DDoB + 0.72411MEF

Anansi's Date of Birth (ADoB)

  • Unchanged: - 2407.56781 = - ADoB + 0.61230TYL

Ingrid's Date of Birth (IDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 301.84469 = - IDoB + 0.68834TYL

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 18,036.78725 = - CDoB + 0.03587MEF + 0.00768PCFotS + 0.00759PVMM

Sheldon's Date of Birth (SDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 403.96648 = - SDoB + 0.97893BuDoB

Bushmaster's Date of Birth (BuDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 123.36832 = 0.91236SDoB - BuDoB + 0.03301MEF + 0.03301TYL

Reva's Date of Birth (ReDoB)

  • Unchanged: ReDoB = 20,147.99020

Nandi's Date of Birth (NDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 289.97784 = - NDoB + 0.97224MiDoB

"Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF)

  • Unchanged: - 6518.23203 = 0.00103MMDoB + 0.00950MaDoB + 0.00905DDoB + 0.01674CDoB + 0.00783BuDoB - MEF + 0.67236TYL

Misty's Date of Birth (MiDoB)

  • July 29.89210, 1984. Weight 8.33310.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth (NDoB) + 365.04781 days. Weight 4.11523.
  • Pop's Arrest (PA) - 3294.25 days. Weight 118.95490.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • MiDoB = (23,587.89210 × 8.33310 + (NDoB + 365.04781) × 4.11523 + (PA - 3294.25) × 118.95490) ÷ (8.33310 + 4.11523 + 118.95490)
    • = MiDoB = (196,560.26366 + 4.11523NDoB + 1502.25570 + 118.95490PA - 391,867.17933) ÷ 131.40323
    • = MiDoB = (4.11523NDoB + 118.95490PA - 193,804.65997) ÷ 131.40323
    • = MiDoB = 0.03132NDoB + 0.90527PA - 1474.88505
    • ⇒ MiDoB + 1474.88505 = 0.03132NDoB + 0.90527PA
    • ⇒ 1474.88505 = 0.03132NDoB - MiDoB + 0.90527PA

Tilda's Date of Birth (TDoB)

  • Unchanged: TDoB = 23,966.63603

"Two Years Later" (TYL)

  • Unchanged: - 978.68137 = 0.01173ADoB + 0.01401IDoB + 0.01122BuDoB + 0.96304MEF - TYL

Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS)

  • Unchanged: - 2980.65629 = 0.13113PDoB + 0.16674CDoB - PCFotS + 0.70213PVMM

Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM)

  • - 22,130.54894 = 0.00269MMDoB + 0.00710PDoB + 0.07109MaDoB + 0.00898CDoB + 0.03825PCFotS - PVMM

Pop's Arrest (PA)

  • Misty's Date of Birth (MiDoB) + 3294.25 days. Weight 118.95490.
  • Bert's Date of Birth (BeDoB) - 133.5 days. Weight 11.15242.
    • PA = ((MiDoB + 3294.25) × 118.95490 + (BeDoB - 133.5) × 11.15242) ÷ (118.95490 + 11.15242)
    • = PA = (118.95490MiDoB + 391,867.17933 + 11.15242BeDoB - 1488.84807) ÷ 130.10732
    • = PA = (118.95490MiDoB + 11.15242BeDoB + 390,378.33126) ÷ 130.10732
    • = PA = 0.91428MiDoB + 0.08572BeDoB + 3000.43327
    • ⇒ PA - 3000.43327 = 0.91428MiDoB + 0.08572BeDoB
    • ⇒ - 3000.43327 = 0.91428MiDoB - PA + 0.08572BeDoB
  • Bert's Date of Birth (BeDoB)
  • Unchanged: - 320.66259 = 0.99092PA - BeDoB

So:

  • Unchanged: 16,106.25254 = - MMDoB + 0.32711MEF + 0.33645PVMM
  • Unchanged: 4831.71670 = - PDoB + 0.32033PCFotS + 0.31842PVMM
  • Unchanged: - 5748.49326 = - RiDoB + 0.64753MaDoB
  • Unchanged: 1503.39896 = 0.65654RiDoB - MaDoB + 0.07394MEF + 0.21829PVMM
  • Unchanged: 2546.71414 = - DDoB + 0.72411MEF
  • Unchanged: - 2407.56781 = - ADoB + 0.61230TYL
  • Unchanged: - 301.84469 = - IDoB + 0.68834TYL
  • Unchanged: - 18,036.78725 = - CDoB + 0.03587MEF + 0.00768PCFotS + 0.00759PVMM
  • Unchanged: - 403.96648 = - SDoB + 0.97893BuDoB
  • Unchanged: - 123.36832 = 0.91236SDoB - BuDoB + 0.03301MEF + 0.03301TYL
  • Unchanged: ReDoB = 20,147.99020
  • Unchanged: - 289.97784 = - NDoB + 0.97224MiDoB
  • Unchanged: - 6518.23203 = 0.00103MMDoB + 0.00950MaDoB + 0.00905DDoB + 0.01674CDoB + 0.00783BuDoB - MEF + 0.67236TYL
  • 1474.88505 = 0.03132NDoB - MiDoB + 0.90527PA
  • Unchanged: TDoB = 23,966.63603
  • Unchanged: - 978.68137 = 0.01173ADoB + 0.01401IDoB + 0.01122BuDoB + 0.96304MEF - TYL
  • Unchanged: - 2980.65629 = 0.13113PDoB + 0.16674CDoB - PCFotS + 0.70213PVMM
  • Unchanged: - 22,130.54894 = 0.00269MMDoB + 0.00710PDoB + 0.07109MaDoB + 0.00898CDoB + 0.03825PCFotS - PVMM
  • - 3000.43327 = 0.91428MiDoB - PA + 0.08572BeDoB
  • Unchanged: - 320.66259 = 0.99092PA - BeDoB

Results

  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth (MMDoB) = - 84.05450. October 7.9455, 1919.
  • Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB) = 10,916.73213. November 19.73213, 1949.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth (RiDoB) = 16,309.26993. August 25.26993, 1964.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB) = 16,309.32415. August 25.32415, 1964.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth (DDoB) = 14,681.44869. March 11.44869, 1960.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth (ADoB) = 17,443.44179. October 3.44179, 1967.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth (IDoB) = 17,204.98611. February 6.98611, 1967.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB) = 19,266.70389. September 29.70389, 1972.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth (SDoB) = 19,530.48415. June 20.48415, 1973.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth (BuDoB) = 19,538.18727. June 28.18727, 1973.
  • Reva's Date of Birth (ReDoB) = 20,147.99020. February 27.99020, 1975.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth (NDoB) = 23,153.54752. May 22.54752, 1983.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF) = 23,792.19018. February 19.19018, 1985.
  • Misty's Date of Birth (MiDoB) = 23,516.38451. May 19.38451, 1984.
  • Tilda's Date of Birth (TDoB) = 23,966.63603. August 12.63603, 1985.
  • "Two Years Later" (TYL) = 24,556.38409. March 25.38409, 1987.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS) = 24,819.59878. December 13.59878, 1987.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) = 24,489.62614. January 17.62614, 1987.
  • Pop's Arrest (PA) = 26,805.37348. May 21.37348, 1993.
  • Bert's Date of Birth (BeDoB) = 26,882.64328. August 6.64328, 1993.

Factors Yet to Be Introduced

  • Mama Mabel's birthday is August 22nd.
    • Can't apply until it can be specifically "August 22nd, 19xx" as a date, and for that it needs to be clear which August 22nd is best suited.
      • Need to wait until otherwise at final results.
  • The noticeable part of Mariah's pregnancy (roughly 3.5-9 months) cannot be during any flashbacks.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • "Two years later" cannot be after April 5, 1987, with Pete killed on April 6, 1987 and present in "Two years later".
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Jamel Shabazz has to be working by "Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets", so it has to be after 1980.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • The age gap between Mariah and Cornell is enough that Mariah was old enough to change Cornell's diapers.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Pop last saw Reva when she was 5, so her being 5 cannot be during his 10-year prison stint.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Nandi should not just be close to a year older than Misty, but has to specifically be one calendar year apart.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Misty met Pop aged 9, so Misty being 9 cannot be during his prison stint.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply further.
  • Pop's arrest has to be after "Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets", from his dialogue in Code of the Streets.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Pop's arrest has to be after "Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's", from his dialogue in Code of the Streets.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Once it is clear which directions each date is being pulled in, it's important to then change the leniency windows to just the earlier/later, shorter/longer ones as is fitting, as they are currently operating on an averaged leniency, whereas something might have little leniency in a certain direction and a lot in another, but being pulled in the little direction, too far since it's based on average leniency.
    • Can't apply until all the evidence is in play.
      • Applying in fifth pass.'

Fifth Pass

Evidence

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
LATANYA RICHARDSON JACKSON

  • Unchanged: February 23.5, 1921, weight 0.02017.

Overall Result
Unchanged: February 23.5, 1921. Weight 0.02017.

Pop's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
FRANKIE FAISON

  • Unchanged: August 11.76923, 1949, weight 0.06039.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 11.76923, 1949. Weight 0.06039.

Ridenhour's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

PETER JAY FERNANDEZ

  • Unchanged: August 16, 1953, weight 0.06247.

KARLA 35 YEARS

  • The ideal is July 2, 1965. The total evidence is pushing it toward August 25.26993, 1964, so earlier than ideal from this piece of evidence. Therefore, the pertinent window of leniency is the earliest interpretations.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: July 2, 1965.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Value: 3000.
      • Absolute earliest interpretation: January 1, 1952.
      • Earliest possible interpretation: January 1, 1952.
      • Earliest realistic interpretation: January 1, 1963.
        • (([January 1, 1952] × 1 + [January 1, 1952] × 2 + [January 1, 1963] × 4) ÷ 7) to July 2, 1965 = April 15, 1958 to July 2, 1965 = 2635 days of leniency, × 2 = effectively 5270 days of leniency. July 2, 1965, weight 3000 ÷ 5270 = 0.56926.

Overall Result

([August 16, 1953] × 0.06247 + [July 2, 1965] × 0.56926) ÷ (0.06247 + 0.56926) = April 29.02740, 1964. Weight 0.06247 + 0.56926 = 0.63173.

Mariah's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
MEGAN MILLER

  • Unchanged: July 7.5, 1957, weight 0.06724.

ALFRE WOODARD

  • Unchanged: November 7.73299, 1952, weight 0.06258.

Overall Result
Unchanged: April 8.67763, 1955. Weight 0.12505.

Donovan's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
DANNY JOHNSON

  • Unchanged: October 3.44680, 1955, weight 0.06554.

Overall Result
Unchanged: October 3.44680, 1955. Weight 0.06554.

Anansi's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
SAHR NGAUJAH

  • Unchanged: July 30.5, 1977, weight 0.09857.

Overall Result
Unchanged: July 30.5, 1977. Weight 0.09857.

Ingrid's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
HEATHER ALICIA SIMMS

  • Unchanged: February 26, 1970. Weight 0.08420.

Overall Result
Unchanged: February 26, 1970. Weight 0.08420.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

14 YEARS OLD

  • The ideal is October 5.5, 1972. The total evidence is pushing it toward September 29.70389, 1972, so earlier than ideal from this piece of evidence. Therefore, the pertinent window of leniency is the earliest interpretations.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: October 5.5, 1972.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Value: 3000.
      • Absolute earliest interpretation: April 7, 1972.
      • Earliest possible interpretation: April 7, 1972.
      • Earliest realistic interpretation: April 7, 1972.
        • April 7, 1972 to October 5.5, 1972 = 181.5 days of leniency, × 2 = effectively 363 days of leniency. October 5.5, 1972, weight 3000 ÷ 363 = 8.26446.

ELIJAH BOOTHE

  • Unchanged: June 16.5, 1967, weight 0.06733.

MAHERSHALA ALI

  • Unchanged: February 14.5, 1974, weight 0.09572.

Overall Result

([October 5.5, 1972] × 8.26446 + [June 16.5, 1967] × 0.06733 + [February 14.5, 1974] × 0.09572) ÷ (8.26446 + 0.06733 + 0.09572) = September 25.66166, 1972. Weight 8.26446 + 0.06733 + 0.09572 = 8.42751.

Sheldon's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
KEVIN MAMBO

  • Unchanged: June 30, 1972, weight 0.08858.

Overall Result
Unchanged: June 30, 1972. Weight 0.08858.

Bushmaster's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
MUSTAFA SHAKIR

  • Unchanged: August 22, 1976, weight 4 ÷ 41.01848 = 0.09752.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 22, 1976. Weight 0.09752.

Reva's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
PARISA FITZ-HENLEY

  • Unchanged: February 27.99020, 1975. Weight 0.10355.

Overall Result
Unchanged: February 27.99020, 1975. Weight 0.10355.

Nandi's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
ANTONIQUE SMITH

  • Unchanged: August 12, 1983, weight 0.11748.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 12, 1983. Weight 0.11748.

"Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks

List of Evidence

MID 80'S [SIC]

  • The ideal is December 31, 1984. The total evidence is pushing it toward February 19.19018, 1985 so later than ideal from this piece of evidence. Therefore, the pertinent window of leniency is the latest interpretations.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: December 31, 1984.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Value: 6000.
      • Latest realistic interpretation: December 31.3, 1985.
      • Latest possible interpretation: September 0.83333, 1986.
      • Absolute latest interpretation: May 1.66667, 1988.
        • December 31, 1984 to (([December 31.3, 1985] × 4 + [September 0.83333, 1986] × 2 + [May 1.66667, 1988] × 1) ÷ 7) = December 31, 1984 to July 10.64762, 1986 = 556.64762 days of leniency, × 2 = effectively 1113.29524 days of leniency. December 31, 1984, weight 6000 ÷ 1113.29524 = 5.38941.

Overall Result

Unchanged: December 31, 1984. Weight 5.38941.

Misty's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

SIMONE MISSICK

  • Unchanged: October 16.02547, 1981, weight 0.11392.

MIKE TYSON

  • The ideal is August 13, 1984. The total evidence is pushing it toward May 19.38451, 1984, so earlier than ideal from this piece of evidence. Therefore, the pertinent window of leniency is the earliest interpretations.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: August 13, 1984.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Value: 3000.
      • Absolute earliest interpretation: February 12, 1984.
      • Earliest possible interpretation: February 12, 1984.
      • Earliest realistic interpretation: February 12, 1984.
        • February 12, 1984 to August 13, 1984 = 183 days of leniency, × 2 = effectively 366 days of leniency. August 13, 1984, weight 3000 ÷ 366 = 8.19672.

Overall Result

([October 16.02547, 1981] × 0.11392 + [August 13, 1984] × 8.19672) ÷ (0.11392 + 8.19672) = July 29.85397, 1984. Weight 0.11392 + 8.19672 = 8.31064.

Tilda's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
GABRIELLE DENNIS

  • Unchanged: October 20, 1981, weight 0.11155.

MABEL'S STROKE WHEN TILDA WAS 3

  • The ideal is October 5.5, 1985. The total evidence is pushing it toward August 12.63603, 1985, so earlier than ideal from this piece of evidence. Therefore, the pertinent window of leniency is the earliest interpretations.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: October 5.5, 1985.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Value: 2250.
      • Absolute earliest interpretation: April 7, 1983.
      • Earliest possible interpretation: April 8, 1983.
      • Earliest realistic interpretation: April 7, 1984.
        • (([April 7, 1983] × 1 + [April 8, 1983] × 2 + [April 7, 1984] × 4) ÷ 7) to April 7, 1984 = November 2.42857, 1984 to October 5.5, 1985 = 337.07143 days of leniency, × 2 = effectively 674.14286 days of leniency. October 5.5, 1985, weight 2250 ÷ 674.14286 = 3.33757.

Overall Result

([October 20, 1981] × 0.11155 + [October 5.5, 1985] × 3.33757) ÷ (0.11155 + 3.33757) = August 19.71790, 1985. Weight 0.11155 + 3.33757 = 3.44912.

Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's

List of Evidence

SOON BEFORE KILLING PETE

  • The ideal is March 6, 1987. The total evidence is pushing it toward January 17.62614, 1987, so earlier than ideal from this piece of evidence. Therefore, the pertinent window of leniency is the earliest interpretations.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: March 6, 1987.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Value: 6000.
      • Absolute earliest interpretation: January 25, 1983.
      • Earliest possible interpretation: February 23, 1984.
      • Earliest realistic interpretation: June 19, 1985.
        • (([January 25, 1983] × 1 + [February 23, 1984] × 2 + [June 19, 1985] × 4) ÷ 7) to March 6, 1987 = September 29.14286, 1984 to March 6, 1987 = 887.85714 days of leniency, × 2 = effectively 1775.71428 days of leniency. March 6, 1987, weight 6000 ÷ 1775.71428 = 3.37892.

Overall Result

March 6, 1987. Weight 3.37892.

Bert's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
STEPHEN HILL

  • Unchanged: October 12.5, 1976, weight 0.10222.

Overall Result
Unchanged: October 12.5, 1976. Weight 0.10222.

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
LATANYA RICHARDSON JACKSON

  • Unchanged: 24,834.07692 days, weight 0.01961.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 24,834.07692 days. Weight 0.01961.

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
LATANYA RICHARDSON JACKSON

  • Unchanged: 24,147.5 days, weight 0.02017.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 24,147.5 days. Weight 0.02017.

Pop's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
List of Evidence
EDWIN FREEMAN

  • Unchanged: 13,641.34615 days, weight 0.05355.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 13,641.34615 days. Weight 0.05355.

Pop's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
EDWIN FREEMAN

  • Unchanged: 13,722.5 days, weight 0.05323.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 13,722.5 days. Weight 0.05323.

Ridenhour's Date of Birth → Mariah's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

IMPLIED TO BE THE SAME AGE

  • The ideal is 0 days. The total evidence is pushing it toward 0.05422 days, so there is no clear direction it's being pulled, sticking with using both ways.
  • Unchanged: 0 days, weight 1.60281.

Overall Result

Unchanged: 0 days. Weight 1.60281.

Mariah's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
TOREE ALEXANDRE

  • Unchanged: 8093.07692 days, weight 0.18052.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 8093.07692 days. Weight 0.18052.

Mariah's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's

List of Evidence

MEGAN MILLER

  • Unchanged: 10,864.5 days, weight 0.06724.

STUDYING

  • The ideal is 6635 days. The total evidence is pushing it toward 8180.30199 days, so longer than ideal from this piece of evidence. Therefore, the pertinent window of leniency is the longest interpretations.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: 6635 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Value: 1125.
      • Longest realistic interpretation: 7821 days.
      • Longest possible interpretation: 9282 days.
      • Absolute longest interpretation: 12,567.26701 days.
        • 6635 days to (([7821 days] × 4 + [9282 days] × 2 + [12,567.26701 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = 6635 days to 8916.46672 days = 2281.46672 days of leniency, × 2 = effectively 4562.93344 days of leniency. 6635 days, weight 1125 ÷ 4562.93344 = 0.24655.

Overall Result

([10,864.5 days] × 0.06724 + [6635 days] × 0.24655) ÷ (0.06724 + 0.24655) = 7541.31180 days. Weight 0.06724 + 0.24655 = 0.31379.

Donovan's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
CHAUNDRE HALL-BROOMFIELD

  • Unchanged: 8493.07692 days, weight 0.17202.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 8493.07692 days. Weight 0.17202.

Anansi's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
DESMOND ELISHA DENIS

  • Unchanged: 9385.07692 days, weight 0.15567.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 9385.07692 days. Weight 0.15567.

Ingrid's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
MELISSA VASSELL

  • Unchanged: 7856.07692 days, weight 0.18597.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7856.07692 days. Weight 0.18597.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
JAYDEN D. BROWN

  • Unchanged: 3652 days, weight 0.31825.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 3652 days. Weight 0.31825.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
List of Evidence
ELIJAH BOOTHE

  • Unchanged: 7152.34615 days, weight 0.06809.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7152.34615 days. Weight 0.06809.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
ELIJAH BOOTHE

  • Unchanged: 7233.5 days, weight 0.06733.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7233.5 days. Weight 0.06733.

Sheldon's Date of Birth → Bushmaster's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

SAME AGE

  • The ideal is 0 days. The total evidence is pushing it toward 7.70312 days, so there is no massively clear direction it's being pulled, sticking with using both ways, especially since the original evidence's window is symmetrical anyway.
  • Unchanged: 0 days, weight 4.11603.

Overall Result

Unchanged: 0 days. Weight 4.11603.

Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
MEKHI HEWLING

  • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days, weight 0.14893.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.

Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
MEKHI HEWLING

  • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days, weight 0.14893.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.

Nandi's Date of Birth → Misty's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

ONE-YEAR DIFFERENCE

  • The ideal is 365.04781 days. The total evidence is pushing it toward 362.83699 days, so there is no massively clear direction it's being pulled, sticking with using both ways, especially since the original evidence's window is symmetrical anyway.
  • Unchanged: 365.04781 days, weight 4.11523.

Overall Result

Unchanged: 365.04781 days. Weight 4.11523.

"Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks → "Two Years Later"

List of Evidence

TWO YEARS LATER

  • The ideal is 730.5 days. The total evidence is pushing it toward 764.19391 days, so longer than ideal from this piece of evidence. Therefore, the pertinent window of leniency is the longest interpretations.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: 730.5 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Value: 6000.
      • Longest realistic interpretation: 913.125 days.
      • Longest possible interpretation: 1004.4375 days.
      • Absolute longest interpretation: 1095 days.
        • 730.5 days to (([913.125 days] × 4 + [1004.4375 days] × 2 + [1095 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = 730.5 days to 965.19643 days = 234.69643 days of leniency, × 2 = effectively 469.39286 days of leniency. 730.5 days, weight 6000 ÷ 469.39286 = 12.78247.

Overall Result

  • Unchanged: 730.5 days. Weight 12.78247.

Misty's Date of Birth → Pop's Arrest

List of Evidence

AFTER A POINT WHEN SHE WAS 9

  • The ideal is 3294.25 days. The total evidence is pushing it toward 3288.98897 days, so shorter than ideal from this piece of evidence. Therefore, the pertinent window of leniency is the shortest interpretations.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: 3294.25 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Value: 30,000.
      • Absolute shortest interpretation: 3287.25 days.
      • Shortest possible interpretation: 3287.25 days.
      • Shortest realistic interpretation: 3287.25 days.
        • 3287.25 days to 3294.25 days = 7 days of leniency, × 2 = effectively 14 days of leniency. 3294.25 days, weight 30,000 ÷ 14 = 2142.85714.

Overall Result

3294.25 days. Weight 2142.85714.

Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's

List of Evidence

ROUGHLY THE SAME TIME

  • The ideal is 1 day. The total evidence is pushing it toward - 329.97264 days, so shorter than ideal from this piece of evidence. Therefore, the pertinent window of leniency is the shortest interpretations.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: 1 day.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Value: 750.
      • Absolute shortest interpretation: - 2330 days.
      • Shortest possible interpretation: - 1826 days.
      • Shortest realistic interpretation: - 1461 days.
        • (([- 2330 days] × 1 + [- 1826.25 days] × 2 + [- 1461 days] × 4) ÷ 7) to 1 day = - 1689.42857 days to 1 day = 1690.42857 days of leniency, × 2 = effectively 3380.85714 days of leniency. 1 day, weight 750 ÷ 3380.85714 = 0.22184.

Overall Result

1 day. Weight 0.22184.

Pop's Arrest → Bert's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

PREGNANCY

  • The ideal is 133.5 days. The total evidence is pushing it toward 77.26980 days, so shorter than ideal from this piece of evidence. Therefore, the pertinent window of leniency is the shortest interpretations.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: 133.5 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Value: 3000.
      • Absolute shortest interpretation: 0 days.
      • Shortest possible interpretation: 1 day.
      • Shortest realistic interpretation: 5 days.
        • (([0 days] × 1 + [1 day] × 2 + [5 days] × 4) ÷ 7) to 133.5 days = 3.14286 days to 133.5 days = 130.35714 days of leniency, × 2 = effectively 260.71428 days of leniency. 133.5 days, weight 3000 ÷ 260.71428 = 11.50685.

Overall Result

133.5 days. Weight 11.50685.

Maths

Collected Evidence

  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: February 23.5, 1921. Weight 0.02017.
  • Pop's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 11.76923, 1949. Weight 0.06039.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth
    • April 29.02740, 1964. Weight 0.63173.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: April 8.67763, 1955. Weight 0.12505.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: October 3.44680, 1955. Weight 0.06554.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: July 30.5, 1977. Weight 0.09857.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: February 26, 1970. Weight 0.08420.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth
    • September 25.66166, 1972. Weight 8.42751.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: June 30, 1972. Weight 0.08858.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 22, 1976. Weight 0.09752.
  • Reva's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: February 27.99020, 1975. Weight 0.10355.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 12, 1983. Weight 0.11748.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: December 31, 1984. Weight 5.38941.
  • Misty's Date of Birth
    • July 29.85397, 1984. Weight 8.31064.
  • Tilda's Date of Birth
    • August 19.71790, 1985. Weight 3.44912.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • March 6, 1987. Weight 3.37892.
  • Bert's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: October 12.5, 1976. Weight 0.10222.
  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 24,834.07692 days. Weight 0.01961.
  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 24,147.5 days. Weight 0.02017.
  • Pop's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
    • Unchanged: 13,641.34615 days. Weight 0.05355.
  • Pop's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 13,722.5 days. Weight 0.05323.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth → Mariah's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: 0 days. Weight 1.60281.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 8093.07692 days. Weight 0.18052.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • 7541.31180 days. Weight 0.31379.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 8493.07692 days. Weight 0.17202.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 9385.07692 days. Weight 0.15567.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 7856.07692 days. Weight 0.18597.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 3652 days. Weight 0.31825.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
    • Unchanged: 7152.34615 days. Weight 0.06809.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 7233.5 days. Weight 0.06733.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth → Bushmaster's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: 0 days. Weight 4.11603.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth → Misty's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: 365.04781 days. Weight 4.11523.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 730.5 days. Weight 12.78247.
  • Misty's Date of Birth → Pop's Arrest
    • 3294.25 days. Weight 2142.85714.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • 1 day. Weight 0.22184.
  • Pop's Arrest → Bert's Date of Birth
    • 133.5 days. Weight 11.50685.

Equations

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth (MMDoB)

  • Unchanged: 16,106.25254 = - MMDoB + 0.32711MEF + 0.33645PVMM

Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB)

  • Unchanged: 4831.71670 = - PDoB + 0.32033PCFotS + 0.31842PVMM

Ridenhour's Date of Birth (RiDoB)

  • April 29.02740, 1964. Weight 0.63173.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB) - 0 days. Weight 1.60281.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • RiDoB = (16,191.02740 × 0.63173 + (MaDoB - 0) × 1.60281) ÷ (0.63173 + 1.60281)
    • = RiDoB = (10,228.35774 + 1.60281MaDoB - 0) ÷ 2.23454
    • = RiDoB = (1.60281MaDoB + 10,228.35774) ÷ 2.23454
    • = RiDoB = 0.71729MaDoB + 4577.38852
    • ⇒ RiDoB - 4577.38852 = 0.71729MaDoB
    • ⇒ - 4577.38852 = - RiDoB + 0.71729MaDoB

Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB)

  • April 8.67763, 1955. Weight 0.12505.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth (RiDoB) + 0 days. Weight 1.60281.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF) - 8093.07692 days. Weight 0.18052.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) - 7168.65780 days. Weight 0.31379.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • MaDoB = (12,882.67763 × 0.12505 + (RiDoB + 0) × 1.60281 + (MEF - 8093.07692) × 0.18052 + (PVMM - 7168.65780) × 0.31379) ÷ (0.12505 + 1.60281 + 0.18052 + 0.31379)
    • = MaDoB = (1610.97884 + 1.60281RiDoB + 0 + 0.18052MEF - 1460.96225 + 0.31379PVMM - 2249.45313) ÷ 2.22217
    • = MaDoB = (1.60281RiDoB + 0.18052MEF + 0.31379PVMM - 2099.43654) ÷ 2.22217
    • = MaDoB = 0.72128RiDoB + 0.08124MEF + 0.14121PVMM - 944.76865
    • ⇒ MaDoB + 944.76865 = 0.72128RiDoB + 0.08124MEF + 0.14121PVMM
    • ⇒ 944.76865 = 0.72128RiDoB - MaDoB + 0.08124MEF + 0.14121PVMM

Donovan's Date of Birth (DDoB)

  • Unchanged: 2546.71414 = - DDoB + 0.72411MEF

Anansi's Date of Birth (ADoB)

  • Unchanged: - 2407.56781 = - ADoB + 0.61230TYL

Ingrid's Date of Birth (IDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 301.84469 = - IDoB + 0.68834TYL

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB)

  • September 25.66166, 1972. Weight 8.42751.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF) - 3652 days. Weight 0.31825.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS) - 7152.34615 days. Weight 0.06809.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) - 7233.5 days. Weight 0.06733.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • CDoB = (19,262.65028 × 8.42751 + (MEF - 3652) × 0.31825 + (PCFotS - 7152.34615) × 0.06809 + (PVMM - 7233.5) × 0.06733) ÷ (8.42751 + 0.31825 + 0.06809 + 0.06733)
    • = CDoB = (162,336.17786 + 0.31825MEF - 1162.24900 + 0.06809PCFotS - 487.00325 + 0.06733PVMM - 487.03156) ÷ 8.88118
    • = CDoB = (0.31825MEF + 0.06809PCFotS + 0.06733PVMM + 160,199.89405) ÷ 8.88118
    • = CDoB = 0.03583MEF + 0.00767PCFotS + 0.00758PVMM + 18,038.13165
    • ⇒ CDoB - 18,038.13165 = 0.03583MEF + 0.00767PCFotS + 0.00758PVMM
    • ⇒ - 18,038.13165 = - CDoB + 0.03583MEF + 0.00767PCFotS + 0.00758PVMM

Sheldon's Date of Birth (SDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 403.96648 = - SDoB + 0.97893BuDoB

Bushmaster's Date of Birth (BuDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 123.36832 = 0.91236SDoB - BuDoB + 0.03301MEF + 0.03301TYL

Reva's Date of Birth (ReDoB)

  • Unchanged: ReDoB = 20,147.99020

Nandi's Date of Birth (NDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 289.97784 = - NDoB + 0.97224MiDoB

"Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF)

  • Unchanged: - 6518.23203 = 0.00103MMDoB + 0.00950MaDoB + 0.00905DDoB + 0.01674CDoB + 0.00783BuDoB - MEF + 0.67236TYL

Misty's Date of Birth (MiDoB)

  • July 29.85397, 1984. Weight 8.31064.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth (NDoB) + 365.04781 days. Weight 4.11523.
  • Pop's Arrest (PA) - 3294.25 days. Weight 2142.85714.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • MiDoB = (23,587.85397 × 8.31064 + (NDoB + 365.04781) × 4.11523 + (PA - 3294.25) × 2142.85714) ÷ (8.31064 + 4.11523 + 2142.85714)
    • = MiDoB = (196,030.16272 + 4.11523NDoB + 1502.25570 + 2142.85714PA - 7,059,107.13345) ÷ 2155.28301
    • = MiDoB = (4.11523NDoB + 2142.85714PA - 6,861,574.71503) ÷ 2155.28301
    • = MiDoB = 0.00191NDoB + 0.99423PA - 3183.60730
    • ⇒ MiDoB + 3183.60730 = 0.00191NDoB + 0.99423PA
    • ⇒ 3183.60730 = 0.00191NDoB - MiDoB + 0.99423PA

Tilda's Date of Birth (TDoB)

  • August 19.71790, 1985. Weight 3.44912.
    • TDoB = 23,973.71790

"Two Years Later" (TYL)

  • Unchanged: - 978.68137 = 0.01173ADoB + 0.01401IDoB + 0.01122BuDoB + 0.96304MEF - TYL

Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS)

  • Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB) + 13,641.34615 days. Weight 0.05355.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB) + 7152.34615 days. Weight 0.06809.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) - 1 day. Weight 0.22184.
    • PCFotS = ((PDoB + 13,641.34615) × 0.05355 + (CDoB + 7152.34615) × 0.06809 + (PVMM - 1) × 0.22184) ÷ (0.05355 + 0.06809 + 0.22184)
    • = PCFotS = (0.05355PDoB + 730.49409 + 0.06809CDoB + 487.00325 + 0.22184PVMM - 0.22184) ÷ 0.34348
    • = PCFotS = (0.05355PDoB + 0.06809CDoB + 0.22184PVMM + 1217.27550) ÷ 0.34348
    • = PCFotS = 0.15590PDoB + 0.19824CDoB + 0.64586PVMM + 3543.94870
    • ⇒ PCFotS - 3543.94870 = 0.15590PDoB + 0.19824CDoB + 0.64586PVMM
    • ⇒ - 3543.94870 = 0.15590PDoB + 0.19824CDoB - PCFotS + 0.64586PVMM

Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM)

  • March 6, 1987. Weight 3.37892.
  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth (MMDoB) + 24,147.5 days. Weight 0.02017.
  • Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB) + 13,722.5 days. Weight 0.05323.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB) + 7541.31180 days. Weight 0.31379.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB) + 7233.5 days. Weight 0.06733.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS) + 1 day. Weight 0.22184.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • PVMM = (24,537 × 3.37892 + (MMDoB + 24,147.5) × 0.02017 + (PDoB + 13,722.5) × 0.05323 + (MaDoB + 7168.65780) × 0.31379 + (CDoB + 7233.5) × 0.06733 + (PCFotS + 1) × 0.22184) ÷ (3.37892 + 0.02017 + 0.05323 + 0.31379 + 0.06733 + 0.22184)
    • = PVMM = (82,908.56004 + 0.02017MMDoB + 487.05508 + 0.05323PDoB + 730.44868 + 0.31379MaDoB + 2249.45313 + 0.06733CDoB + 487.03156 + 0.22184PCFotS + 0.22184) ÷ 4.05528
    • = PVMM = (0.02017MMDoB + 0.05323PDoB + 0.31379MaDoB + 0.06733CDoB + 0.22184PCFotS + 86,862.77033) ÷ 4.05528
    • = PVMM = 0.00497MMDoB + 0.01313PDoB + 0.07738MaDoB + 0.01660CDoB + 0.05470PCFotS + 21,419.67271
    • ⇒ PVMM - 21,419.67271 = 0.00497MMDoB + 0.01313PDoB + 0.07738MaDoB + 0.01660CDoB + 0.05470PCFotS
    • ⇒ - 21,419.67271 = 0.00497MMDoB + 0.01313PDoB + 0.07738MaDoB + 0.01660CDoB + 0.05470PCFotS - PVMM

Pop's Arrest (PA)

  • Misty's Date of Birth (MiDoB) + 3294.25 days. Weight 2142.85714.
  • Bert's Date of Birth (BeDoB) - 133.5 days. Weight 11.50685.
    • PA = ((MiDoB + 3294.25) × 2142.85714 + (BeDoB - 133.5) × 11.50685) ÷ (2142.85714 + 11.50685)
    • = PA = (2142.85714MiDoB + 7,059,107.13345 + 11.50685BeDoB - 1536.16448) ÷ 2154.36399
    • = PA = (2142.85714MiDoB + 11.50685BeDoB + 7,057,570.96897) ÷ 2154.36399
    • = PA = 0.99466MiDoB + 0.00534BeDoB + 3275.94176
    • ⇒ PA - 3275.94176 = 0.99466MiDoB + 0.00534BeDoB
    • ⇒ - 3275.94176 = 0.99466MiDoB - PA + 0.00534BeDoB

Bert's Date of Birth (BeDoB)

  • October 12.5, 1976. Weight 0.10222.
  • Pop's Arrest (PA) + 133.5 days. Weight 11.50685.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • BeDoB = (20,740.5 × 0.10222 + (PA + 133.5) × 11.50685) ÷ (0.10222 + 11.50685)
    • = BeDoB = (2120.09391 + 11.50685PA + 1536.16448) ÷ 11.60907
    • = BeDoB = (11.50685PA + 3656.25839) ÷ 11.60907
    • = BeDoB = 0.99119PA + 314.94843
    • ⇒ BeDoB - 314.94843 = 0.99119PA
    • ⇒ - 314.94843 = 0.99119A - BeDoB

So:

  • Unchanged: 16,106.25254 = - MMDoB + 0.32711MEF + 0.33645PVMM
  • Unchanged: 4831.71670 = - PDoB + 0.32033PCFotS + 0.31842PVMM
  • - 4577.38852 = - RiDoB + 0.71729MaDoB
  • Unchanged: 944.76865 = 0.72128RiDoB - MaDoB + 0.08124MEF + 0.14121PVMM
  • Unchanged: 2546.71414 = - DDoB + 0.72411MEF
  • Unchanged: - 2407.56781 = - ADoB + 0.61230TYL
  • Unchanged: - 301.84469 = - IDoB + 0.68834TYL
  • - 18,038.13165 = - CDoB + 0.03583MEF + 0.00767PCFotS + 0.00758PVMM
  • Unchanged: - 403.96648 = - SDoB + 0.97893BuDoB
  • Unchanged: - 123.36832 = 0.91236SDoB - BuDoB + 0.03301MEF + 0.03301TYL
  • Unchanged: ReDoB = 20,147.99020
  • Unchanged: - 289.97784 = - NDoB + 0.97224MiDoB
  • Unchanged: - 6518.23203 = 0.00103MMDoB + 0.00950MaDoB + 0.00905DDoB + 0.01674CDoB + 0.00783BuDoB - MEF + 0.67236TYL
  • 3183.60730 = 0.00191NDoB - MiDoB + 0.99423PA
  • TDoB = 23,973.71790
  • Unchanged: - 978.68137 = 0.01173ADoB + 0.01401IDoB + 0.01122BuDoB + 0.96304MEF - TYL
  • - 3543.94870 = 0.15590PDoB + 0.19824CDoB - PCFotS + 0.64586PVMM
  • - 21,419.67271 = 0.00497MMDoB + 0.01313PDoB + 0.07738MaDoB + 0.01660CDoB + 0.05470PCFotS - PVMM
  • - 3275.94176 = 0.99466MiDoB - PA + 0.00534BeDoB
  • - 314.94843 = 0.99119A - BeDoB

Results

  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth (MMDoB) = - 87.82880. October 4.17120, 1919.
  • Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB) = 10,935.69177. December 8.69177, 1949.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth (RiDoB) = 16,090.55626. January 19.55626, 1964.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB) = 16,050.92465. December 10.92465, 1963.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth (DDoB) = 14,675.97954. March 5.97954, 1960.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth (ADoB) = 17,438.87945. September 28.87945, 1967.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth (IDoB) = 17,199.85719. February 1.85719, 1967.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB) = 19,266.78703. September 29.78703, 1972.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth (SDoB) = 19,525.94706. June 15.94706, 1973.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth (BuDoB) = 19,533.55253. June 23.55253, 1973.
  • Reva's Date of Birth (ReDoB) = 20,147.99020. February 27.99020, 1975.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth (NDoB) = 23,122.20034. April 21.20034, 1983.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF) = 23,784.63725. February 11.63725, 1985.
  • Misty's Date of Birth (MiDoB) = 23,484.14229. April 17.14229, 1984.
  • Tilda's Date of Birth (TDoB) = 23,973.71790. August 19.71790, 1985.
  • "Two Years Later" (TYL) = 24,548.93294. March 17.93294, 1987.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS) = 24,882.63828. February 14.63828, 1988.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) = 24,485.75136. January 13.75136, 1987.
  • Pop's Arrest (PA) = 26,778.09580. April 24.09580, 1993.
  • Bert's Date of Birth (BeDoB) = 26,857.12921. July 12.12921, 1993.

Sixth Pass

Evidence

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

LATANYA RICHARDSON JACKSON

  • Unchanged: February 23.5, 1921, weight 0.02017.

AUGUST 22ND

  • In Soul Brother #1, it is said to be Mama Mabel's birthday on August 22nd. It has now been established that the year would be 1919.
    • Where does this place it, ideally?: August 22, 1919.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory dialogue. Value: 3000.
      • Absolute earliest interpretation: Midnight on August 22nd, August 21.5, 1919.
      • Earliest possible interpretation: The same, August 21.5, 1919.
      • Earliest realistic interpretation: The same, August 21.5, 1919.
      • Latest realistic interpretation: Just before midnight on August 23rd, August 22.5, 1919.
      • Latest possible interpretation: The same, August 22.5, 1919.
      • Absolute latest interpretation: The same, August 22.5, 1919.
        • August 21.5, 1919 to August 22.5, 1919 = 1 day of leniency. August 22, 1919, weight 3000 ÷ 1 = 3000.

Overall Result

([February 23.5, 1921] × 0.02017 + [August 22, 1919] × 3000) ÷ (0.02017 + 3000) = August 22.00371, 1919. Weight 0.02017 + 3000 = 3000.02017.

Overall Result
Unchanged: February 23.5, 1921. Weight 0.02017.

Pop's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
FRANKIE FAISON

  • Unchanged: August 11.76923, 1949, weight 0.06039.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 11.76923, 1949. Weight 0.06039.

Ridenhour's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
PETER JAY FERNANDEZ

  • Unchanged: August 16, 1953, weight 0.06247.

KARLA 35 YEARS

  • Unchanged: July 2, 1965, weight 0.56926.

Overall Result
Unchanged: April 29.02740, 1964. Weight 0.63173.

Mariah's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
MEGAN MILLER

  • Unchanged: July 7.5, 1957, weight 0.06724.

ALFRE WOODARD

  • Unchanged: November 7.73299, 1952, weight 0.06258.

Overall Result
Unchanged: April 8.67763, 1955. Weight 0.12505.

Donovan's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
DANNY JOHNSON

  • Unchanged: October 3.44680, 1955, weight 0.06554.

Overall Result
Unchanged: October 3.44680, 1955. Weight 0.06554.

Anansi's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
SAHR NGAUJAH

  • Unchanged: July 30.5, 1977, weight 0.09857.

Overall Result
Unchanged: July 30.5, 1977. Weight 0.09857.

Ingrid's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
HEATHER ALICIA SIMMS

  • Unchanged: February 26, 1970. Weight 0.08420.

Overall Result
Unchanged: February 26, 1970. Weight 0.08420.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
14 YEARS OLD

  • Unchanged: October 5.5, 1972, weight 8.26446.

ELIJAH BOOTHE

  • Unchanged: June 16.5, 1967, weight 0.06733.

MAHERSHALA ALI

  • Unchanged: February 14.5, 1974, weight 0.09572.

Overall Result
Unchanged: September 25.66166, 1972. Weight 8.42751.

Sheldon's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
KEVIN MAMBO

  • Unchanged: June 30, 1972, weight 0.08858.

Overall Result
Unchanged: June 30, 1972. Weight 0.08858.

Bushmaster's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
MUSTAFA SHAKIR

  • Unchanged: August 22, 1976, weight 4 ÷ 41.01848 = 0.09752.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 22, 1976. Weight 0.09752.

Reva's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
PARISA FITZ-HENLEY

  • Unchanged: February 27.99020, 1975. Weight 0.10355.

Overall Result
Unchanged: February 27.99020, 1975. Weight 0.10355.

Nandi's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
ANTONIQUE SMITH

  • Unchanged: August 12, 1983, weight 0.11748.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 12, 1983. Weight 0.11748.

"Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
MID 80'S [SIC]

  • Unchanged: December 31, 1984, weight 5.38941.

Overall Result
Unchanged: December 31, 1984. Weight 5.38941.

Misty's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
SIMONE MISSICK

  • Unchanged: October 16.02547, 1981, weight 0.11392.

MIKE TYSON

  • Unchanged: August 13, 1984, weight 8.19672.

Overall Result
Unchanged: July 29.85397, 1984. Weight 8.31064.

Tilda's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
GABRIELLE DENNIS

  • Unchanged: October 20, 1981, weight 0.11155.

MABEL'S STROKE WHEN TILDA WAS 3

  • Unchanged: October 5.5, 1985, weight 3.33757.

Overall Result
Unchanged: August 19.71790, 1985. Weight 3.44912.

Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
SOON BEFORE KILLING PETE

  • Unchanged: March 6, 1987, weight 3.37892.

Overall Result
Unchanged: March 6, 1987. Weight 3.37892.

Bert's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
STEPHEN HILL

  • Unchanged: October 12.5, 1976, weight 0.10222.

Overall Result
Unchanged: October 12.5, 1976. Weight 0.10222.

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
LATANYA RICHARDSON JACKSON

  • Unchanged: 24,834.07692 days, weight 0.01961.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 24,834.07692 days. Weight 0.01961.

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
LATANYA RICHARDSON JACKSON

  • Unchanged: 24,147.5 days, weight 0.02017.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 24,147.5 days. Weight 0.02017.

Pop's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
List of Evidence
EDWIN FREEMAN

  • Unchanged: 13,641.34615 days, weight 0.05355.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 13,641.34615 days. Weight 0.05355.

Pop's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
EDWIN FREEMAN

  • Unchanged: 13,722.5 days, weight 0.05323.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 13,722.5 days. Weight 0.05323.

Ridenhour's Date of Birth → Mariah's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

IMPLIED TO BE THE SAME AGE

  • The ideal is 0 days. The total evidence is pushing it toward - 39.63161 days, so shorter than ideal from this piece of evidence. Therefore, the pertinent window of leniency is the shortest interpretations.
    • How long does this suggest between the two events, ideally?: 0 days.
    • How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Value: 1500.
      • Absolute shortest interpretation: - 1084 days.
      • Shortest possible interpretation: - 542 days.
      • Shortest realistic interpretation: - 365 days.
        • (([- 1084 days] × 1 + [- 542 days] × 2 + [- 365 days] × 4) ÷ 7) days to 0 days = - 518.28571 days to 0 days = 518.28571 days of leniency, × 2 = effectively 1036.57142 days of leniency. 0 days, weight 1500 ÷ 1036.57142 = 1.44708.

Overall Result

0 days. Weight 1.44708.

Mariah's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
TOREE ALEXANDRE

  • Unchanged: 8093.07692 days, weight 0.18052.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 8093.07692 days. Weight 0.18052.

Mariah's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's

List of Evidence

MEGAN MILLER

  • Unchanged: 10,864.5 days, weight 0.06724.

STUDYING

  • Unchanged: 6635 days, weight 0.24655.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7541.31180 days. Weight 0.31379.

Donovan's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
CHAUNDRE HALL-BROOMFIELD

  • Unchanged: 8493.07692 days, weight 0.17202.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 8493.07692 days. Weight 0.17202.

Anansi's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
DESMOND ELISHA DENIS

  • Unchanged: 9385.07692 days, weight 0.15567.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 9385.07692 days. Weight 0.15567.

Ingrid's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
MELISSA VASSELL

  • Unchanged: 7856.07692 days, weight 0.18597.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7856.07692 days. Weight 0.18597.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
JAYDEN D. BROWN

  • Unchanged: 3652 days, weight 0.31825.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 3652 days. Weight 0.31825.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
List of Evidence
ELIJAH BOOTHE

  • Unchanged: 7152.34615 days, weight 0.06809.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7152.34615 days. Weight 0.06809.

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
ELIJAH BOOTHE

  • Unchanged: 7233.5 days, weight 0.06733.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 7233.5 days. Weight 0.06733.

Sheldon's Date of Birth → Bushmaster's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

SAME AGE

  • The ideal is 0 days. The total evidence is pushing it toward 7.60547 days, so there is no massively clear direction it's being pulled, sticking with using both ways, especially since the original evidence's window is symmetrical anyway.
  • Unchanged: 0 days, weight 4.11603.

Overall Result

Unchanged: 0 days. Weight 4.11603.

Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
List of Evidence
MEKHI HEWLING

  • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days, weight 0.14893.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.

Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
MEKHI HEWLING

  • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days, weight 0.14893.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.

Nandi's Date of Birth → Misty's Date of Birth

List of Evidence

ONE-YEAR DIFFERENCE

  • The ideal is 365.04781 days. The total evidence is pushing it toward 361.94195 days, so there is no massively clear direction it's being pulled, sticking with using both ways, especially since the original evidence's window is symmetrical anyway.
  • Unchanged: 365.04781 days, weight 4.11523.

Overall Result

Unchanged: 365.04781 days. Weight 4.11523.

"Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks → "Two Years Later"
List of Evidence
TWO YEARS LATER

  • Unchanged: 730.5 days, weight 12.78247.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 730.5 days. Weight 12.78247.

Misty's Date of Birth → Pop's Arrest
List of Evidence
AFTER A POINT WHEN SHE WAS 9

  • Unchanged: 3294.25 days, weight 2142.85714.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 3294.25 days. Weight 2142.85714.

Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
List of Evidence
ROUGHLY THE SAME TIME

  • Unchanged: 1 day, weight 0.22184.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 1 day. Weight 0.22184.

Pop's Arrest → Bert's Date of Birth
List of Evidence
PREGNANCY

  • Unchanged: 133.5 days, weight 11.50685.

Overall Result
Unchanged: 133.5 days. Weight 11.50685.

Maths

Collected Evidence

  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth
    • August 22.00371, 1919. Weight 3000.02017.
  • Pop's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 11.76923, 1949. Weight 0.06039.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: April 29.02740, 1964. Weight 0.63173.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: April 8.67763, 1955. Weight 0.12505.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: October 3.44680, 1955. Weight 0.06554.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: July 30.5, 1977. Weight 0.09857.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: February 26, 1970. Weight 0.08420.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: September 25.66166, 1972. Weight 8.42751.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: June 30, 1972. Weight 0.08858.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 22, 1976. Weight 0.09752.
  • Reva's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: February 27.99020, 1975. Weight 0.10355.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: August 12, 1983. Weight 0.11748.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: December 31, 1984. Weight 5.38941.
  • Misty's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: July 29.85397, 1984. Weight 8.31064.
  • Tilda's Date of Birth
    • August 19.71790, 1985. Weight 3.44912.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • March 6, 1987. Weight 3.37892.
  • Bert's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: October 12.5, 1976. Weight 0.10222.
  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 24,834.07692 days. Weight 0.01961.
  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 24,147.5 days. Weight 0.02017.
  • Pop's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
    • Unchanged: 13,641.34615 days. Weight 0.05355.
  • Pop's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 13,722.5 days. Weight 0.05323.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth → Mariah's Date of Birth
    • 0 days. Weight 1.44708.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 8093.07692 days. Weight 0.18052.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchange: 7541.31180 days. Weight 0.31379.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 8493.07692 days. Weight 0.17202.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 9385.07692 days. Weight 0.15567.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 7856.07692 days. Weight 0.18597.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 3652 days. Weight 0.31825.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets
    • Unchanged: 7152.34615 days. Weight 0.06809.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 7233.5 days. Weight 0.06733.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth → Bushmaster's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: 0 days. Weight 4.11603.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks
    • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 4905.07692 days. Weight 0.14893.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth → Misty's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: 365.04781 days. Weight 4.11523.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks → "Two Years Later"
    • Unchanged: 730.5 days. Weight 12.78247.
  • Misty's Date of Birth → Pop's Arrest
    • Unchanged: 3294.25 days. Weight 2142.85714.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets → Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's
    • Unchanged: 1 day. Weight 0.22184.
  • Pop's Arrest → Bert's Date of Birth
    • Unchanged: 133.5 days. Weight 11.50685.

Equations

Mama Mabel's Date of Birth (MMDoB)

  • August 22.00371, 1919. Weight 3000.02017.
  • Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF) - 24,834.07692 days. Weight 0.01961.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) - 24,147.5 days. Weight 0.02017.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • MMDoB = (- 130.99629 × 3000.02017 + (MEF - 24,834.07692) × 0.01961 + (PVMM - 24,147.5) × 0.02017) ÷ (3000.02017 + 0.01961 + 0.02017)
    • = MMDoB = (- 392,991.51220 + 0.01961MEF - 486.99625 + 0.02017PVMM - 487.05508) ÷ 3000.05995
    • = MMDoB = (0.01961MEF + 0.02017PVMM - 393,965.56353) ÷ 3000.05995
    • = MMDoB = 0.00001MEF + 0.00001PVMM - 131.31923
    • = MMDoB + 131.31923 = 0.00001MEF + 0.00001PVMM
    • = 131.31923 = - MMDoB + 0.00001MEF + 0.00001PVMM

Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB)

  • Unchanged: 4831.71670 = - PDoB + 0.32033PCFotS + 0.31842PVMM

Ridenhour's Date of Birth (RiDoB)

  • April 29.02740, 1964. Weight 0.63173.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB) - 0 days. Weight 1.44708.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • RiDoB = (16,191.02740 × 0.63173 + (MaDoB - 0) × 1.44708) ÷ (0.63173 + 1.44708)
    • = RiDoB = (10,228.35774 + 1.44708MaDoB - 0) ÷ 2.07881
    • = RiDoB = (1.44708MaDoB + 10,228.35774) ÷ 2.07881
    • = RiDoB = 0.69611MaDoB + 4920.29466
    • ⇒ RiDoB - 4920.29466 = 0.69611MaDoB
    • ⇒ - 4920.29466 = - RiDoB + 0.69611MaDoB

Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB)

  • April 8.67763, 1955. Weight 0.12505.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth (RiDoB) + 0 days. Weight 1.44708.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF) - 8093.07692 days. Weight 0.18052.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) - 7168.65780 days. Weight 0.31379.
    • With January 1, 1920 as "1", January 2, 1920 as "2", etc.:
    • MaDoB = (12,882.67763 × 0.12505 + (RiDoB + 0) × 1.44708 + (MEF - 8093.07692) × 0.18052 + (PVMM - 7168.65780) × 0.31379) ÷ (0.12505 + 1.44708 + 0.18052 + 0.31379)
    • = MaDoB = (1610.97884 + 1.44708RiDoB + 0 + 0.18052MEF - 1460.96225 + 0.31379PVMM - 2249.45313) ÷ 2.06644
    • = MaDoB = (1.44708RiDoB + 0.18052MEF + 0.31379PVMM - 2099.43654) ÷ 2.06644
    • = MaDoB = 0.70028RiDoB + 0.08736MEF + 0.15185PVMM - 1015.96782
    • ⇒ MaDoB + 1015.96782 = 0.70028RiDoB + 0.08736MEF + 0.15185PVMM
    • ⇒ 1015.96782 = 0.70028RiDoB - MaDoB + 0.08736MEF + 0.15185PVMM

Donovan's Date of Birth (DDoB)

  • Unchanged: 2546.71414 = - DDoB + 0.72411MEF

Anansi's Date of Birth (ADoB)

  • Unchanged: - 2407.56781 = - ADoB + 0.61230TYL

Ingrid's Date of Birth (IDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 301.84469 = - IDoB + 0.68834TYL

Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 18,038.13165 = - CDoB + 0.03583MEF + 0.00767PCFotS + 0.00758PVMM

Sheldon's Date of Birth (SDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 403.96648 = - SDoB + 0.97893BuDoB

Bushmaster's Date of Birth (BuDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 123.36832 = 0.91236SDoB - BuDoB + 0.03301MEF + 0.03301TYL

Reva's Date of Birth (ReDoB)

  • Unchanged: ReDoB = 20,147.99020

Nandi's Date of Birth (NDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 289.97784 = - NDoB + 0.97224MiDoB

"Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF)

  • Unchanged: - 6518.23203 = 0.00103MMDoB + 0.00950MaDoB + 0.00905DDoB + 0.01674CDoB + 0.00783BuDoB - MEF + 0.67236TYL

Misty's Date of Birth (MiDoB)

  • Unchanged: 3183.60730 = 0.00191NDoB - MiDoB + 0.99423PA

Tilda's Date of Birth (TDoB)

  • Unchanged: TDoB = 23,973.71790

"Two Years Later" (TYL)

  • Unchanged: - 978.68137 = 0.01173ADoB + 0.01401IDoB + 0.01122BuDoB + 0.96304MEF - TYL

Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS)

  • Unchanged: - 3543.94870 = 0.15590PDoB + 0.19824CDoB - PCFotS + 0.64586PVMM

Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM)

  • Unchanged: - 21,419.67271 = 0.00497MMDoB + 0.01313PDoB + 0.07738MaDoB + 0.01660CDoB + 0.05470PCFotS - PVMM

Pop's Arrest (PA)

  • Unchanged: - 3275.94176 = 0.99466MiDoB - PA + 0.00534BeDoB

Bert's Date of Birth (BeDoB)

  • Unchanged: - 314.94843 = 0.99119A - BeDoB

So:

  • 131.31923 = - MMDoB + 0.00001MEF + 0.00001PVMM
  • Unchanged: 4831.71670 = - PDoB + 0.32033PCFotS + 0.31842PVMM
  • - 4920.29466 = - RiDoB + 0.69611MaDoB
  • 1015.96782 = 0.70028RiDoB - MaDoB + 0.08736MEF + 0.15185PVMM
  • Unchanged: 2546.71414 = - DDoB + 0.72411MEF
  • Unchanged: - 2407.56781 = - ADoB + 0.61230TYL
  • Unchanged: - 301.84469 = - IDoB + 0.68834TYL
  • Unchanged: - 18,038.13165 = - CDoB + 0.03583MEF + 0.00767PCFotS + 0.00758PVMM
  • Unchanged: - 403.96648 = - SDoB + 0.97893BuDoB
  • Unchanged: - 123.36832 = 0.91236SDoB - BuDoB + 0.03301MEF + 0.03301TYL
  • Unchanged: ReDoB = 20,147.99020
  • Unchanged: - 289.97784 = - NDoB + 0.97224MiDoB
  • Unchanged: - 6518.23203 = 0.00103MMDoB + 0.00950MaDoB + 0.00905DDoB + 0.01674CDoB + 0.00783BuDoB - MEF + 0.67236TYL
  • Unchanged: 3183.60730 = 0.00191NDoB - MiDoB + 0.99423PA
  • Unchanged: TDoB = 23,973.71790
  • Unchanged: - 978.68137 = 0.01173ADoB + 0.01401IDoB + 0.01122BuDoB + 0.96304MEF - TYL
  • Unchanged: - 3543.94870 = 0.15590PDoB + 0.19824CDoB - PCFotS + 0.64586PVMM
  • Unchanged: - 21,419.67271 = 0.00497MMDoB + 0.01313PDoB + 0.07738MaDoB + 0.01660CDoB + 0.05470PCFotS - PVMM
  • Unchanged: - 3275.94176 = 0.99466MiDoB - PA + 0.00534BeDoB
  • Unchanged: - 314.94843 = 0.99119A - BeDoB

Results

  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth (MMDoB) = - 130.83653. August 22.16347, 1919.
  • Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB) = 10,935.47714. December 8.47714, 1949.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth (RiDoB) = 16,092.11559. January 21.11559, 1964.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB) = 16,048.93038. December 8.93038, 1963.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth (DDoB) = 14,675.83833. March 5.83833, 1960.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth (ADoB) = 17,438.76165. September 28.76165, 1967.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth (IDoB) = 17,199.72476. February 1.72476, 1967.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth (CDoB) = 19,266.77492. September 29.77492, 1972.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth (SDoB) = 19,525.82991. June 15.82991, 1973.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth (BuDoB) = 19,533.43286. June 23.43286, 1973.
  • Reva's Date of Birth (ReDoB) = 20,147.99020. February 27.99020, 1975.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth (NDoB) = 23,122.20034. April 21.20034, 1983.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks (MEF) = 23,784.44223. February 11.44223, 1985.
  • Misty's Date of Birth (MiDoB) = 23,484.14229. April 17.14229, 1984.
  • Tilda's Date of Birth (TDoB) = 23,973.71790. August 19.71790, 1985.
  • "Two Years Later" (TYL) = 24,548.74055. March 17.74055, 1987.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS) = 24,882.35266. February 14.35266, 1988.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's (PVMM) = 24,485.36465. January 13.36465, 1987.
  • Pop's Arrest (PA) = 26,778.09580. April 24.09580, 1993.
  • Bert's Date of Birth (BeDoB) = 26,857.12921. July 12.12921, 1993.

Factors Yet to Be Introduced

  • Mama Mabel's birthday is August 22nd.
    • Applied.
      • Fits.
  • The noticeable part of Mariah's pregnancy (roughly 3.5-9 months) cannot be during any flashbacks.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • "Two years later" cannot be after April 5, 1987, with Pete killed on April 6, 1987 and present in "Two years later".
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Jamel Shabazz has to be working by "Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets", so it has to be after 1980.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • The age gap between Mariah and Cornell is enough that Mariah was old enough to change Cornell's diapers.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Pop last saw Reva when she was 5, so her being 5 cannot be during his 10-year prison stint.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Nandi should not just be close to a year older than Misty, but has to specifically be one calendar year apart.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Misty met Pop aged 9, so Misty being 9 cannot be during his prison stint.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply further.
  • Pop's arrest has to be after "Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets", from his dialogue in Code of the Streets.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Pop's arrest has to be after "Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's", from his dialogue in Code of the Streets.
    • Only needs applying if the results don't fit.
      • The results fit, no need to apply.
  • Once it is clear which directions each date is being pulled in, it's important to then change the leniency windows to just the earlier/later, shorter/longer ones as is fitting, as they are currently operating on an averaged leniency, whereas something might have little leniency in a certain direction and a lot in another, but being pulled in the little direction, too far since it's based on average leniency.
    • Applied. Remaining two not applied are symmetrical anyway so it would make no difference.
      • Done.

Final Results

  • Mama Mabel's Date of Birth: August 22, 1919.
  • Pop's Date of Birth: December 8, 1949.
  • Donovan's Date of Birth: March 6, 1960.
  • Mariah's Date of Birth: December 9, 1963.
  • Ridenhour's Date of Birth: January 21, 1964.
  • Ingrid's Date of Birth: February 2, 1967.
  • Anansi's Date of Birth: September 29, 1967.
  • Cottonmouth's Date of Birth: September 30, 1972.
  • Sheldon's Date of Birth: June 16, 1973.
  • Bushmaster's Date of Birth: June 23, 1973.
  • Reva's Date of Birth: February 28, 1975.
  • Nandi's Date of Birth: April 21, 1983.
  • Misty's Date of Birth: April 17, 1984.
  • "Mid 80's [Sic]" Flashbacks: February 11, 1985.
  • Tilda's Date of Birth: August 20, 1985.
  • Pop Visiting Mama Mabel's: January 13, 1987.
  • "Two Years Later": March 18, 1987.
  • Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets: February 14, 1988.
  • Pop's Arrest: April 24, 1993.
  • Bert's Date of Birth: July 12, 1993.
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