Thread:SwagMasterDbl/@comment-29362220-20171207164550/@comment-26838855-20171211222859

Marvelous 345678 wrote: Season Two of Iron Fist is clearly set in Early-Mid 2017 due to the Instagram Account of Danny Rand.

Daredevil Season 3 should happen after all the previous TV Series as the Defenders could be involved since they thought Murdock is dead. There's no reason Iron Fist: Season 2 should match the Instagram page. in-universe, we just take it that that's just stuff Danny has posted because he just got an Instagram account and found some photos he wanted to post. They happen to mostly pertain to stuff from Season 1, but there's no reason he can't just be posting them a year later, after starting an Instagram account. However, if it happens to line up with Season 2, that's just coincidence, but Season 2 should end up later than early 2017.

I had guessed Jessica Jones would be coming around Friday, March 16, 2018, because that's the Friday (17th and 18th) that Iron Fist: Season 1 and Daredevil: Season 2 came out on in 2017 and 2016 respectively, and it matched their rough 3-to-4-month gaps now, but of course, International Women's Day. I'll do some calculations so we can predict some upcoming stuff.

First, the compression of time between these shows: [(197/91)+(83/154)+(81/168)+(17/196)+(220/119)+(67/224)]/6 = 0.90342 times the real life span on average. Jessica Jones: Season 2 comes out March 8, 2018, 111 days after The Punisher: Season 1. 111*0.90342 = 100.27962 days later, March 6.27962, 2017. So rough prediction, it could be set around early 2017. But as Marvelous points out, it could be very soon after The Defenders, possibly before The Punisher - but hopefully it will be in 2017, which would work with the filming schedule as well. I doubt it will be a direct sequel to The Defenders, just mentioning it a bit.
 * Daredevil: Season 1 - Came out April 10, 2015; Middle set January 30, 2015
 * Jessica Jones: Season 1 - Came out November 20, 2015, 224 days after Daredevil: Season 1; Middle set April 7, 2015, 67 days after Daredevil: Season 1
 * Daredevil: Season 2 - Came out March 18, 2016, 119 days after Jessica Jones: Season 1; Middle set November 13, 2015, 220 days after Jessica Jones: Season 1
 * Luke Cage: Season 1 - Came out September 30, 2016, 196 days after Daredevil: Season 2; Middle set November 30, 2015, 17 days after Daredevil: Season 2
 * Iron Fist: Season 1 - Came out March 17, 2017, 168 days after Luke Cage: Season 1; Middle set February 19, 2016, 81 days after Luke Cage: Season 1
 * The Defenders: Season 1 - Came out August 18, 2017, 154 days after Iron Fist: Season 1; Middle set May 13, 2016, 83 days after Iron Fist: Season 1
 * The Punisher: Season 1 - Came out November 17, 2017, 91 days after The Defenders: Season 1; Middle set November 26, 2016, 197 days after The Defenders: Season 1

And now predicting the release dates for the next three after Jessica Jones: Season 2. When calculating the rough weighted averages, then, the more recent ones should have more value because it's their more current approach. So Jessica Jones: Season 1 has a value of 8, The Punisher: Season 1 has 7, The Defenders: Season 1 has 6, Iron Fist: Season 1 has 5, and so on.
 * Daredevil: Season 1 filmed roughly June 30, 2014-December 21, 2014. The middle of filming was therefore roughly September 25, 2014. So, it came out:
 * 284 days after beginning of filming.
 * 197 days after middle of filming.
 * 110 days after end of filming.
 * Jessica Jones: Season 1 filmed February 6, 2015-August 14, 2015. The middle of filming was therefore May 11.5, 2015. So, it came out:
 * 224 days after the last release.
 * 287 days after beginning of filming.
 * 192.5 days after middle of filming.
 * 98 days after end of filming.
 * Daredevil: Season 2 filmed July 6, 2015-roughly December 17, 2015. The middle of filming was therefore September 26, 2015. So, it came out:
 * 119 days after the last release.
 * 256 days after beginning of filming.
 * 174 days after middle of filming.
 * 92 days after end of filming.
 * Luke Cage: Season 1 filmed roughly August 29, 2015-roughly March 11, 2016. The middle of filming was therefore December 4.5, 2015. So it came out:
 * 196 days after the last release.
 * 398 days after beginning of filming.
 * 300.5 days after middle of filming.
 * 203 days after end of filming.
 * Iron Fist: Season 1 filmed roughly April 15, 2016-October 8, 2016. The middle of filming was therefore July 12, 2016. So it came out:
 * 168 days after the last release.
 * 336 days after beginning of filming.
 * 248 days after middle of filming.
 * 160 days after end of filming.
 * The filming for The Defenders is inconsequential to these calculations because it is 8 episodes, not 13, so the periods of time in parts of production are different. It did, though, come out:
 * 154 days after the last release.
 * The Punisher: Season 1 filmed October 3, 2016-April 9, 2017. The middle of filming was therefore January 5, 2017. So it came out:
 * 91 days after the last release.
 * 410 days after beginning of filming.
 * 316 days after middle of filming.
 * 222 days after end of filming.
 * Jessica Jones: Season 2 filmed April 3, 2017-September 14, 2017. The middle of filming was therefore June 24, 2017. So it is coming out:
 * 111 days after the last release.
 * 339 days after beginning of filming.
 * 257 days after middle of filming.
 * 175 days after end of filming.

Now, to apply.
 * On weighted average, at the moment, the seasons release (111*8+91*7+154*6+168*5+196*4+119*3+224*2)/(8+7+6+5+4+3+2) = 139.37143 days after the last release.
 * On weighted average, at the moment, the seasons release (339*8+410*7+336*5+398*4+256*3+287*2+284*1)/(8+7+5+4+3+2+1) = 349.33333 days after beginning of filming.
 * On weighted average, at the moment, the seasons release (257*8+316*7+248*5+300.5*4+174*3+192.5*2+197*1)/(8+7+5+4+3+2+1) = 260.46667 days after middle of filming.
 * On weighted average, at the moment, the seasons release (175*8+222*7+160*5+203*4+92*3+98*2+110*1)/(8+7+5+4+3+2+1) = 171.6 days after end of filming.
 * Luke Cage: Season 2 filmed June 10, 2017-November 20, 2017. The middle of filming was therefore August 30.5, 2017.
 * 139.37143 days after Jessica Jones: Season 2, March 8, 2018, is July 25.37143, 2018.
 * 349.33333 days after June 10, 2017 is May 25.3333, 2018.
 * 260.46667 days after August 30.5, 2017 is May 17.96667, 2018.
 * 171.6 days after November 20, 217 is May 10.6, 2018.
 * Therefore, based on the previous release, it should come around July 25.37143, 2018, and based on filming, it should come around ([May 25.3333, 2018] + [May 17.96667, 2018] + [May 10.6, 2018])/3 = May 17.96667, 2018.
 * ([July 25.37143, 2018] + [May 17.96667, 2018])/2 = June 21.16905, 2018. The closest Friday is the 22nd, so we can expect Luke Cage: Season 2 around June 22, 2018.
 * The seasons are set 0.90342 times the real life span after the last one, on average. If Luke Cage: Season 2 comes out around June 21.16905, 2018, it is 105.16905 days after Jessica Jones: Season 2. 105.16905*0.90342 = 95.01182 days after March 6.27962, 2017, so June 9.29144, 2017. So rough prediction, Luke Cage: Season 2 could be set around mid-2017.
 * Daredevil: Season 3 began filming on November 13, 2017.
 * 139.37143 days after Luke Cage: Season 2, roughly June 21.16905, 2018, is November 7.54048, 2018.
 * 349.33333 days after November 13, 2017 is October 28.33333, 2018.
 * Therefore, based on the previous release, it should come around November 7.54048, 2018, and based on filming, it should come around October 28.33333, 2018.
 * ([November 7.54048, 2018] + [October 28.33333, 2018])/2 = November 2.43691, 2018. The closest Friday is the 2nd, so we can expect Daredevil: Season 3 around November 2, 2018.
 * The seasons are set 0.90342 times the real life span after the last one, on average. If Daredevil': Season 3 comes out around November 2.43691, 2018, it is 134.26786 days after Luke Cage: Season 2. 134.26786*0.90342 = 121.30027 days after June 9.29144, 2017, so October 8.59171, 2017. So rough prediction, Daredevil'': Season 3 could be set around autumn/fall 2017.
 * Iron Fist: Season 2 will begin filming on roughly December 6, 2017.
 * 139.37143 days after Daredevil: Season 3, roughly November 2.43691, 2018, is March 21.80834, 2019.
 * 349.33333 days after December 6, 2017 is November 20.33333, 2018.
 * Therefore, based on the previous release, it should come around March 21.80834, 2019, and based on filming, it should come around November 20.33333, 2018.
 * ([March 21.80834, 2019] + [November 20.33333, 2018])/2 = January 20.07084, 2019. The closest Friday is the 19th, so we can expect Iron Fist: Season 2 around January 19, 2019.
 * The seasons are set 0.90342 times the real life span after the last one, on average. If Iron Fist': Season 2 comes out around January 20.07084, 2019, it is 78.63393 days after Daredevil: Season 3. 78.63393*0.90342 = 71.03947 days after October 8.59171, 2017, so December 18.63118, 2017. So rough prediction, Iron Fist'': Season 2 could be set around late 2017.