User blog:BEJT/Luke Cage Past Dates

There are several past events referred to in Luke Cage: Season 1.

For more details on the numerical values of evidence, see here.

Willis and Carl/Luke's Dates of Birth
Firstly, Willis and Carl/Luke's birthdays. In Take It Personal, it is shown that on May 11th of whatever year at 7:03 PM there was a call regarding Luke and Willis stealing a 1993 red corvette. It says that Luke is 17 and Willis is 18. However, in that episode, Luke says, "He was 2 years older than me," and in Now You're Mine, Willis says, "And everything was good until the preacher's wife, 2 years later, had a baby boy." It can be assumed that Willis was born in June of Year 0, Carl/Luke was born in April of Year 2, and then in May of Year 19, when Willis was 18 going on 19 and Luke had just turned 17, they stole the car. But which years are they?

Well, there is also the boxing flashback, which we know is before they stole the car. There are many posters and notices up on the wall, one dated "Friday November 20" (which would be 1992), one on "Friday November 15" (1996) and then "Monday 6-10 January" (1997). Presumably the 1992 one is an old big event and they are going forwards in time to the latest notices. This can then be early November 1996, soon before the November 15, 1996 event and 2 months before the January 1997 event.

It is unclear from Noah Burstein's comments if Luke is supposed to have stopped aging at the time of his experiments. If he didn't stop aging then, based on Mike Colter's ages at the times of filming for the three seasons he is a part of and when they are set, Luke would have been born c. 1976. If he did stop aging, based again on the average of Mike Colter's ages at the times of filming, working back from the time of the experiment, Luke would have been born c. 1974. So overall, if he were born c. 1975, he would have turned 17 around 1992. Considering the May car-stealing has to be after November 1996 though, it can be assumed that it is the first May after November 1996, May 1997. This also makes sense, as the actors in the November 1996 flashback already don't look as young as 16 and 18, 6 months before stealing the car, so it would be more of a stretch if they were, in fact, 15 and 17, a year and a half before the flashback, and so on.

So, in May 1997, Carl/Luke has just turned 17 and Willis is about to turn 19. Therefore, Luke was born around April 1980 and Willis was born around June 1982.

There are several dates that then also need calculating: And then after this:
 * Pop's Date of Birth.
 * Mariah's Date of Birth.
 * Cornell's Date of Birth.
 * Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets.
 * Pop Visits Mama Mabel's.
 * Pistol Pete Is Killed.
 * Pop's Arrest.
 * Bert's Date of Birth.
 * Reva's Date of Birth.
 * Misty's Date of Birth.

Luke Cage: Season 1 filmed from roughly September 2, 2015-March 11, 2016, putting the middle of production at approximately December 6.5, 2015.

List of Evidence
FRANKIE FAISON
 * Frankie Faison was born on June 10, 1949, making him approximately 24,285.5 days old at the middle of filming on December 6.5, 2015. With him only appearing in Moment of Truth and Code of the Streets, the date in between these episodes' settings is November 15, 2015.
 * Where does this place Pop's date of birth, ideally?: Working back, November 15, 2015 - 24,285.5 days = May 19.5, 1949.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years instead of days of leniency. Value: 4.
 * Earliest possible/realistic interpretation: N/A.
 * Latest realistic/possible interpretation: N/A.
 * May 19.5, 1949, weight 4 ÷ (24,285.5 ÷ 365.25) = 0.06016.

Overall Result
Ignoring the timespan between this and Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the streets and Pop visiting Mama Mabel's, Pop's date of birth places itself around May 19.5, 1949, with a weight of evidence of 0.06016.

List of Evidence
ALFRE WOODARD
 * Alfre Woodard was born on November 8, 1952, making her approximately 23,038.5 days old at the middle of filming on December 6.5, 2015. The date in the middle of the season (the middle of Episode 7, Manifest) is November 30, 2015.
 * Where does this place Mariah's date of birth, ideally?: Working back, November 30, 2015 - 23,038.5 days = November 1.5, 1952.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years instead of days of leniency. Value: 4.
 * Earliest possible/realistic interpretation: N/A.
 * Latest realistic/possible interpretation: N/A.
 * November 1.5, 1952, weight 4 ÷ (23,038.5 ÷ 365.25) = 0.06342.

Overall Result
Ignoring the timespan between this and Cornell's date of birth and Pop visiting Mama Mabel's, Mariah's date of birth places itself around November 1.5, 1952, with a weight of evidence of 0.06342.

List of Evidence
MAHERSHALA ALI
 * Mahershala Ali was born on February 16, 1974, making him approximately 15,268.5 days old at the middle of filming on December 15.75, 2015. With him only appearing in the first 7 episodes, the date in the middle of his middle episode, Step in the Arena, is November 17, 2015.
 * Where does this place Cornell's date of birth, ideally?: Working back, November 17, 2015 - 15,268.5 days = January 27.5, 1974.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years instead of days of leniency. Value: 4.
 * Earliest possible/realistic interpretation: N/A.
 * Latest realistic/possible interpretation: N/A.
 * January 27.5, 1974, weight 4 ÷ (15,268.5 ÷ 365.25) = 0.09569.

Overall Result
Ignoring the timespan between Mariah's date of birth and this and between this and Pistol Pete being killed, Cornell's date of birth places itself around January 27.5, 1974, with a weight of evidence of 0.09569.

List of Evidence
JAMEL SHABAZZ
 * started taking photographs in 1980. This would suggest that the scene is c. 1982.
 * Where does this place Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the streets ideally?: July 1.5, 1980 (middle of 1980) + about 2 years to earn some reputation but still be an amateur = July 2, 1982.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Real person. Value = 150.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: Shabazz started taking photographs on January 1, 1980, and it's his first day, so January 1, 1980.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: It should at the earliest be that he started taking photos some time into 1980, and this is some time into his amateur work, so halfway through 1980 is really the earliest - July 1.5, 1980.
 * Latest realistic interpretation: It cannot realistically be more than 5 years into his career, around July 2, 1985.
 * Latest possible interpretation: It has to be in the '80s, the first decade of his career, December 31, 1989.
 * ((January 1, 1980 × 1 + July 1.5, 1980 × 2) ÷ 3)-((July 2, 1985 × 2 + December 31, 1989 × 1) ÷ 3) = May 1.66667, 1980-December 31.66667, 1986 = 2435 days. July 2, 1982, weight 150 ÷ 2435 = 0.06160.

Overall Result
Ignoring the timespans between Pop's date of birth and this and between this and Pop visiting Mama Mabel's and Pop's arrest, Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the streets places itself around July 2, 1982, with a weight of evidence of 0.06160.

List of Evidence
STEPHEN HILL
 * Stephen Hill was at university from 1996-2000, suggesting he was born between September 1, 1977 and August 31, 1978, around March 2.5, 1978, making him approximately 13,793 days old at the middle of filming on December 6.5, 2015. With him only appearing in Just to Get a Rep, the date in the middle of the episode is November 20, 2015.
 * Where does this place Bert's date of birth, ideally?: November 20, 2015 - 13,793 days = February 14, 1978.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years instead of days of leniency. Value: 4.
 * Earliest possible/realistic interpretation: N/A.
 * Latest realistic interpretation: N/A.
 * Latest possible interpretation: Hill took several years off before going to university. There is no strict latest limit, so here, a logical latest limit is applied. In this case, the fact that he does not look old enough to have possibly been much older than this, so he could only have taken a maximum of 2 years out of school, placing his date of birth at the very earliest, around August 31, 1976. This would make him 14,341.5 days old.
 * February 14, 1978, weight 4 ÷ (14,341.5 days (oldest possible, instead of "days of leniency") ÷ 365.25) = 0.10187.

Overall Result
Ignoring the timespan since Pop's arrest, Bert's date of birth places itself around February 14, 1978, with a weight of evidence of 0.10187.

List of Evidence
EDWIN FREEMAN
 * Edwin Freeman was born on May 7, 1978, making him approximately 13,727.5 days old at the middle of filming on December 6.5, 2015.
 * How many days does this imply between Pop's date of birth and Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets, ideally?: 13,727.5 days.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years instead of days of leniency. Value: 4.
 * Shortest possible/realistic interpretation: N/A.
 * Longest realistic/possible interpretation: N/A.
 * 13,727.5 days, weight 4 ÷ (13,727.5 ÷ 365.25) = 0.10643.

Overall Result
The gap between Pop's date of birth and Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the streets puts itself around 13,727.5 days, with a weight of evidence of 0.10643.

List of Evidence
EDWIN FREEMAN
 * Edwin Freeman was born on May 7, 1978, making him approximately 13,727.5 days old at the middle of filming on December 6.5, 2015.
 * How many days does this imply between Pop's date of birth and Pop visiting Mama Mabel's?: 13,727.5 days.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, so 4 ÷ age in years instead of days of leniency. Value: 4.
 * Shortest possible/realistic interpretation: N/A.
 * Longest realistic/possible interpretation: N/A.
 * 13,727.5 days, weight 4 ÷ (13,727.5 ÷ 365.25) = 0.10643.

Overall Result
The gap between Pop's date of birth and Pop visiting Mama Mabel's puts itself around 13,727.5 days, with a weight of evidence of 0.10643.

List of Evidence
STATEMENTS
 * The implication is that Mariah's many years older - Misty initially guessed they are aunt and nephew, Mariah says she used to change Cornell's diapers, and Cornell recalls how when he was "little", he recalled her supposedly flirting with Pete - as well as this, the actors are over 21 years apart in age. The diapers would suggest Mariah was at least 9 when he was born, ideally at least 11. The flirting implies Cornell was at least 9, old enough to remember, when Mariah was at least 15+.
 * How many days does this imply between Mariah's date of birth and Cornell's date of birth, ideally?: Overall, it could ideally be about 10 years. This piece of evidence is generally separate from the flashback showing Mariah studying, but here it is important to at least somewhat include this, and really the realistic maximum is 7.75 years, all things considered, so 2830.6875 days.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Indirect dialogue. Value: 500.
 * Shortest possible interpretation: Mariah absolutely has to be at least 6 when Cornell is born to be changing Cornell's diapers, 2191.5 days.
 * Shortest realistic interpretation: Mariah really has to be at least 7.5 when Cornell is born to be changing Cornell's diapers, 2739.375 days.
 * Longest realistic interpretation: This piece of evidence is generally separate from the flashback showing Mariah studying, but here it is important to at least somewhat include this. The fact that Cornell is 14 when he killed Pistol Pete means he was, at a minimum, 13 going on 14, 13.75 years old during the flashback where she is studying. Mariah is studying, which at a realistic maximum would make her 21.5 if she is in her third year of college and born early in the school year. This means the realistic maximum is 7.75 years, 2830.6875 days.
 * Longest possible interpretation: Following on from this, Cornell is, at the absolute youngest, 13.5 in the flashback where Pop visits Mama Mabel's and Mariah is, at the very oldest, 24.5 to be studying (if she took 2-3 years off before going to college/university and is in the mid-late period of her third or potentially fourth year, and born early in the school year). This means the absolute maximum is 11 years, 4017.75 days.
 * ((2191.5 days × 1 + 2739.375 days × 2) ÷ 3)-((2830.6875 days × 2 + 4017.75 days × 1) ÷ 3) = 2556.75 days-3226.375 days = 669.625 days of leniency. 2830.6875 days, weight 500 ÷ 669.625 days of leniency = 0.74669.

Overall Result
The gap between Mariah's date of birth and Cornell's date of birth puts itself at around 2830.6875 days, with a weight of evidence of 0.74669.

List of Evidence
STUDYING
 * Mariah is shown to be studying at home in the flashback when Pop visits Mama Mabel's, which would suggest she is no more than 18. However, she could be working at home on a break from a law college.
 * How many days does this imply between Mariah's date of birth and Pop visiting Mama Mabel's, ideally?: Roughly in the middle period of her last year of high school and born in the middle of her school year would make her about just-turned-18, 6574.5 days.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Indirect dialogue. Value: 500.
 * Shortest possible interpretation: Roughly in the early period of her last year of high school (with other evidence, she cannot be in any earlier school years) and born late in the school year, making her at an absolute minimum 17 and 2 weeks or so, about 6223.25 days.
 * Shortest realistic interpretation: Roughly in the early period of her last year of high school (with other evidence, she cannot be in any earlier school years) and born late in the school year, making her at a realistic minimum 17¼, about 6300.5625 days.
 * Longest realistic interpretation: She is in the mid-late period (approaching exams) of her third year of college/university and born roughly at the beginning of her school year, making her at a realistic maximum about 21 and 7 months, about 7883.3125 days.
 * Longest possible interpretation: She is in the mid-late period (approaching exams) of her third/fourth year of college/university and went there a year/two later than most, so overall adding about 2 extra years (1 or 2 before going to college/university, an extra 0 or 1 years there), and was born early in the school year, making her at an absolute maximum about 23 and 7 months, 8613.8125 days.
 * ((6223.25 days × 1 + 6300.5625 days × 2) ÷ 3)-((7883.3125 days × 2 + 8613.8125 days × 1) ÷ 3) = 6274.79167 days-8126.8125 days = 1852.02083 days of leniency. 6574.5 days, weight 500 ÷ 1852.02083 days of leniency = 0.26998.

Overall Result
The gap between Mariah's date of birth and Pop visiting Mama Mabel's puts itself at 6574.5 days, with a weight of evidence of 0.26998.

List of Evidence
14 YEARS OLD
 * In Manifest, Cottonmouth says at the time he "was 14 years old".
 * How many days does this imply between Cornell's date of birth and Pistol Pete being killed, ideally?: 14.5 years, which is 5296.125 days.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Spoken dialogue, 1000. Value: 1000.
 * Shortest possible interpretation: It is the day of his 14th birthday, making him around 5113.5 days old.
 * Shortest realistic interpretation: It is the day after his 14th birthday, making him around 5114.5 days old.
 * Longest realistic/possible interpretation: It is the day before his 15th birthday, making him around 5477.75 days old.
 * ((5113.5 days × 1 + 5114.5 days × 2) ÷ 3)-5477.75 days = 5114.16667 days-5477.75 days = 363.58333 days of leniency. 5296.125 days, weight 1000 ÷ 363.58333 days of leniency = 2.75040.

Overall Result
The gap between Cornell's date of birth and Pistol Pete being killed puts itself at 5296.125 days, with a weight of evidence of 2.75040.

List of Evidence
HOW THEY ARE LINKED
 * The implication is that the Code of the Streets flashback is around the same time as the flashback where Pop visits Mama Mabel, not long before Cottonmouth killed Pistol Pete. It is possible that it was after the Mama Mabel flashback, but even if it is, it is around the same time, as Cottonmouth looks to be the same age.
 * How many days does this imply between Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets and Pop visiting Mama Mabel's, ideally?: A week, 7 days.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Strong assumption mixed with indirect dialogue. Value: 275.
 * Shortest possible interpretation: Their time shown on the streets is actually after Pop visiting Mama Mabel's, up to maximum 4 years later due to it still being the same actor, - 1461 days.
 * Shortest realistic interpretation: It is 1 day before Pop visiting Mama Mabel's.
 * Longest realistic interpretation: The actor already does not look as young as 14 when he kills Pistol Pete, and the Pop visiting Mama Mabel's flashback is before this, so it realistically cannot be more than about 9 months further back to their time on the streets, 273.9375 days.
 * Longest possible interpretation: The actor already does not look as young as 14 when he kills Pistol Pete, and the Pop visiting Mama Mabel's flashback is before this, so it absolutely cannot be more than a year further back to their time on the streets, 365.25 days.
 * ((-1461 days × 1 + 1 day × 2) ÷ 3)-((273.9375 days × 2 + 365.25 days × 1) ÷ 3) = -486.33333 days-304.375 days = 790.70833 days of leniency. 7 days, weight 275 ÷ 790.70833 days of leniency = 0.34779.

Overall Result
The gap between Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the streets and Pop visiting Mama Mabel's puts itself at 7 days, with a weight of evidence of 0.34779.

List of Evidence
AFTER
 * In Code of the Streets, Pop describes the flashback of him, Cottonmouth, and Fredo on the streets, then mentions how he was arrested at some point after.
 * How many days does this imply between Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets and Pop's arrest, ideally?: It's hard to say, but it does seem like Cottonmouth didn't have much of Pop's support to guide him after killing Pistol Pete, which seems to be very roughly about a month and a week after this, so perhaps Pop was arrested around another few weeks later, 2 months in total, 60.875 days.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Direct dialogue. Value: 1000.
 * Shortest possible interpretation: It is the day after, 1 day.
 * Shortest realistic interpretation: It is 2 days after, as the flashback where Pop visits Mabel seems to be after their time on the streets - it would need an extra day at the least, so 2 days.
 * Longest realistic/possible interpretation: It is hard to put a longest limit, but looking at all the other evidence, including him being imprisoned for 10 years, he can only really have been arrested no more than 4 years later, 1461 days.
 * Longest realistic/possible interpretation: It is hard to put a longest limit, but looking at all the other evidence, including him being imprisoned for 10 years, he can only really have been arrested absolutely no more than 5 years later, 1826.25 days.
 * ((1 day × 1 + 2 days × 2) ÷ 3)-((1461 days × 2 + 1826.25 days × 1) ÷ 3) = 1.66667 day-1582.75 days = 1581.08333 days of leniency. 60.875 days, weight 1000 ÷ 1581.08333 days of leniency = 0.63248.

Overall Result
The gap between Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets and Pop's arrest puts itself at 60.875 days, with a weight of evidence of 0.63248.

List of Evidence
HOW THEY ARE LINKED
 * The flashback where Pop visits Mama Mabel is not long before Cottonmouth killed Pistol Pete.
 * How many days does this imply between Pop visiting Mama Mabel's and Pistol Pete being killed, ideally?: About a month, 30.4375 days.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Shown on-screen. Value: 2000.
 * Shortest possible/realistic interpretation: It is the day after, 1 day.
 * Longest realistic interpretation: The actor already does not look as young as 14 at the time of Pistol Pete's death, so the previous flashback realistically cannot be more than about 9 months further back, 273.9375 days.
 * Longest possible interpretation: The actor already does not look as young as 14 at the time of the Pistol Pete flashback, so the previous flashback absolutely cannot be more than a year further back, 365.25 days.
 * 1 day-((273.9375 days × 2 + 365.25 days × 1) ÷ 3) = 1 day-304.375 days = 303.375 days of leniency. 30.4375 days, weight 2000 ÷ 303.375 days of leniency = 6.59250.

Overall Result
The gap between Pop visiting Mama Mabel's and Pistol Pete being killed puts itself around 30.4375 days, with a weight of evidence of 6.59250.

List of Evidence
AFTER
 * Pop has not yet been arrested at the point when he visits Mama Mabel's.
 * How many days does this imply between Pop visiting Mama Mabel's and Pop's arrest, ideally?: It's hard to say, but it does seem like Cottonmouth didn't have much of Pop's support to guide him after killing Pistol Pete, so perhaps Pop was arrested a few weeks after Pete died (which is around a month after Pop visits Mabel), 53.875 days.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Direct dialogue. Value: 1000.
 * Shortest possible/realistic interpretation: It is the day after, 1 day.
 * Longest realistic/possible interpretation: It is hard to put a longest limit, but looking at all the other evidence, including him being imprisoned for 10 years, he can only really have been arrested no more than 4 years later, 1461 days.
 * Longest realistic/possible interpretation: It is hard to put a longest limit, but looking at all the other evidence, including him being imprisoned for 10 years, he can only really have been arrested absolutely no more than 5 years later, 1826.25 days.
 * 1 day-((1461 days × 2 + 1826.25 days × 1) ÷ 3) = 1 day-1582.75 days = 1581.75 days of leniency. 53.875 days, weight 1000 ÷ 1581.75 days of leniency = 0.63221.

Overall Result
The gap between Pop visiting Mama Mabel's and Pop's arrest puts itself around 53.875 days, with a weight of evidence of 0.63221.

List of Evidence
THE PREGNANCY
 * It is said that Pop's partner was pregnant with Bert when he was arrested.
 * How many days does this imply between Pop's date of birth and Pop, Cottonmouth, and Fredo on the Streets, ideally?: An average pregnancy is 280 days from the beginning of the menstrual cycle, which on average would be about 28 days long, with pregnancy possible from Day 11-28, the middle being Day 19, 18.5 days after the beginning, meaning an average pregnancy is 261.5 days, putting this roughly in the middle, around 130.75 days before his arrest.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Spoken dialogue, 1000. Value: 1000.
 * Shortest possible/realistic interpretation: She was just about to give birth, 1 day.
 * Longest realistic/possible interpretation: She had just become pregnant, at the start of the pregnancy part of her menstrual cycle, meaning there is around 280 - 8.5 days = 271.5 days of pregnancy, and the baby was a maximum of around 10 days late, meaning the arrest was a maximum of 280.5 days before Bert's birth.
 * 1 day-280.5 days = 279.5 days of leniency. 130.75 days, weight 1000 ÷ 279.5 days of leniency = 3.57782.

Overall Result
The gap between Pop's arrest and Bert's date of birth puts itself at 130.75 days, with a weight of evidence of 3.57782.

Compromising the Placements and Timespans
So, here we have it: Then: Where: Gives you:
 * Pop's Date of Birth (PDoB) is being pulled towards:
 * May 19.5, 1949, with a weight of 0.06016.
 * PCFotS - 13,727.5, with a weight of 0.10643.
 * PVMM - 13,727.5, with a weight of 0.10643.
 * Therefore, with January 1, 1949 as "1", January 2, 1949 as "2", February 1, 1949 as "32" etc.:
 * PDoB = (139.5 × 0.06016 + (PCFotS - 13,727.5) × 0.10643 + (PVMM - 13,727.5) × 0.10643) ÷ (0.06016 + 0.10643 + 0.10643)
 * PDoB = (8.39232 + 0.10643PCFotS - 1461.01783 + 0.10643PVMM - 1461.01783) ÷ 0.27302
 * PDoB = (0.10643PCFotS + 0.10643PVMM - 2913.64334) ÷ 0.27302
 * PDoB = 0.38982PCFotS + 0.38982PVMM - 10671.90440
 * Mariah's Date of Birth (MaDoB) is being pulled towards:
 * November 1.5, 1952, with a weight of 0.06342.
 * CDoB - 2830.6875, with a weight of 0.74669.
 * PVMM - 6574.5, with a weight of 0.26998.
 * Therefore, with January 1, 1949 as "1", January 2, 1949 as "2", February 1, 1949 as "32" etc.:
 * MaDoB = (1401.5 × 0.06342 + (CDoB - 2830.6875) × 0.74669 + (PVMM - 6574.5) × 0.26998) ÷ (0.06342 + 0.74669 + 0.26998)
 * MaDoB = (88.88313 + 0.74669CDoB - 2113.64605 + 0.26998PVMM - 1774.98351) ÷ 1.08009
 * MaDoB = (0.74669CDoB + 0.26998PVMM - 3799.74643) ÷ 1.08009
 * MaDoB = 0.69132CDoB + 0.24996PVMM - 3517.99057
 * Cornell's Date of Birth (CDoB) is being pulled towards:
 * January 27.5, 1974, with a weight of 0.09569.
 * MaDoB + 2830.6875, with a weight of 0.74669.
 * PPIK - 5296.125, with a weight of 2.75040.
 * Therefore, with January 1, 1949 as "1", January 2, 1949 as "2", February 1, 1949 as "32" etc.:
 * CDoB = (9158.5 × 0.09569 + (MaDoB + 2830.6875) × 0.74669 + (PPIK - 5296.125) × 2.75040) ÷ (0.09569 + 0.74669 + 2.75040)
 * CDoB = (876.37687 + 0.74669MaDoB + 2113.64605 + 2.75040PPIK - 14,566.4622) ÷ 3.59278
 * CDoB = (0.74669MaDoB + 2.75040PPIK - 11,576.43928) ÷ 3.59278
 * CDoB = 0.20783MaDoB + 0.76554PPIK - 3222.13976
 * Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the Streets (PCFotS) is being pulled towards:
 * July 2, 1982, with a weight of 0.06160.
 * PDoB + 13,727.5, with a weight of 0.10643.
 * PVMM - 7, with a weight of '0.34779.
 * PA - 60.875, with a weight of evidence of 0.63248.
 * Therefore, with January 1, 1949 as "1", January 2, 1949 as "2", February 1, 1949 as "32" etc.:
 * PCFotS = (12,236 × 0.06160 + (PDoB + 13,727.5) × 0.10643 + (PVMM - 7) × 0.34779 + (PA - 60.875) × 0.63248) ÷ (0.06160 + 0.10643 + 0.34779 + 0.63248)
 * PCFotS = (753.7376 + 0.10643PDoB + 1461.01783 + 0.34779PVMM - 2.43453 + 0.63248PA - 38.50222) ÷ 1.1483
 * PCFotS = (2173.81868 + 0.10643PDoB + 0.34779PVMM + 0.63248PA) ÷ 1.1483
 * PCFotS = 1893.07557 + 0.09268PDoB + 0.30287PVMM + 0.55080PA
 * Pop Visits Mama Mabel's (PVMM) is being pulled towards:
 * PDoB + 13,727.5, with a weight of 0.10643.
 * MaDoB + 6574.5, with a weight of 0.26998.
 * PCFotS + 7, with a weight of '0.34779.
 * PPIK - 30.4375, with a weight of 6.59250.
 * PA - 53.875, with a weight of 0.63221.
 * Therefore:
 * PVMM = ((PDoB + 13,727.5) × 0.10643 + (MaDoB + 6574.5) × 0.26998 + (PCFotS + 7) × 0.34779 + (PPIK - 30.4375) × 6.59250 + (PA - 53.875) × 0.63221) ÷ (0.10643 + 0.26998 + 0.34779 + 6.59250 + 0.63221)
 * PVMM = (0.10643PDoB + 1461.01783 + 0.26998MaDoB + 1774.98351 + 0.34779PCFotS + 2.43453 + 6.59250PPIK - 200.65922 + 0.63221PA - 34.06031) ÷ 7.94891
 * PVMM = (3003.71634 + 0.10643PDoB + 0.26998MaDoB + 0.34779PCFotS + 6.59250PPIK + 0.63221PA) ÷ 7.94891
 * PVMM = 377.87776 + 0.01339PDoB + 0.03396MaDoB + 0.04375PCFotS + 0.82936PPIK + 0.07953PA
 * Pistol Pete Is Killed (PPIK) is being pulled towards:
 * CDoB + 5296.125, with a weight of 2.75040.
 * PVMM + 30.4375, with a weight of 6.59250.
 * Therefore:
 * PPIK = ((CDoB + 5296.125) × 2.75040 + (PVMM + 30.4375) × 6.59250) ÷ (2.75040 + 6.59250)
 * PPIK = (2.75040CDoB + 14,566.4622 + 6.59250PVMM + 200.65922) ÷ 9.3429
 * PPIK = (14,767.12142 + 2.75040CDoB + 6.59250PVMM) ÷ 9.3429
 * PPIK = 1580.57149 + 0.29438CDoB + 0.70562PVMM
 * Pop's Arrest (PA) is being pulled towards:
 * PCFotS + 60.875, with a weight of 0.63248.
 * PVMM + 53.875, with a weight of 0.63221.
 * BDoB - 130.75, with a weight of of 3.57782.
 * Therefore:
 * PA = ((PCFotS + 60.875) × 0.63248 + (PVMM + 53.875) × 0.63221 + (BDoB - 130.75) × 3.57782) ÷ (0.63248 + 0.63221 + 3.57782)
 * PA = (0.63248PCFotS + 38.50222 + 0.63221PVMM + 34.06031 + 3.57782BDoB - 467.79997) ÷ 4.84251
 * PA = (0.63248PCFotS + 0.63221PVMM + 3.57782BDoB - 395.23744) ÷ 4.84251
 * PA = 0.13061PCFotS + 0.13055PVMM + 0.73884BDoB - 81.61830
 * Bert's Date of Birth (BDoB) is being pulled towards:
 * February 14, 1978, with a weight of 0.10187.
 * PA + 130.75, with a weight of 3.57782.
 * Therefore, with January 1, 1949 as "1", January 2, 1949 as "2", February 1, 1949 as "32" etc.:
 * BDoB = (10,637 × 0.10187 + (PA + 130.75) × 3.57782) ÷ (0.10187 + 3.57782)
 * BDoB = (1083.59119 + 3.57782PA + 467.79997) ÷ 3.67969
 * BDoB = (1551.39116 + 3.57782PA) ÷ 3.67969
 * BDoB = 421.60920 + 0.97232PA
 * 10671.90440 = 0.38982D + 0.38982E - A
 * 3517.99057 = 0.69132C + 0.24996E - B
 * 3222.13976 = 0.20783B + 0.76554F - C
 * - 1893.07557 = 0.09268A + 0.30287E + 0.55080G - D
 * - 377.87776 = 0.01339A + 0.03396B + 0.04375D + 0.82936F + 0.07953G - E
 * - 1580.57149 = 0.29438C + 0.70562E - F
 * 81.61830 = 0.13061D + 0.13055E + 0.73884H - G
 * - 421.60920 = 0.97232G - H
 * PDoB = A
 * MaDoB = B
 * CDoB = C
 * PCFotS = D
 * PVMM = E
 * PPIK = F
 * PA = G
 * BDoB = H
 * A, PDoB = - 1334.18003 = May 6.81997, 1945
 * B, MaDoB = 4249.08316 = August 19.08316, 1960
 * C, CDoB = 6901.13004 = November 23.13004, 1967
 * D, PCFotS = 11,967.28276 = October 6.28276, 1981
 * E, PVMM = 11,986.65590 = October 25.65590, 1981
 * F, PPIK = 12,070.15029 = January 17.15029, 1982
 * G, PA = 11,923.49405 = August 23.49405, 1981
 * H, BDoB = 12,015.06093 = November 23.06093, 1981

Now, yes, there is some difficulty here, because Pop's arrest (and Bert's date of birth) has to be after he visits Mama Mabel. But this is not an issue, because we now introduce the final factors. We will see how things line up.

So, there's two final things that can only be factored in now. Firstly, Pop says he last saw Reva when she was 5, which could quite possibly have been when he was arrested, and won't have been while he was in prison, but this can only be added if it does make sense with other evidence. Parisa Fitz-Henley was born on January 1, 1977, making her approximately 14,009.5 days old at the middle of filming for Jessica Jones: Season 1 around May 11.5, 2015, and her scenes were set on January 20, 2014 (suggesting she was born around September 12.5, 1975), approximately 14,218.5 days old at the middle of filming for Luke Cage: Season 1 around December 6.5, 2015, and the middle of the flashback scenes is May 4, 2013 (suggesting she was born around May 30.5, 1974). This would mean Reva was born around (September 12.5, 1975 × (1 ÷ (14,009.5 ÷ 365.25)) + May 30.5, 1974 × (1 ÷ (14,218.5 ÷ 365.25))) ÷ ((1 ÷ (14,009.5 ÷ 365.25)) + (1 ÷ (14,218.5 ÷ 365.25))) = January 22.23994, 1975. This would make her 6 and several months around Pop's arrest, but that is close enough to 5 to work nicely. So, we can now add that "Reva was likely 5 when Pop was arrested." The other is Misty. Misty says she first met Pop when she was 9, and it's unclear whether that would be before or after Pop's 10 years in prison. It would make a lot more sense to be after, with her talking about growing up after that around him, and him being a barber at that point, but it depends on how the ages line up. Simone Missick was born on January 19, 1982, and has appeared thus far in both Luke Cage: Season 1 and The Defenders: Season 1. This would make her approximately 12,374.5 days old in the middle of Luke Cage: Season 1, the middle of which is set on November 30, 2015 (putting her date of birth around January 12.5, 1982), and 12,773.5 days old on January 8.5, 2017 in the middle of filming for The Defenders: Season 1, the middle of which is set on May 13, 2016 (putting her date of birth around May 23.5, 1981). This would mean Misty was born around (January 12.5, 1982 × (1 ÷ (12,374.5 ÷ 365.25)) + May 23.5, 1981 × (1 ÷ (12,773.5 ÷ 365.25))) ÷ ((1 ÷ (12,374.5 ÷ 365.25)) + (1 ÷ (12,773.5 ÷ 365.25))) = September 19.37248, 1981. This would mean that Misty would be born about when Pop was arrested, about to turn or just turned 10 when he was released. Misty being 9 is, of course, much closer to the point when she was 10 than 0, which also fits more with the other evidence that Misty met him after he was released. So, we can now add that "Misty was 9 when she met Pop, soon after he was released."

So:

List of Evidence
PARISA FITZ-HENLEY
 * Parisa Fitz-Henley was being born on January 1, 1977, making her approximately 14,009.5 days old at the middle of filming for Jessica Jones: Season 1 on May 11.5, 2015. Her scenes are set on January 20, 2014, suggesting September 12.5, 1975 for her date of birth. She was approximately 14,218.5 days old at the middle of filming for Luke Cage: Season 1 on December 6.5, 2015. The middle of the flashbacks is on May 4, 2013, suggesting May 30.5, 1974 for her date of birth.
 * Where does this place Reva's date of birth, ideally?: As established above, the outcome is January 22.23994, 1975.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, 4 ÷ age in years. Value: 4.
 * Earliest possible/realistic interpretation: N/A.
 * Latest realistic/possible interpretation: N/A.
 * January 22.23994, 1975, weight 4 ÷ (((14,009.5 × (1 ÷ (14,009.5 ÷ 365.25)) + 14,218.5 × (1 ÷ (14,218.5 ÷ 365.25))) ÷ ((1 ÷ (14,009.5 ÷ 365.25)) + (1 ÷ (14,218.5 ÷ 365.25)))) ÷ 365.25) = 0.10352.

Overall Result
Ignoring the timespan between this and Pop's arrest, Reva's date of birth places itself around January 22.23994, 1975, with a weight of evidence of 0.10352.

List of Evidence
SIMONE MISSICK
 * Simone Missick was born on January 19, 1982, making her approximately 12,374.5 days old at the middle of filming for Luke Cage: Season 1 on December 6.6, 2015, the middle of which is set on November 30, 2015, suggesting January 12.5, 1982 for her date of birth. She was approximately 12,773.5 days old at the middle of filming for The Defenders: Season 1 on January 8.5, 2017, the middle of which is set on May 13, 2016, suggesting May 23.5, 1981 for her date of birth.
 * Where does this place Misty's date of birth, ideally?: As established above, the outcome is September 19.37248, 1981.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Actor's age, 4 ÷ age in years. Value: 4.
 * Earliest possible/realistic interpretation: N/A.
 * Latest realistic/possible interpretation: N/A.
 * September 19.37248, 1981, weight 4 ÷ (((12,374.5 ×(1 ÷ (12,374.5 ÷ 365.25)) + 12,773.5 × (1 ÷ (12,773.5 ÷ 365.25))) ÷ ((1 ÷ (12,374.5 ÷ 365.25)) + (1 ÷ (12,773.5 ÷ 365.25)))) ÷ 365.25) days of leniency = 0.11622.

Overall Result
Ignoring the timespan between Pop's arrest and this, Misty's date of birth places itself around September 19.37248, 1981, with a weight of evidence of 0.11622.

List of Evidence
REVA WAS 5
 * It is said that Reva was "5" when Pop last saw her, presumably just before his arrest.
 * How many days does this imply between Reva's date of birth and Pop's arrest, ideally?: 5.5 years, 2008.875 days.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Spoken dialogue. Value: 1000.
 * Shortest possible/realistic interpretation: Reva had just turned 5, 1826.25 days.
 * Longest realistic interpretation: Reva was just about to turn 6, 2190.5 days.
 * Longest possible interpretation: He last saw Reva a while before his arrest. Logically, with Parisa's age, Reva cannot have been born more than just-turned-11, 4017.75 days.
 * 1826.25 days-((2190.5 days × 2 + 4017.75 days × 1) ÷ 3) = 1826.25 days-2799.58333 days = 973.33333 days of leniency. 2008.875 days, weight 1000 ÷ 973.33333 days of leniency = 1.02740.

Overall Result
The gap between Reva's date of birth and Pop's arrest puts itself at 2008.875 days, with a weight of evidence of 1.02740.

List of Evidence
MISTY IS 9
 * It is said that Misty was "9" when she first met Pop, seemingly soon after his release.
 * How many days does this imply between Pop's arrest and Misty's date of birth, ideally?: Pop was in prison for 10 years. Misty was 9 a little after his release, about 6 months or so, once he's had time to start the barber shop. So, she would have just turned 9 when he was released, about 9.5 when she met him. Therefore, about a year between his arrest and her birth, 365.25 days.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Spoken dialogue. Value: 1000.
 * Shortest possible interpretation: Misty met Pop the day after his release, and was a day from turning 10, meaning there is an absolute minimum of 2 days.
 * Shortest realistic interpretation: Misty met Pop a week or two, about 10 days after his release, and was a day from turning 10, meaning there is a minimum of 11 days.
 * Longest realistic/possible interpretation: Misty met Pop years after Pop's release, having just turned 9. Logically, with Simone Missick's age and the way other evidence works out, there cannot be more than 5 years here, 1826.25 days.
 * ((2 days × 1 + 11 days × 2) ÷ 3)-1826.25 days = 8 days-1826.25 days = 1818.25 days of leniency. 365.25 days, weight 1000 ÷ 1818.25 days of leniency = 0.54998.

Overall Result
The gap between Pop's arrest and Misty's date of birth puts itself at 365.25 days, with a weight of evidence of 0.54998.

Compromising the Placements and Timespans
So, finally: Then: Where: Gives you: And finally, to make some adjustments:
 * PDoB = 0.38982PCFotS + 0.38982PVMM - 10671.90440
 * MaDoB = 0.69132CDoB + 0.24996PVMM - 3517.99057
 * CDoB = 0.20783MaDoB + 0.76554PPIK - 3222.13976
 * Reva's Date of Birth (RDoB) is being pulled towards:
 * January 22.23994, 1975, with a weight of 0.10352.
 * PA - 2008.875, with a weight of 1.02740.
 * Therefore, with January 1, 1949 as "1", January 2, 1949 as "2", February 1, 1949 as "32" etc.:
 * RDoB = (9518 × 0.10352 + (PA - 2008.875) × 1.02740) ÷ (0.10352 + 1.02740)
 * RDoB = (985.30336 + 1.02740PA - 2063.91818) ÷ 1.13092
 * RDoB = (1.02740PA - 1078.61482) ÷ 1.13092
 * RDoB = 0.90846PA - 953.74989
 * PCFotS = 1893.07557 + 0.09268PDoB + 0.30287PVMM + 0.55080PA
 * PVMM = 377.87776 + 0.01339PDoB + 0.03396MaDoB + 0.04375PCFotS + 0.82936PPIK + 0.07953PA
 * PPIK = 1580.57149 + 0.29438CDoB + 0.70562PVMM
 * Pop's Arrest (PA) is being pulled towards:
 * RDoB + 2008.875, with a weight of 1.02740.
 * PCFotS + 60.875, with a weight of 0.63248.
 * PVMM + 53.875, with a weight of 0.63221.
 * BDoB - 130.75, with a weight of of 3.57782.
 * MiDoB - 365.25, with a weight of 0.54998.
 * Therefore:
 * PA = ((RDoB + 2008.875) × 1.02740 + (PCFotS + 60.875) × 0.63248 + (PVMM + 53.875) × 0.63221 + (BDoB - 130.75) × 3.57782 + (MiDoB - 365.25) × 0.54998) ÷ (1.02740 + 0.63248 + 0.63221 + 3.57782 + 0.54998)
 * PA = (1.02740RDoB + 2063.91818 + 0.63248PCFotS + 38.50222 + 0.63221PVMM + 34.06031 + 3.57782BDoB - 467.79997 + 0.54998MiDoB - 200.88020) ÷ 6.41989
 * PA = (1467.80054 + 1.02740RDoB + 0.63248PCFotS + 0.63221PVMM + 3.57782BDoB + 0.54998MiDoB) ÷ 6.41989
 * PA = 228.63328 + 0.16003RDoB + 0.09852PCFotS + 0.09848PVMM + 0.55730BDoB + 0.08567MiDoB
 * BDoB = 421.60920 + 0.97232PA
 * Misty's Date of Birth (MiDoB) is being pulled towards:
 * September 19.37248, 1981, with a weight of 0.11622.
 * PA + 365.25, with a weight of 0.54998.
 * Therefore, with January 1, 1949 as "1", January 2, 1949 as "2", February 1, 1949 as "32" etc.:
 * MiDoB = (11,950.37248 × 0.11622 + (PA + 365.25) × 0.54998) ÷ (0.11622 + 0.54998)
 * MiDoB = (1388.87229 + 0.54998PA + 200.88020) ÷ 0.6662
 * MiDoB = (1589.75249 + 0.54998PA) ÷ 0.6662
 * MiDoB = 2386.29914 + 0.82555PA
 * 10671.90440 = 0.38982E + 0.38982F - A
 * 3517.99057 = 0.69132C + 0.24996F - B
 * 3222.13976 = 0.20783B + 0.76554G - C
 * 953.74989 = 0.90846H - D
 * - 1893.07557 = 0.09268A + 0.30287F + 0.55080H - E
 * - 377.87776 = 0.01339A + 0.03396B + 0.04375E + 0.82936G + 0.07953H - F
 * - 1580.57149 = 0.29438C + 0.70562F - G
 * - 228.63328 = 0.16003D + 0.09852E + 0.09848F + 0.55730I + 0.08567J - H
 * - 421.60920 = 0.97232H - I
 * - 2386.29914 = 0.82555H - J
 * PDoB = A
 * MaDoB = B
 * CDoB = C
 * RDoB = D
 * PCFotS = E
 * PVMM = F
 * PPIK = G
 * PA = H
 * BDoB = I
 * MiDoB = J
 * A, PDoB = - 1424.82503 = February 5.17497, 1945
 * B, MaDoB = 4147.48918 = May 9.48918, 1960
 * C, CDoB = 6795.04586 = August 9.04586, 1967
 * D, RDoB = 9751.51358 = September 12.51358, 1975
 * E, PCFotS = 11,847.79389 = June 8.79389, 1981
 * F, PVMM = 11,873.61437 = July 4.61437, 1981
 * G, PPIK = 11,959.15686 = September 28.15686, 1981
 * H, PA = 11,783.96790 = April 5.96790, 1981
 * I, BDoB = 11,879.39686 = July 10.39686, 1981
 * J, MiDoB = 12,114.55384 = March 2.55384, 1982
 * Pop was born on February 5, 1945. He's 70 in the show (Frankie Faison was 66).
 * Mariah was born on May 9, 1960. She's 55 in the show (Alfre Woodard was 63).
 * Cornell was born on August 9, 1967. He's 48 in the show (Mahershala Ali was 41). Mariah was 7 when she had to change his diapers.
 * Reva was born on September 13, 1975. She's 37 in the Luke Cage flashbacks, 38 in the Jessica Jones flashbacks (Parisa Fitz-Henley was 38 for both).
 * Willis was born in June 1978.
 * Carl/Luke was born in April 1980, 2 years after Willis.
 * Pop/Cottonmouth/Fredo on the streets is on June 9, 1981 - 18 days to work so May 22, 1981. Cottonmouth is 13 going on 14. Pop is 36 (Edwin Freeman was 37).
 * Pop visiting Mama Mabel's is on July 5, 1981 - 37 days to work, so May 29, 1981. Cottonmouth is 13 going on 14. Pop is 36 (Edwin Freeman was 37). Mariah has just turned 21, and is studying during exam period for her finals at law college.
 * Pop's arrest is on April 6, 1981 + 55 days to work, so May 31, 1981.
 * Bert was born on July 10, 1981. He's 34 at Pop's funeral (Stephen Hill was about 37).
 * Pistol Pete is killed on September 28, 1981. Cottonmouth is 14.
 * Misty was born on March 3, 1982. She's 33 in Luke Cage (Simone Missick was also 33) and 34 in The Defenders (Simone Missick was also 34).
 * Pop is released on May 31, 1991.
 * Misty meets Pop around September 1.5, 1991, when she's 9.5, or November 30, 1991, 6 months after his release. Overall, October 16, 1991.
 * Pop last sees Bert when he was 13 around January 9, 1995.
 * In July 1995, Misty was inspired to become a detective at age 13 when her cousin was killed.
 * In 1996, Misty put her name on St. Nick's Court at age 14.
 * 18-year-old Willis helps 16-year-old Carl train at boxing in November 1996.
 * 18-year-old Willis and 17-year-old Carl steal the 1993 corvette in May 1997.