User:Marvelus/Phase Three Timeline

=Doctor Strange= This is the full quote from Scott Derrickson on the Empire podcast. "It's present day. So how long is he in recovery, for the hands?" S.D.: "Oh we had that mapped out, gosh, it's been a long time since I thought about that. It's months that he's in recovery, I think it's between 3 and 6 months. Yeah, I think it's about 3 to 6 months. Somewhere in there. And there is a more precise answer, but I don't remember which one it is..." "Fair enough. 'Cause obviously the movie starts, there's a shot in Stephen's apartment of an award he's been given for 2016, and a lot of references are very very contemporary as well, obviously you see the Avengers Tower, there's references to Adele and Beyoncé. So, does it start right at the beginning of 2016? The time frame of his learning is obviously accelerated by the fact he can project his astral form..." S.D.: "Yeah if I remember correctly, I think - gosh, don't hold me to this because again I haven't thought about this in a long time, but I had a day where we went through and mapped everything out in the script phase, and checked in on it during production - but I think it's about a year from the beginning of the movie to his return to New York. And so, I think it goes roughly from late Fall to late Fall... mid-to-late fall to mid-to-late fall, I think it is. Because you know it's cold and raining, um... so NO, I think it starts early fall, to late fall, so it's a little over a year, because I think it's like winter-y when he has the fight with Christine, it's like that cold, New York, really dark grey, nearly snowing kind of vibe. So yeah, I think it's fall to fall basically."

Events
OK, next, the scenes from Doctor Strange (and Doctor Strange: Mystic Apprentice), broken down with their evidence:

Day 1

 * (Morning N.Y./)Daytime London/Nighttime Kathmandu: Kaecilius steals the pages.
 * Derrickson says the film begins in early fall.
 * Daytime London begins 04:42 London at its earliest in June, so 03:42 UTC, and 08:06 London at its latest in December/January, so 08:06 UTC. Therefore on approximate average, sunrise is 05:54 UTC. Nighttime Kathmandu begins 17:08 Kathmandu at its earliest in November/December, so 11:23 UTC, and 19:03 Kathmandu at its latest in June/July, so 13:18 UTC. Therefore on approximate average, sunset is 12:20.5 UTC. Daytime London ends 15:51 London at its earliest in December, so 15:51 UTC, and 21:21 London at its latest in June, so 20:21 UTC. Therefore on approximate average, sunset is 18:06 UTC. Daytime Kathmandu begins 05:07 Kathmandu at its earliest in June, so 23:22 UTC, and 06:55 Kathmandu at its latest in January, so 01:10 UTC. Therefore on approximate average, sunrise is 00:16 UTC. Overall, on average, the scene would have to be between 12:20.5 UTC and 20:21 UTC to be day in London and night in Kathmandu. 16:20.75 UTC is therefore the average time which would place best on any given date.

February 2, 2016

 * Daytime N.Y.: Surgery.
 * 17:16 N.Y.: Strange gets his watch out.
 * Established as February 2, 2016. Ignoring the WHiH stuff and just skipping to the knowledge that the watch + Derrickson's comments overrule it.
 * 17:24 N.Y.: Strange drives.
 * 18:20 N.Y.: Crash.

February 3, 2016

 * Daytime N.Y.: Strange wakes.

A

 * Evening N.Y.: Strange uses a tablet while Christine shaves him.

B

 * Daytime N.Y.: Bandages unwrapped. Strange feels the surgeon ruined him.

C

 * Daytime N.Y.: Strange has a meeting about having an experimental procedure.
 * Strange has a very thin beard. About Day 6 of this video (unclear if Day 1 is 1st day after shaving or day of shave, so let's say 5.5ish days), this guy shaved on January 1st, let's say midday, and then it is around the 2nd or 3rd shot of 5 in January. Because the end of January is between the 5th and 6th shot, we're calling it 5.5 shots in January since the 1st. (2.5 ÷ 5.5) × 30.5 = 13.86364 days by this video. Overall, about a (5.5 + 13.86364) ÷ 2 = 9.68182-day beard. This is not necessarily the time since A, because it's very possible Strange was shaved again between the scenes.

D

 * Daytime N.Y.: Operation.
 * Strange is clean-shaven again.

E

 * Daytime N.Y.: Strength training.
 * Strange has a craggy beard. About Day 13 by this video (12.5ish days), about 2nd of 7 shots in February, 30.5 + ((2 - 0.5) ÷ 7) × 28 = 36.5 days by this video. Overall, about a (12.5 + 36.5) ÷ 2 = 24.5-day beard.

F

 * Strange gives up shaving.

Day 1

 * Evening New York: Strange argues with Christine. 
 * Scott Derrickson says, "Gosh, don't hold me to this because again I haven't thought about this in a long time [...] I think it's like winter-y when he has the fight with Christine, it's like that cold, New York, really dark grey, nearly snowing kind of vibe."
 * Significant weather as it's very rainy.
 * Strange has the same craggy beard of about 24.5 days. We've established the crash as February 2, 2016 18:20, and then if "BETWEEN BLOCKS 2 AND 3: A" were later in "BLOCK 2: Day 2" (at the earliest, 17:20, and was the last time they shaved together and there were 9.68182 beard days to 09:41.82080, then he shaved again right after the meeting and another 24.5 beard days have passed since, that means absolute minimum (and it's got to be, and will be, quite a bit more), if Strange healed miraculously fast, his beard would mean that 9.68182 + 24.5 = 34.18182 beard days have passed since "BLOCK 2: Day 2". If his beard is very fast like the man in the first video, whose beard takes about ((5.5 ÷ 9.68182) + (12.5 ÷ 24.5)) ÷ 2 = 0.53914 × the time, that means an absolute absolute minimum 34.18182 × 0.53914 = 18.42879 days have passed since his crash.

A

 * Strange opens the "12.9.14" Pangborn files.
 * Strange still has a craggy beard, but it's a little bit thicker. About Day 16 (15.5ish days) by this video, about 4th of 7 shots in February, 30.5 + ((4 - 0.5) ÷ 7) × 28 = 44.5 days by this video. Overall, about a (15.5 + 44.5) ÷ 2 = 30-day beard.

B

 * Strange visits Pangborn.
 * Strange has the same craggy beard of about 30 days.

Day 1

 * (Nighttime New York/)Day 2 daytime Kathmandu: Strange wanders in Kathmandu. 
 * Derrickson says, "It's months that he's in recovery, I think it's between 3 and 6 months. Yeah, I think it's about 3 to 6 months."
 * If the crash is going to be before WHiH, then the WHiH stuff should at least be before Strange goes missing.
 * About Day 28 (27.5ish days) by this video, about 3rd or 4th of 8 shots in March, 30.5 + 28 + ((3.5 - 0.5) ÷ 8) × 31 = 70.125 days by this video. Overall, about a (27.5 + 70.125) ÷ 2 = 48.8125-day beard.

Day 2

 * (Early hours N.Y./)Daytime Kathmandu: Meets Mordo.
 * (Early hours N.Y./)Daytime Kathmandu: Ancient One.
 * (Early hours N.Y./)Daytime Kathmandu: Multiverse.
 * (Early hours N.Y./)Daytime Kathmandu: Thrown out.
 * (Morning N.Y./)Evening Kathmandu: Discuss Kaecilius, 5 hours later.
 * (Morning N.Y./)Evening Kathmandu: Allow Strange back in.
 * (Morning N.Y./)Evening Kathmandu: Wi-fi password.
 * (Nighttime New York/)Day 3 daytime Kathmandu: Strange meets with the Ancient One.

A

 * Strange returns books to the library and meets Wong.
 * Strange has the same craggy beard of about 48.8125 days.

B

 * Kaecilius performs a ritual to contact Dormammu.
 * Strange has the same craggy beard of about 48.8125 days.

C

 * (Early hours N.Y./)Daytime Kathmandu: Strange trains with the others.
 * Strange has the same craggy beard of about 48.8125 days.

D

 * (Early hours N.Y./)Daytime Kathmandu: Strange fails to conjure anything while the others do.
 * Strange has the same craggy beard of about 48.8125 days.

E

 * (Early hours N.Y./)Daytime Kathmandu: Strange fails with the Sling Ring. The Ancient One takes him to Everest to force him to learn.
 * Strange has the same craggy beard of about 48.8125 days.

F

 * (Morning N.Y./)Evening Kathmandu: Haircut and shave.

G

 * Strange asks for books on astral projection.
 * Wong listens to Beyoncé as Strange steals the books.

Day 1

 * (Morning N.Y./)Evening Kathmandu: From inspired canon comic, Mystic Apprentice - Strange is struggling with conjuring an astral form. 
 * Strange says, "No matter how many months pass."

Day 1

 * (Early hours N.Y./)Daytime Kathmandu: Mystic Apprentice - Strange is training with Grem. 
 * Grem says, "Even after so many months."
 * (Early hours N.Y./)Daytime Kathmandu: Mystic Apprentice - Strange gets another book out.
 * (Morning N.Y./)Evening Kathmandu: Mystic Apprentice - Strange's attempt goes wrong again as he thinks of Christine.
 * (Daytime N.Y./)Night Kathmandu: Mystic Apprentice - Strange conjures a mandala.

A

 * Mystic Apprentice - Reading.

B

 * Mystic Apprentice - Staff.

C

 * Mystic Apprentice - Meditating.

D

 * Mystic Apprentice - Reading.

E

 * Mystic Apprentice - Reading.

F

 * Mystic Apprentice - Martial arts.

G

 * Mystic Apprentice - Meditating.

H

 * Mystic Apprentice - Pain training.

I

 * Mystic Apprentice - Meditating.

Day 1

 * (Morning N.Y./)Sunset Kathmandu: Mystic Apprentice - Strange talks to B'sso.
 * He asks "Days? Weeks? Months?" We can assume that his hard work since BLOCK 6 was the middle, "weeks" (which would make it nearly a month).
 * (Daytime N.Y./)Nighttime Kathmandu: Mystic Apprentice - Strange tries hard one last time.

Day 2

 * (Early hours N.Y./)Daytime Kathmandu: Mystic Apprentice - The next day, Strange visits Wong.
 * (Early hours N.Y./)Daytime Kathmandu: Mystic Apprentice - Strange falls asleep and accidentally manages it.

Day 3

 * (Early hours N.Y./)Daytime Kathmandu: Mystic Apprentice - Strange is training again.
 * (Daytime N.Y./)Nighttime Kathmandu: Strange is reading astrally (also in Mystic Apprentice).
 * (Nighttime N.Y./)Day 4 morning Kathmandu: "Wong told on me?" The Mirror Dimension. This seems to be ASAP after he steals the books, but some weeks are added in for Mystic Apprentice - it can place straight after.

Day 4

 * (Early hours N.Y./)Daytime Kathmandu: Training with Mordo, talking about relics. This seems to be as long as possible before the climax, so it places just after the previous event.

Day 1

 * About 30 minutes before sunset N.Y. (which is 16:28 N.Y. Dec/21:28 UTC-20:31 N.Y. Jun/00:31 UTC = 22:59.5 UTC average): Kaecilius fights Strange for the first time. The Ancient One dies at 02:42 N.Y. but falls in daytime, so she must right before sunset, meaning Strange's fight with Kaecilius is about half an hour before.
 * Mads Mikkelsen says Strange has been training for 9 months at this point.

Day 2

 * 02:42 N.Y.: The Ancient One dies.
 * Snow.
 * 30 minutes before sunrise N.Y. (which is 05:24 N.Y. Jun/09:24 UTC-07:20 N.Y. Jan/12:20 UTC = 10:52 UTC average): Hong Kong.
 * Strange refers to his training with relics as if it were quite a while ago.
 * Should be before Nadeer refers to the Hong Kong events on April 4, 2017.
 * Just after sunrise N.Y. (which is 10:52 UTC average): Ending.
 * Derrickson says, "Gosh, don't hold me to this because again I haven't thought about this in a long time [...] early fall, to late fall, so it's a little over a year." Late fall. Usually I'd go through a first pass to determine which year that would mean, but we can safely just skip to the knowledge that 2016 is the closer late autumn/fall to the potential date for the ending.
 * Derrickson says, "Gosh, don't hold me to this because again I haven't thought about this in a long time [...] early fall, to late fall, so it's a little over a year." Spans a little over a year.

DOCTOR STRANGE BLOCK 1 (OPENING)
SCOTT DERRICKSON: EARLY FALL
 * Derrickson said, "Don't hold me to this because again I haven't thought about this in a long time [...] I think it starts early fall." We're skipping the usual "first, let's establish, which year is this?" part and have established that it's early fall 2015 that's being referring to.
 * Where does this place it, ideally?: Autumn/fall 2015 officially began September 23, 2015 08:20 UTC and ended December 22, 2015 04:46.99999 UTC. However, in general speak, autumn/fall in New York is September 1st 00:00 N.Y. (04:00 UTC)-November 30th 23:59.99999 N.Y. (December 1st 04:59.99999 UTC). Therefore, autumn/fall 2015 can be taken to be roughly (([September 1, 2015 04:00 UTC] + [September 23, 2015 08:20 UTC]) ÷ 2) to (([December 1, 2015 04:59.99999 UTC] + [December 22, 2015 04:46.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2) = September 12, 2015 06:10 UTC to December 11, 2015 16:53.49999 UTC. "Early summer", "mid-summer", "late summer", "early fall", "mid-fall" etc. should all be ⅓ of a season apart. "Mid" is halfway through. ½ - ⅓ = ⅙ through for "early", and ½ + ⅓ = ⅚ through for "late". You then would add another ⅓ to late summer and end up with ⅙ through early fall, then another ⅓ takes you to halfway through fall for mid-fall, etc., it all works. "Early fall", therefore ⅙ through the 2170.725 hours of fall 2015 gives 361.7875 hours through - September 27, 2015 07:57.25 UTC.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Director statement, with the director giving a caveat. Value: 75.
 * Absolute earliest interpretation: Using the earlier, colloquial fall beginning September 1, 2015 00:00 N.Y., and that the earliest is the first day. The London daytime after is 06:12 London-19:47 London, 05:12 UTC-18:47 UTC, and the Kathmandu nighttime is 18:25 Kathmandu-05:42 Kathmandu, 12:40 UTC-23:57 UTC. Overall, the scene has to be between 12:40 UTC and 18:47 UTC to be day in London and night in Kathmandu. Earliest it can be is 5 minutes in, after Kathmandu sunset, so 12:45 UTC. September 1, 2015 12:45 UTC.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: September 1st is also the earliest possible, September 1, 2015 12:45 UTC.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: Using the fall we've established of September 12th-December 11th, and that the earliest is the first day. The London daytime after is 06:29 London-19:22 London, 05:29 UTC-18:22 UTC, and the Kathmandu nighttime is 18:12 Kathmandu-05:47 Kathmandu, 12:27 UTC-00:02 UTC. Overall, the scene has to be between 12:27 UTC and 18:22 UTC to be day in London and night in Kathmandu. Earliest it can be is 5 minutes in, after Kathmandu sunset, so 12:32 UTC. September 12, 2015 12:32 UTC.
 * Latest realistic interpretation: Using the fall we've established of September 12th-December 11th, and the fact that "early" is rarely more than ⅓ through. ⅓ through the 2170.725 hours gives 723.575 hours through, October 12, 2015 09:44.5 UTC. The London daytime before is 07:17 London-18:16 London, 06:17 UTC-17:16 UTC, and the Kathmandu nighttime is 17:39 Kathmandu-06:01 Kathmandu, 11:54 UTC-00:16 UTC. Overall, the scene has to be between 11:54 UTC and 17:16 UTC to be day in London and night in Kathmandu. Latest it can be is 5 minutes from the end, before London sunset, so 17:11 UTC. October 11, 2015 17:11 UTC.
 * Latest possible interpretation: Using the later, official fall of September 23rd-December 21st/22nd, and the fact that "early" cannot really be more than ⅖ through. ⅖ through the 2156.45 hours gives 862.58 hours through, October 29, 2015 06:54.8 UTC. The London daytime before is 06:46 London-16:41 London, 06:46 UTC-16:41 UTC, and the Kathmandu nighttime is 17:23 Kathmandu-06:12 Kathmandu, 11:38 UTC-00:27 UTC. Overall, the scene has to be between 11:38 UTC and 16:41 UTC to be day in London and night in Kathmandu. Latest it can be is 5 minutes from the end, before London sunset, so 16:36 UTC. October 28, 2015 16:36 UTC.
 * Absolute latest interpretation: Using the later, official fall of September 23rd-December 21st/22nd, and the fact that "early" absolutely has to be at least the day before midway. The middle of the 2156.45 hours gives 1078.225 hours through, November 7, 2015 06:33.5 UTC. The London daytime before is 07:02 London-16:25 London, 07:02 UTC-16:25 UTC, and the Kathmandu nighttime is 17:16 Kathmandu-06:18 Kathmandu, 11:31 UTC-00:33 UTC. Overall, the scene has to be between 11:31 UTC and 16:25 UTC to be day in London and night in Kathmandu. Latest it can be is 5 minutes from the end, before London sunset, so 16:20 UTC. November 6, 2015 16:20 UTC.
 * (([September 1, 2015 12:45 UTC] × 1 + [September 1, 2015 12:45 UTC] × 2 + [September 12, 2015 12:32 UTC] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([October 11, 2015 17:11 UTC] × 4 + [October 28, 2015 16:36 UTC] × 2 + [November 6, 2015 16:20 UTC] × 1) ÷ 7) = September 7, 2015 19:29 UTC to October 20, 2015 06:36.57143 UTC = 42:11:07.57143 days of leniency. September 27, 2015 07:57.25 UTC, weight 75 ÷ [42 + ([11 + ([7.57143] ÷ 60)] ÷ 24)] = 1.76622.

Overall Result
September 27, 2015 07:57.25 UTC. Weight 1.76622.

DOCTOR STRANGE BLOCK 3 (ARGUMENT)
SCOTT DERRICKSON: WINTER-Y
 * Derrickson said, "Don't hold me to this because again I haven't thought about this in a long time [...] I think it's like winter-y when he has the fight with Christine, it's like that cold, New York, really dark grey, nearly snowing kind of vibe."
 * Where does this place it, ideally?: This data was accumulated over 34 years, of which 7 were leap years. So the February can be taken to be a figure for 28 + (7 ÷ 34) = 28.20588-day Februarys. The data can be interpreted with the middle of each month, adjusting February for what you'd expect in 29 days: ([([November 1, 2015 00:00 N.Y.] + [November 30, 2015 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 0.8 + [([December 1, 2015 00:00 N.Y.] + [December 31, 2015 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 12.2 + [([January 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [January 31, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 17.8 + [([February 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [February 29, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × (22.4 × (29 ÷ 28.20588)) + [([March 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [March 31, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 9.1 + [([April 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [April 30, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 1.5) ÷ (0.8 + 12.2 + 17.8 + (22.4 × (29 ÷ 28.20588)) + 9.1 + 1.5) = ([([November 1, 2015 04:00 UTC] + [December 1, 2015 04:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 0.8 + [([December 1, 2015 05:00 UTC] + [January 1, 2016 04:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 12.2 + [([January 1, 2016 05:00 UTC] + [February 1, 2016 04:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 17.8 + [([February 1, 2016 05:00 UTC] + [March 1, 2016 04:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 23.03066 + [([March 1, 2016 05:00 UTC] + [April 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 9.1 + [([April 1, 2016 04:00 UTC] + [May 1, 2016 04:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 1.5) ÷ 64.43066 = ([November 16, 2015 05:00 UTC] × 0.8 + [December 16, 2015 17:00 UTC] × 12.2 + [January 16, 2016 17:00 UTC] × 17.8 + [February 15, 2016 17:00 UTC] × 23.03066 + [March 16, 2016 16:30 UTC] × 9.1 + [April 16, 2016 04:00 UTC] × 1.5) ÷ 64.43066 = January 31, 2016 09:00.77561 UTC for the peak snow day. The beginning of November is 2189.01293 hours before that, and the end of April is 2179.98707 hours after that. The average of these two figures is 2189.01293 hours, so we can assume that the limits of 99.73% plausibility (3 standard definitions either side of the mean) are 2184.5 hours either side. This means the standard deviation is 2184.5 ÷ 3 = 728.16667 hours. Therefore, 1 standard deviation before the average date for snowfall is January 1, 2016 00:50.77541 UTC (December 31, 2015 19:50.77541 N.Y.). So, the ideal date from his statement would be around the evening of December 31st. However, with Strange's accident on February 2nd at 18:20 N.Y. (23:20 UTC) and at least 34.18182 days passing considering the beard (it is possible that the beard grew faster, but it would already be very very fast for Strange to have recovered that much in 34 days, so we're not going to go any shorter), March 8, 2016 03:41.82077 UTC is the closest we can get to the December date. March 8, 2016 03:41.82077 UTC.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Director statement, with the director giving a caveat. Value: 75.
 * Absolute earliest interpretation: As established in the above in the events, the bear bear minimum if his beard grew very fast (and Strange healed miraculously fast) is 18.42879 days after February 2, 2016 23:20 UTC, so February 21, 2016 09:37.45762 UTC (04:37.45762 N.Y.). It's the evening, so the very earliest is about 5 minutes after the beginning of the following evening, 17:37, so February 21, 2016 17:42 N.Y.. February 21, 2016 22:42 UTC.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: As established above, Strange's beard should at least suggest 34.18182 days have passed, and that would mean Strange healed very very fast, so we can't really go any shorter. 34.18182 days after February 2, 2016 23:20 UTC, so March 8, 2016 03:41.82077 UTC (22:41.82077 N.Y.). That is an evening, so it works, March 8, 2016 03:41.82077 UTC.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: Again, March 8, 2016 03:41.82077 UTC.
 * Latest realistic interpretation: Derrickson's comment's latest interpretation is whichever comes first, the end of winter or the end of possible snow days. The end of winter in March comes first before the end of the possible snow days in April. The end of winter 2015-16 is officially March 20, 2016 04:30 UTC, but commonly considered February 29, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y., which is March 1, 2016 04:59.99999 UTC. So overall, it is about March 10, 2016 16:45 UTC (11:45 N.Y.). It's the evening, no later than 00:00 N.Y. (05:00 UTC), so the latest realistic is March 10, 2016 04:59.99999 UTC.
 * Latest possible interpretation: The end of winter in March comes before the end of possible snow days in April. The end of winter 2015-16 is officially March 20, 2016 04:30 UTC (00:30 N.Y.). The evening before that, no later than 00:00 N.Y. (04:00 UTC) means that the latest possible is March 20, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC.
 * Absolute latest interpretation: If we look at winter and summer in the binary sense, then the latest winter can be considered to end is halfway between the official end of winter and the official end of spring. ([March 20, 2016 04:30 UTC] + [June 20, 2016 22:33.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2 = May 5, 2016 13:32 UTC. The last at-all-plausible snow, 3 standard deviations (99.73% of snow falls before this date), 728.16667 × 3 = 2184.5 hours after January 31, 2016 09:00.77561 UTC, is May 1, 2016 09:30.77561 UTC. The earlier of the two is the May 1st snow date, which is 09:30.77561 UTC, 05:30.77561 N.Y.. It's the evening, no later than 00:00 N.Y. (04:00 UTC), so the latest possible is May 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC.
 * (([February 21, 2016 22:42 UTC] × 1 + [March 8, 2016 03:41.82077 UTC] × 2 + [March 8, 2016 03:41.82077 UTC] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([March 10, 2016 04:59.99999 UTC] × 4 + [March 20, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC] × 2 + [May 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC] × 1) ÷ 7) = March 5, 2016 23:33.27360 UTC to March 20, 2016 11:25.71428 UTC = 14:11:52.44068 days of leniency. March 8, 2016 03:41.82077 UTC, weight 75 ÷ [14 + ([11 + ([52.44068] ÷ 60)] ÷ 24)] = 5.17429.

VERY RAINY
 * Rainfall in New York. May (middle of which is 16th 12:00 N.Y., 16:00 UTC) and September (middle of which is 16th 00:00 N.Y., 04:00 UTC) are the peaks, which, in a leap year, would make July 16th 22:00 UTC and January 15th 22:00 UTC the approximate troughs. February (middle of which is 15th 12:00 N.Y., 17:00 UTC) and November (middle of which is 16th 00:00 N.Y., 05:00 UTC) are the troughs given. So, the approximate troughs to go with are January 31st 07:30 UTC and September 16th 01:30 UTC. We're looking for the mean to find the peak between January and September, not the peak between September and January.
 * Where does this place it, ideally?: ([([January 31, 2016 07:30 UTC] + [January 31, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × (85 × (([January 31, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.] - [January 31, 2016 07:30 UTC]) ÷ 31)) + [([February 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [February 29, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × (57 × (29 ÷ 28.25)) + [([March 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [March 31, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 90 + [([April 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [April 30, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 96 + [([May 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [May 31, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 114 + [([June 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [June 30, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 98 + [([July 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [July 31, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 101 + [([August 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [August 31, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 87 + [([September 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [September 16, 2016 01:30 UTC]) ÷ 2] × (104 × (([September 16, 2016 01:30 UTC] - [September 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.]) ÷ 30))) ÷ ((85 × (([January 31, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.] - [January 31, 2016 07:30 UTC]) ÷ 31)) + (57 × (29 ÷ 28.25)) + 90 + 96 + 114 + 98 + 101 + 87 + (104 × (([September 16, 2016 01:30 UTC] - [September 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.]) ÷ 30))) = ([([January 31, 2016 07:30 UTC] + [February 1, 2016 04:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × (85 × (([February 1, 2016 04:59.99999 UTC] - [January 31, 2016 07:30 UTC]) ÷ 31)) + [([February 1, 2016 05:00 UTC] + [March 1, 2016 04:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × (57 × 1.02655) + [([March 1, 2016 05:00 UTC] + [April 1, 2016 03:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 90 + [([April 1, 2016 04:00 UTC] + [May 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 96 + [([May 1, 2016 04:00 UTC] + [June 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 114 + [([June 1, 2016 04:00 UTC] + [July 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 98 + [([July 1, 2016 04:00 UTC] + [August 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 101 + [([August 1, 2016 04:00 UTC] + [September 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 87 + [([September 1, 2016 04:00 UTC] + [September 16, 2016 01:30 UTC]) ÷ 2] × (104 × (([September 16, 2016 01:30 UTC] - [September 1, 2016 04:00 UTC]) ÷ 30))) ÷ ((85 × (([February 1, 2016 04:59.99999 N.Y.] - [January 31, 2016 07:30 UTC]) ÷ 31)) + (57 × 1.02655) + 90 + 96 + 114 + 98 + 101 + 87 + (104 × (([September 16, 2016 01:30 UTC] - [September 1, 2016 04:00 UTC]) ÷ 30))) = ([January 31, 2016 18:15 UTC] × (85 × (0.89583 ÷ 31)) + [February 15, 2016 17:00 UTC] × 58.51335 + [March 16, 2016 16:30 UTC] × 90 + [April 16, 2016 04:00 UTC] × 96 + [May 16, 2016 16:00 UTC] × 114 + [June 16, 2016 04:00 UTC] × 98 + [July 16, 2016 16:00 UTC] × 101 + [August 16, 2016 16:00 UTC] × 87 + [September 8, 2016 14:45 UTC] × (104 × (14.89583 ÷ 30))) ÷ ((85 × (0.89583 ÷ 31)) + 644.51335 + (104 × (14.89583 ÷ 30))) = May 29, 2016 16:19.23182 UTC.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Pretty significant weather. Value: 75.
 * Absolute earliest interpretation: For that much rain, absolute minimum ⅛ from trough January 31, 2016 07:30 UTC to peak May 29, 2016 16:19.23183 UTC, February 15, 2016 05:36.154032 UTC. This is before the absolute absolute first possible day which, as established above, is February 21, 2016 22:42 UTC.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: For that much rain, minimum ⅙ from trough January 31, 2016 07:30 UTC to peak May 29, 2016 16:19.23182 UTC, February 20, 2016 04:58.20530 UTC. This is before the earliest possible day which, as established above, is March 8, 2016 03:41.82077 UTC.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: For that much rain, realistic minimum ¼ from trough January 31, 2016 07:30 UTC to peak May 29, 2016 16:19.23182 UTC, March 1, 2016 03:42.30792 UTC. This is before the earliest possible date which, as established above, is March 8, 2016 03:41.82077 UTC.
 * Latest realistic interpretation: For that much rain, realistic maximum ¾ from peak May 29, 2016 16:19.23182 UTC to trough September 16, 2016 01:30 UTC, August 19, 2016 17:12.30792 UTC.
 * Latest possible interpretation: For that much rain, maximum ⅚ from peak May 29, 2016 16:19.23182 UTC to trough September 16, 2016 01:30 UTC, August 28, 2016 19:58.20528 UTC.
 * Absolute latest interpretation: For that much rain, absolute maximum ⅞ from peak May 29, 2016 16:19.23182 UTC to trough September 16, 2016 01:30 UTC, September 2, 2016 09:21.15397 UTC.
 * (([February 21, 2016 22:42 UTC] × 1 + [March 8, 2016 03:41.82077 UTC] × 2 + [March 8, 2016 03:41.82077 UTC] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([August 19, 2016 17:12.30792 UTC] × 4 + [August 28, 2016 19:58.20528 UTC] × 2 + [September 2, 2016 09:21.15397 UTC] × 1) ÷ 7) = March 5, 2016 23:33.27494 UTC to August 24, 2016 06:35.25660 UTC = 171:07:01.98166 days of leniency. May 29, 2016 16:19.23182 UTC, weight 75 ÷ [171 + ([7 + ([1.98166] ÷ 60)] ÷ 24)] = 0.43785.

Overall Result
([March 8, 2016 03:41.82077 UTC] × 5.17429 + [May 29, 2016 16:19.23182 UTC] × 0.43785) ÷ (5.17429 + 0.43785) = March 14, 2016 14:13.32156 UTC. Weight 5.17429 + 0.43785 = 5.61214.

DOCTOR STRANGE BLOCK 4 (KATHMANDU)
SCOTT DERRICKSON: 3-6 MONTHS
 * Derrickson said, "I think it's between 3 and 6 months. Yeah, I think it's about 3 to 6 months."
 * Where does this place it, ideally?: 3 months after February 2, 2016 18:20 N.Y. is ( [ [February 2, 2016 18:20 N.Y.] + 3 months] × 2 + [February 2016 + 3 months] × 1) ÷ (2 + 1) = ([May 2, 2016 18:20 N.Y.] × 2 + [([May 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [May 31, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 1) ÷ 3 = ([May 2, 2016 22:20 UTC] × 2 + [([May 1, 2016 04:00 UTC] + [June 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 1) ÷ 3 = ([May 2, 2016 22:20 UTC] × 2 + [May 16, 2016 16:00 UTC] × 1) ÷ 3 = May 7, 2016 12: 13.33333 UTC. 6 months after February 2, 2016 18:20 N.Y. is ( [ [February 2, 2016 18:20 N.Y.] + 6 months] × 2 + [February 2016 + 6 months] × 1) ÷ (2 + 1) = ([August 2, 2016 18:20 N.Y.] × 2 + [([August 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [August 31, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 1) ÷ 3 = ([August 2, 2016 22:20 UTC] × 2 + [([August 1, 2016 04:00 UTC] + [September 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 1) ÷ 3 = ([August 2, 2016 22:20 UTC] × 2 + [August 16, 2016 16:00 UTC] × 1) ÷ 3 = August 7, 2016 12:13.33333 UTC. The middle of these dates is ([May 7, 2016 12:13.33333 UTC] + [August 7, 2016 12:13.33333 UTC]) ÷ 2 = June 22, 2016 12:13.33333 UTC.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Director statement, with the director giving some caveat. Value: 100.
 * Absolute earliest interpretation: "About" allows for a greater leniency, meaning the minimum can be 2. 2 months after February 2, 2016 18:20 N.Y. gives ( [ [February 2, 2016 18:20 N.Y.] + 2 months] × 2 + [February 2016 + 2 months] × 1) ÷ (2 + 1) = ([April 2, 2016 18:20 N.Y.] × 2 + [([April 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [April 30, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 1) ÷ 3 = ([April 2, 2016 22:20 UTC] × 2 + [([April 1, 2016 04:00 UTC] + [May 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 1) ÷ 3 = ([April 2, 2016 22:20 UTC] × 2 + [April 16, 2016 04:00 UTC] × 1) ÷ 3 = April 7, 2016 08:13.33333 UTC. This is 13:58.33333 Kathmandu, which is daytime, so that works. April 7, 2016 08:13.33333 UTC.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: The minimum that "3" months can be is 2.5 rounded up. ([February 2, 2016 18:20 N.Y. + 2 months] + [February 2, 2016 18:20 N.Y. + 3 months]) ÷ 2 = ([April 2, 2016 18:20 N.Y.] + [May 2, 2016 18:20 N.Y.]) ÷ 2 = ([April 2, 2016 22:20 UTC] + [May 2, 2016 22:20 UTC]) ÷ 2 = April 17, 2016 22:20 UTC. This is April 18th 04:05 Kathmandu. Daytime Kathmandu begins at 05:36 Kathmandu, so the earliest possible is 5 minutes after sunrise, April 18, 2016 05:41 Kathmandu - April 17, 2016 23:56 UTC.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: 3 calendar months is slightly lower than 3 exact months. February 2016 + 3 months = May 2016. May 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y. is 09:45 Kathmandu, which is daytime, so works. May 1, 2016 04:00 UTC.
 * Latest realistic interpretation: 6 calendar months, February 2016 + 6 months = August 2016. August 31, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y. is September 1st 09:44.99999 Kathmandu, which is daytime, so works. September 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC.
 * Latest possible interpretation: 6 calendar months again, September 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC.
 * Absolute latest interpretation: "About" allows for a greater leniency, meaning the maximum can be 7. 7 months after February 2, 2016 18:20 N.Y. gives ( [ [February 2, 2016 18:20 N.Y.] + 7 months] × 2 + [February 2016 + 7 months] × 1) ÷ (2 + 1) = ([September 2, 2016 18:20 N.Y.] × 2 + [([September 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [September 30, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 1) ÷ 3 = ([September 2, 2016 22:20 UTC] × 2 + [([September 1, 2016 04:00 UTC] + [October 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 1) ÷ 3 = ([September 2, 2016 22:20 UTC] × 2 + [September 16, 2016 04:00 UTC] × 1) ÷ 3 = September 7, 2016 08:13.33333 UTC. This is 13:58.33333 Kathmandu, which is daytime, so that works. September 7, 2016 08:13.33333 UTC.
 * (([April 7, 2016 08:13.33333 UTC] × 1 + [April 17, 2016 23:56 UTC] × 2 + [May 1, 2016 04:00 UTC] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([September 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC] × 4 + [September 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC] × 2 + [September 7, 2016 08:13.33333 UTC] × 1) ÷ 7) = April 24, 2016 00:00.76190 UTC to September 2, 2016 01:10.47618 UTC = 131:01:09.71428 days of leniency. June 22, 2016 12:13.33333 UTC, weight 100 ÷ [131 + ([1 + ([9.71428] ÷ 60)] ÷ 24)] = 0.76308.

WHIH
 * As well as posting on May 2nd, "NYC's top surgeons are pioneering new life-saving techniques. We discuss with Dr. Stephen Strange only on WHiH," on May 3rd at 11:01 N.Y., they showed in their video, "WHiH Top NYC surgeon Dr. Stephen Strange reveals new life-saving techniques in exclusive WHiH interview." While this would suggest that his crash is after this, it can't be, since it has to be February 2, 2016. But it can be taken to be an interview with him while he's in recovery and hopeful about his own career or an older interview - but it would be weird to air that when he's disappeared. Therefore, Strange should not leave until at least May 3, 2016.
 * Where does this place it, ideally?: If Strange left at 11:30 N.Y., 15:30 UTC, and caught a 19:10-long flight (shortest available), the earliest he could arrive is May 4, 2016 10:40 UTC. There is no latest from this evidence, but the weighted latest from above is September 2, 2016 01:10.47618 UTC. ([May 4, 2016 10:40 UTC] + [([September 2, 2016 01:10.47618 UTC]) ÷ 2 = July 3, 2016 17:55.23806 UTC.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Reasonable implication. WHiH so × 0.5. Value: 100 × 0.5 = 50.
 * Absolute earliest interpretation: In the absolute earliest, rejecting the implication, it can be taken as just an old interview. As above, the absolute earliest possible can be taken to be April 7, 2016 08:13.33333 UTC.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: Strange hasn't been gone long enough for anything to be suspicious when they air it about a week later, so he left earliest a week before May 3, 2016 11:30 N.Y., April 26, 2016 11:30 N.Y., 15:30 UTC. Therefore if he caught a 19:10-long flight, the earliest he could arrive is April 27, 2016 10:40 UTC.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: As written above when finding the ideal placement, the earliest realistic is May 4, 2016 10:40 UTC.
 * Latest realistic interpretation: No latest limit, so use latest limit from other evidence, September 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC.
 * Latest possible interpretation: No latest limit, so use latest limit from other evidence, September 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC.
 * Absolute latest interpretation: No latest limit, so use latest limit from other evidence, September 7, 2016 08:13.33333 UTC.
 * (([April 7, 2016 08:13.33333 UTC] × 1 + [April 27, 2016 10:40 UTC] × 2 + [May 4, 2016 10:40 UTC] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([September 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC] × 4 + [September 1, 2016 03:59.99999 UTC] × 2 + [September 7, 2016 08:13.33333 UTC] × 1) ÷ 7) = April 28, 2016 13:44.76190 UTC to September 2, 2016 01:10.47618 UTC = 126:11:25.71428 days of leniency. July 3, 2016 17:55.23806 UTC, weight 50 ÷ [126 + ([11 + ([25.71428] ÷ 60)] ÷ 24)] = 0.39533.

Overall Result
([June 22, 2016 12:13.33333 UTC] × 0.76308 + [July 3, 2016 17:55.23806 UTC] × 0.39533) ÷ (0.76308 + 0.39533) = June 26, 2016 08:15.72385 UTC. Weight 0.76308 + 0.39533 = 1.15841.

DOCTOR STRANGE BLOCK 8 (CLIMAX)
SCOTT DERRICKSON: LATE FALL
 * Derrickson said, "Gosh, don't hold me to this because again I haven't thought about this in a long time [...] I think it starts early fall, to late fall, so it's a little over a year." Late fall. We're just taking it as late fall 2016.
 * Where does this place it, ideally?: Autumn/fall 2016 officially began September 22, 2016 14:21 UTC and ended December 21, 2016 10:43.99999 UTC. However, in general speak, autumn/fall in New York is September 1st 00:00 N.Y. (04:00 UTC)-November 30th 23:59.99999 N.Y. (December 1st 04:59.99999 UTC). Therefore, autumn/fall 2016 can be taken to be roughly (([September 1, 2016 04:00 UTC] + [September 22, 2016 14:21 UTC]) ÷ 2) to (([December 1, 2016 04:59.99999 UTC] + [December 21, 2016 10:43.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2) = September 11, 2016 21:10.5 UTC to December 11, 2016 07:51.99999 UTC. As established above, "late" means ⅚ through. ⅚ through the 2170.69167 hours of fall 2016 therefore gives 1808.90972 hours through, November 26, 2016 06:05.08320 UTC.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Director statement, with the director giving a caveat. Value: 75.
 * Absolute earliest interpretation: Using the earlier, colloquial fall of September 1st-November 30th/December 1st, and the fact that "late" absolutely has to be at least the day after midway. The middle of the 2185 hours gives 1092.5 hours through, October 16, 2016 16:30 UTC. With the Ancient One dying at 02:42 N.Y., the Hong Kong events being very soon after (and the time zone working fine with New York), and then Strange assuming his role at the Sanctum soon after that but it now being N.Y. morning, to minimise time passing, it has to be about 5 minutes after sunrise. The New York daytime after begins 07:09 N.Y., 11:09 UTC. 5 minutes after New York sunrise gives October 17, 2016 11:14 UTC.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: Using the earlier, colloquial fall of September 1st-November 30th/December 1st, and the fact that "late" cannot be less than ⅗. ⅗ through the 2185 hours gives 1311 hours through, October 25, 2016 19:00 UTC. As explained, the ending is about 5 minutes after sunrise. The New York daytime after begins 07:19 N.Y., 11:19 UTC. 5 minutes after New York sunrise gives October 26, 2016 11:24 UTC.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: Using the fall we've established of September 11th-December 11th, and the fact that "late" is rarely less than ⅔. ⅔ through the 2170.69167 hours gives 1447.12778 hours through, November 11, 2016 04:18.16680 UTC. As explained, the ending is about 5 minutes after sunrise. The New York daytime after begins 06:38 N.Y., 11:38 UTC. 5 minutes after New York sunrise gives November 11, 2016 11:38 UTC.
 * Latest realistic interpretation: Using the fall we've established ending December 11, 2016 07:51.99999 UTC, and that the latest is the last day. As explained, the ending is about 5 minutes after sunrise. The New York daytime before begins 07:09 N.Y., 12:09 UTC. 5 minutes after New York sunrise gives December 10, 2016 12:14 UTC.
 * Latest possible interpretation: Using the later, official fall ending December 21, 2016 10:43.99999 UTC, and that the latest is the last day. As explained, the ending is about 5 minutes after sunrise. The New York daytime before begins 07:16 N.Y., 12:16 UTC. 5 minutes after New York sunrise gives December 20, 2016 12:21 UTC.
 * Absolute latest interpretation: "Late" can be up to the end of fall and no later - again, December 20, 2016 12:21 UTC.
 * (([October 17, 2016 11:14 UTC] × 1 + [October 26, 2016 11:24 UTC] × 2 + [November 11, 2016 11:38 UTC] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([December 10, 2016 12:14 UTC] × 4 + [December 20, 2016 12:21 UTC] × 2 + [December 20, 2016 12:21 UTC] × 1) ÷ 7) = November 3, 2016 08:04.85714 UTC to December 14, 2016 19:08.42857 UTC = 41:11:03.57143 days of leniency. November 26, 2016 06:05.08320 UTC, weight 75 ÷ [41 + ([11 + ([3.57143] ÷ 60)] ÷ 24)] = 1.80894.

SNOW
 * It is snowing when the Ancient One dies at 02:42 N.Y. during the climax.
 * Where does this place it, ideally?: This data was accumulated over 34 years, of which 7 were leap years. So the February can be taken to be a figure for 28 + (7 ÷ 34) = 28.20588-day Februarys. The data can be interpreted with the middle of each month, adjusting February for what you'd expect in 28 days: ([([November 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [November 30, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 0.8 + [([December 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [December 31, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 12.2 + [([January 1, 2016 00:00 N.Y.] + [January 31, 2016 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 17.8 + [([February 1, 2017 00:00 N.Y.] + [February 28, 2017 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × (22.4 × (28 ÷ 28.20588)) + [([March 1, 2017 00:00 N.Y.] + [March 31, 2017 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 9.1 + [([April 1, 2017 00:00 N.Y.] + [April 30, 2017 23:59.99999 N.Y.]) ÷ 2] × 1.5) ÷ (0.8 + 12.2 + 17.8 + (22.4 × (28 ÷ 28.20588)) + 9.1 + 1.5) = ([([November 1, 2016 04:00 UTC] + [December 1, 2016 04:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 0.8 + [([December 1, 2016 05:00 UTC] + [January 1, 2017 04:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 12.2 + [([January 1, 2017 05:00 UTC] + [February 1, 2017 04:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 17.8 + [([February 1, 2017 05:00 UTC] + [March 1, 2017 04:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 22.23650 + [([March 1, 2017 05:00 UTC] + [April 1, 2017 03:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 9.1 + [([April 1, 2017 04:00 UTC] + [May 1, 2017 04:59.99999 UTC]) ÷ 2] × 1.5) ÷ 63.63650 = ([November 16, 2016 05:00 UTC] × 0.8 + [December 16, 2016 17:00 UTC] × 12.2 + [January 16, 2017 17:00 UTC] × 17.8 + [February 15, 2017 05:00 UTC] × 22.23650 + [March 16, 2017 16:30 UTC] × 9.1 + [April 16, 2017 04:00 UTC] × 1.5) ÷ 63.63650 = January 30, 2017 20:13.78306 UTC. It is at 02:42 N.Y., and the sunrise is 07:06 N.Y., meaning the ending 5 minutes later would be 07:11 N.Y.. The ideal placement should not be rounded, so simply adding [07:11 N.Y.] - [02:42 N.Y.] = 04:29 gives [January 30, 2017 20:13.78306 UTC] + 04:29 = January 31, 2017 00:42.78306 UTC.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Very significant weather. Value: 150.
 * Absolute earliest interpretation: The beginning of November is 2176.22972 hours before January 30, 2017 20:13.78306 UTC, and the end of April is 2167.77028 hours after that. The average of these two figures is 2172 hours, so we can assume that the limits of 99.73% plausibility (3 standard deviations either side of the mean) are 2172 hours either side. This means the standard deviation is 2172 ÷ 3 = 724 hours. 3 standard deviations (3 × 724 = 2172 hours) before January 30, 2017 20:13.78306 UTC gives November 1, 2016 08:13.78306 UTC (12:13.78306 N.Y.). The Ancient One dies at 02:42 N.Y., and the first 02:42 N.Y. after this is November 2, 2016 02:42 N.Y.. The New York sunrise after this is 07:28 N.Y., and as established above, the ending should be 5 minutes after sunrise, therefore it ends at 07:33 N.Y., November 2, 2016 11:33 UTC.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: 2 standard deviations (2 × 724 = 1448 hours), which covers 95.45% of snow, before January 30, 2017 20:13.78306 UTC gives December 1, 2016 12:13.78306 UTC (17:13.78306 N.Y.). The Ancient One dies at 02:42 N.Y., and the first 02:42 N.Y. after this is December 2, 2016 02:42 N.Y.. The New York sunrise after this is 07:02 N.Y., and as established above, the ending should be 5 minutes after sunrise, therefore it ends at 07:07 N.Y., December 2, 2016 12:07 UTC.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: 1 standard deviation (724 hours), which covers 68.27% of snow, before January 30, 2017 20:13.78306 UTC gives December 31, 2016 16:13.78306 UTC (11:13.78306 N.Y.). The Ancient One dies at 02:42 N.Y., and the first 02:42 N.Y. after this is January 1, 2017 02:42 N.Y.. The New York sunrise after this is 07:20 N.Y., and as established above, the ending should be 5 minutes after sunrise, therefore it ends at 07:25 N.Y., January 1, 2017 12:25 UTC.
 * Latest realistic interpretation: 1 standard deviation (724 hours), which covers 68.27% of snow, after January 30, 2017 20:13.78306 UTC gives March 2, 2017 00:13.78306 UTC (05:13.78306 N.Y.). The Ancient One dies at 02:42 N.Y., and the first 02:42 N.Y. before this is March 2, 2017 02:42 N.Y.. The New York sunrise after this is 06:28 N.Y., and as established above, the ending should be 5 minutes after sunrise, therefore it ends at 06:33 N.Y., March 2, 2017 11:33 UTC.
 * Latest possible interpretation: 2 standard deviations (2 × 724 = 1448 hours), which covers 95.45% of snow, after January 30, 2017 20:13.78306 UTC gives April 1, 2017 04:13.78306 UTC (00:13.78306 N.Y.). The Ancient One dies at 02:42 N.Y., and the first 02:42 N.Y. before this is March 31, 2017 02:42 N.Y.. The New York sunrise after this is 06:40 N.Y., and as established above, the ending should be 5 minutes after sunrise, therefore it ends at 06:45 N.Y., March 31, 2017 10:45 UTC.
 * Absolute latest interpretation: 3 standard deviations (3 × 724 = 2172 hours), which covers 99.73% of snow, after January 30, 2017 20:13.78306 UTC gives May 1, 2017 08:13.78306 UTC (04:13.78306 N.Y.). The Ancient One dies at 02:42 N.Y., and the first 02:42 N.Y. before this is May 1, 2017 02:42 N.Y.. The New York sunrise after this is 05:54 N.Y., and as established above, the ending should be 5 minutes after sunrise, therefore it ends at 05:59 N.Y., May 1, 2017 09:59 UTC.
 * (([November 2, 2016 11:33 UTC] × 1 + [December 2, 2016 12:07 UTC] × 2 + [January 1, 2017 12:25 UTC] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([March 2, 2017 11:33 UTC] × 4 + [March 31, 2017 10:45 UTC] × 2 + [May 1, 2017 09:59 UTC] × 1) ÷ 7) = December 15, 2016 08:46.71427 UTC to March 19, 2017 07:40.14286 UTC = 93:22:53.42859 days of leniency. January 31, 2017 00:42.78306 UTC, weight 150 ÷ [93 + ([22 + ([53.42859] ÷ 60)] ÷ 24)] = 1.59653.

BEFORE LOCKUP
 * In Lockup, Ellen Nadeer refers to the Hong Kong events from Doctor Strange on April 4, 2017.
 * Where does this place it, ideally?: This means that the ending has to be, at the latest, that morning. On April 4, 2017, sunrise New York was 06:34 N.Y., so the latest the film can end, with Strange in the New York Sanctum, 5 minutes after sunrise is April 4, 2017 06:39 N.Y., 10:39 UTC. The weighted earliest dates from above are November 3, 2016 08:04.85714 UTC, weight 1.80894, and December 15, 2016 08:46.71427 UTC, weight 1.59653. So from these, the earliest date from above is ([November 3, 2016 08:04.85714 UTC] × 1.80894 + [December 15, 2016 08:46.71427 UTC] × 1.59653) ÷ (1.80894 + 1.59653) = November 23, 2016 00:58.31530 UTC. ([November 23, 2016 00:58.31530 UTC] + [([April 4, 2017 10:39 UTC]) ÷ 2 = February 8, 2017 18:17.81568 UTC.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Strong implication. TV so × 0.9. Only about the order, so × 0.25. Value: 250 × 0.9 × 0.25 = 56.25.
 * Absolute earliest interpretation: No earliest, so absolute earliest from other evidence is used, October 17, 2016 11:14 UTC.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: No earliest, so absolute earliest from other evidence is used, October 26, 2016 11:24 UTC.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: No earliest, so absolute earliest from other evidence is used, November 11, 2016 11:38 UTC.
 * Latest realistic interpretation: As explained, April 4, 2017 10:39 UTC.
 * Latest possible interpretation: As explained, April 4, 2017 10:39 UTC.
 * Absolute latest interpretation: Rejecting the implication and taking the line to not refer to the Doctor Strange final battle, so using absolute latest from other evidence, May 1, 2017 09:59 UTC.
 * (([October 17, 2016 11:14 UTC] × 1 + [October 26, 2016 11:24 UTC] × 2 + [November 11, 2016 11:38 UTC] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([April 4, 2017 10:39 UTC] × 4 + [April 4, 2017 10:39 UTC] × 2 + [May 1, 2017 09:59 UTC] × 1) ÷ 7) = November 3, 2016 08:04.857144 UTC to April 8, 2017 07:07.57143 UTC = 155:23 hours:02.71429 days of leniency. February 8, 2017 18:17.81568 UTC, weight 56.25 ÷ [155 + ([23 + ([2.71429] ÷ 60)] ÷ 24)] = 0.36067.

Overall Result
([November 26, 2016 06:05.08320 UTC] × 1.80894 + [January 31, 2017 00:42.78306 UTC] × 1.59653 + [February 8, 2017 18:17.81568 UTC] × 0.36067) ÷ (1.80894 + 1.59653 + 0.36067) = December 31, 2017 06:32.55509 UTC. Weight 1.80894 + 1.59653 + 0.36067 = 3.76614.

DOCTOR STRANGE BLOCK 1 (OPENING) → BLOCK 8 (CLIMAX)
SCOTT DERRICKSON: LITTLE OVER A YEAR
 * Derrickson said, "I think - gosh, don't hold me to this because again I haven't thought about this in a long time, but [...] I think it starts early fall, to late fall, so it's a little over a year."
 * How far apart does this place them, ideally?: As established above, the early fall would be September 27, 2015 07:57.25 UTC and the late fall would be November 26, 2016 06:05.08320 UTC, so the "little over a year" he refers to is that span, 424.92211 days.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Director statement, with the director giving a caveat. Value: 75.
 * Absolute shortest interpretation: A little over a year on an extremely technical level only has to be seconds over 1 year. 16:20.75 UTC is the average time which would place the opening scene best on any given date. The ending is 5 minutes after New York sunrise, which is average 10:52 UTC, meaning average 10:57 UTC on any given date. Therefore, for it to be over a year, the minimum should be 16:20.75 UTC to 10:57 UTC is 0.77517 days. The first 0.77517 days over 1 year (in this case a leap year, 366 days) is 366.77517 days.
 * Shortest possible interpretation: "A little over a year" should be at least 1 day over 1 year (in this case a leap year), plus the approximate .77517 days, so 367.77517 days.
 * Shortest realistic interpretation: "A little over a year" suggests at least half a month over a year (in this case the year is a leap year and the following year is a normal year). 366 + 0.5 × (365 ÷ 12) = 381.20833 days. The first .77517 days after this is 381.77517 days.
 * Longest realistic interpretation: "A little over a year" suggests no more than ¼ of a year over (in this case the year is a leap year and the following year is a normal year). 366 + 0.25 × 365 = 457.25 days. The first .77517 days after this is 457.77517 days.
 * Longest possible interpretation: "A little over a year" suggests no more than ⅓ of a year over (in this case the year is a leap year and the following year is a normal year). 366 + 0.33333 × 365 = 487.66545 days. The first .77517 days after this is 487.77517 days.
 * Absolute longest interpretation: "A little over a year" cannot mean any more than 5 months over a year (in this case the year is a leap year and the following year is a normal year). 366 + 5 × (365 ÷ 12) = 518.08333 days. The first .77517 days after this is 518.77517 days.
 * (([366.77517 days] × 1 + [367.77517 days] × 2 + [381.77517 days] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([457.77517 days] × 4 + [487.77517 days] × 2 + [518.77517 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = 375.63231 days to 475.06088 days = 99:10:17.14080 inclusive days of leniency. 424.92211 days, weight 75 ÷ [99 + ([10 + ([17.14080] ÷ 60)] ÷ 24)] = 0.75431.

Overall Result
424.92211 days. Weight 0.75431.

DOCTOR STRANGE BLOCK 3 (ARGUMENT) → BLOCK 4 (KATHMANDU)
BEARD
 * When Strange argues with Christine, he has what has been calculated as roughly a 24.5-day beard. When Strange arrives in Kamar-Taj, he has what has been calculated as roughly a 48.8125-day beard.
 * How far apart does this place them, ideally?: 48.8125 - 24.5 = 24.31250 days.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Beard. Value: 50.
 * Absolute shortest interpretation: If Strange's beard grows very fast, 24.3125 × 0.45 = 10.94063 days. It's evening to evening, so the first .0 days after this is 11.0 days.
 * Shortest possible interpretation: As established above, the man with the particularly fast beard grows it in 0.53914 × the average beard time calculated. 24.3125 × 0.53914 = 13.10784 days. The first .0 days after this is 14.0 days.
 * Shortest realistic interpretation: Halfway between the particularly fast beard and average, (13.10784 + 24.3125) ÷ 2 = 18.71017 days. The first .0 days after this is 19.0 days.
 * Longest realistic interpretation: If Strange's beard grows in about 2 × the time of the average, 24.3125 × 2 = 48.625 days. The first .0 days after this is 49.0 days.
 * Longest possible interpretation: If Strange's beard grows in about 3 × the time of the average, 24.3125 × 3 = 72.93750 days. The first .0 days after this is 73.0 days.
 * Absolute longest interpretation: If Strange's beard grows in about 4 × the time of the average, 24.3125 × 4 = 97.25 days. The first .0 days after this is 98.0 days.
 * (([11.0 days] × 1 + [14.0 days] × 2 + [19.0 days] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([49.0 days] × 4 + [73.0 days] × 2 + [98.0 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = 16.42857 days to 62.85714 days = 46:10:17.14080 days of leniency. 24.31250 days, weight 50 ÷ [46 + ([10 + ([17.14080] ÷ 60)] ÷ 24)] = 1.07692.

Overall Result
24.31250 days. Weight 1.07692.

DOCTOR STRANGE BLOCK 4 (KATHMANDU) → BLOCK 5 (ASTRAL STRUGGLE 1)
NO MATTER HOW MANY MONTHS PASS
 * Strange says, "No matter how many months pass."
 * How far apart does this place them, ideally?: Middle of below established shortest and longest interpretations.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Dialogue, inspired canon comic so × 0.075. Value: 1000 × 0.075 = 75.
 * Absolute shortest interpretation: It has to be at the very least 2 complete months for him to be saying this, meaning this is at the very minimum his 61st day of training, 61 days since he arrived in Kathmandu.
 * Shortest possible interpretation: "No matter how many months pass" suggests it's been at least 3 months for Strange, meaning this is at the very minimum his 91st day of training, 91 days since he arrived in Kathmandu.
 * Shortest realistic interpretation: "No matter how many months pass" suggests it's been several months. It has to at least be the 4th month after he arrived. At the latest, he began training on a 31st, meaning he arrived on a 30th, and so it's been minimum 1 + 30 + 31 + 30 + 1 = 93 days since he arrived in Kathmandu.
 * Longest realistic interpretation: 9 months seems to be the maximum realistically when referring to months, ¾ of the way to 1 year (in this case it's a regular 365-day year). 9 × (365 ÷ 12) = 273.75 days.
 * Longest possible interpretation: 11 months is the absolute maximum before it becomes a year. Assuming rounding, it has to be 1 day before 11.5 months maximum, 11.5 × (365 ÷ 12) - 1 = 348.79167 days.
 * Absolute longest interpretation: Strange is referring to it being still "months" as in it hasn't yet become "years". Just under 23.5 months in regular years is the absolute maximum then, 23.5 × (365 ÷ 12) - 1 = 713.79167 days.
 * (([61 days] × 1 + [91 days] × 2 + [93 days] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([273.75 days] × 4 + [348.79167 days] × 2 + [713.79167 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = 87.85714 days to 358.05357 days = 270:04:42.85920 days of leniency. ([87.85714 days] + [358.05357 days]) ÷ 2 = 222.95536 days, weight 75 ÷ [270 + ([4 + ([42.85920] ÷ 60)] ÷ 24)] = 0.27758.

Overall Result
222.95536 days. Weight 0.27758.

DOCTOR STRANGE BLOCK 4 (KATHMANDU) → BLOCK 6 (ASTRAL STRUGGLE 2)
EVEN AFTER SO MANY MONTHS
 * Grem says, "Even after so many months."
 * How far apart does this place them, ideally?: Middle of below established shortest and longest interpretations.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Dialogue, inspired canon comic so × 0.075. Value: 1000 × 0.075 = 75.
 * Absolute shortest interpretation: It has to be at the very least 2 complete months for him to be saying this, meaning this is at the very minimum his 61st day of training, 61 days since he arrived in Kathmandu.
 * Shortest possible interpretation: "No matter how many months pass" suggests it's been at least 3 months for Strange, meaning this is at the very minimum his 91st day of training, 91 days since he arrived in Kathmandu.
 * Shortest realistic interpretation: "No matter how many months pass" suggests it's been several months. It has to at least be the 4th month after he arrived. At the latest, he began training on a 31st, meaning he arrived on a 30th, and so it's been minimum 1 + 30 + 31 + 30 + 1 = 93 days since he arrived in Kathmandu.
 * Longest realistic interpretation: 9 months seems to be the maximum realistically when referring to months, ¾ of the way to 1 year (in this case it's a regular 365-day year). 9 × (365 ÷ 12) = 273.75 days.
 * Longest possible interpretation: 11 months is the absolute maximum before it becomes a year. Assuming rounding, it has to be 1 day before 11.5 months maximum, 11.5 × (365 ÷ 12) - 1 = 348.79167 days.
 * Absolute longest interpretation: Grem is referring to it being still "months" as in it hasn't yet become "years". Just under 23.5 months in regular years is the absolute maximum then, 23.5 × (365 ÷ 12) - 1 = 713.79167 days.
 * (([61 days] × 1 + [91 days] × 2 + [93 days] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([273.75 days] × 4 + [348.79167 days] × 2 + [713.79167 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = 87.85714 days to 358.05357 days = 270:04:42.85920 days of leniency. ([87.85714 days] + [358.05357 days]) ÷ 2 = 222.95536 days, weight 75 ÷ [270 + ([4 + ([42.85920] ÷ 60)] ÷ 24)] = 0.27758.

Overall Result
222.95536 days. Weight 0.27758.

DOCTOR STRANGE BLOCK 4 (KATHMANDU) → BLOCK 8 (CLIMAX)
MADS MIKKELSEN
 * Mads Mikkelsen said that when Kaecilius and Strange first fight, Strange has been training for 9 months.
 * Where does this place it, ideally?: 1 day to beginning training + 9 × (365 ÷ 12) + 1 day to ending = 275.75 days.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Cast statement. Value: 100.
 * Absolute shortest interpretation: He's rounding to the nearest 3 months and it's actually 7.5 months, 1 + 7.5 × (365 ÷ 12) + 1 = 230.125 days.
 * Shortest possible interpretation: 9 calendar months, which is minimum 8 months + 1 day, 1 + 8 × (365 ÷ 12) + 1 + 1 = 246.33333 days.
 * Shortest realistic interpretation: Hard to know if 8.5 months, rounded, or 8 calendar months is the shortest. 8.5 months would give 1 + 8.5 × (365 ÷ 12) + 1 = 260.54167 days. So the middle of the two is ([246.33333 days] + [260.54167 days]) ÷ 2 = 253.43750 days.
 * Latest realistic interpretation: Hard to know if 1 day under 9.5 months, rounded, or 9 calendar months is the longest. 9.5 months would give 1 + 9.5 × (365 ÷ 12) - 1 + 1 = 289.95833 days. 9 calendar months would give maximum 10 months - 1 day, 1 + 10 × (365 ÷ 12) - 1 + 1 = 305.16667 days. So the middle of the two is ([289.95833 days] + [305.16667 days]) ÷ 2 = 297.56250 days.
 * Latest possible interpretation: 9 calendar months, which has been established as maximum 305.16667 days.
 * Absolute latest interpretation: He's rounding to the nearest 3 months and it's actually 1 less than 10.5 months, 1 + 10.5 × (365 ÷ 12) - 1 + 1 = 320.375 days.
 * (([230.125 days] × 1 + [246.33333 days] × 2 + [253.43750 days] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([297.56250 days] × 4 + [305.16667 days] × 2 + [320.375 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = 248.07738 days to 302.99405 days = 54:22:00 days of leniency. 275.75 days, weight 100 ÷ [54 + ([22 + ([0] ÷ 60)] ÷ 24)] = 1.31579.

Overall Result
275.75 days. Weight 1.31579.

DOCTOR STRANGE BLOCK 6 (ASTRAL STRUGGLE 2) → BLOCK 7 (ASTRAL SUCCESS/RELICS)
DAYS? WEEKS? MONTHS?
 * Strange isn't sure how much time is passing - "Days? Weeks? Months?"
 * Where does this place it, ideally?: The middle of these is weeks. This is minimum possible 8 days (2nd week after), minimum 14 days, ([8 days] × 1 + [14 days] × 2) ÷ 3 = 12 days. Maximum 1 day from turning to "1 month" (regular year), (365 ÷ 12) - 1 = 29.41667 days. Maximum possible 1 day from turning to "2 months" (regular year), (365 ÷ 12) × 2 - 1 = 59.83333 days. Maximum ([29.41667 days] × 2 + [59.83333 days] × 1) ÷ 3 = 39.55556 days. The middle of these two is ([12 days] + [39.55556 days]) ÷ 2 = 25.77778 days.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Dialogue, inspired canon comic so × 0.075. Value: 1000 × 0.075 = 75.
 * Absolute shortest interpretation: Days is absolute minimum 2 days.
 * Shortest possible interpretation: For him to wonder if it's at least weeks, it has to be at least 7 days.
 * Shortest realistic interpretation: The middle of the three considered is weeks, for which the minimum realistic is 14 days.
 * Longest realistic interpretation: The middle of the three considered is weeks, for which the maximum realistic is 1 day before it becomes 1 month, (365 ÷ 12) - 1 = 29.41667 days.
 * Longest possible interpretation: For him to wonder if it's days or weeks, it cannot be more than the minimum for months, 2 months, (365 ÷ 12) × 2 - 1 59.83333 days.
 * Absolute longest interpretation: Months is absolute maximum before it turns to "years", just before 23.5 months. (365 ÷ 12) × 23.5 - 1 = 713.79167 days.
 * (([2 days] × 1 + [7 days] × 2 + [14 days] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([29.41667 days] × 4 + [59.83333 days] × 2 + [713.79167 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = 10.28571 days to 135.875 days = 125:14:08.57760 days of leniency. 25.77778 days, weight 75 ÷ [125 + ([14 + ([8.57760] ÷ 60)] ÷ 24)] = 0.59718.

Overall Result
25.77778 days. Weight 0.59718.

DOCTOR STRANGE BLOCK 7 (ASTRAL SUCCESS/RELICS) → BLOCK 8 (CLIMAX)
YOU ONCE TOLD ME
 * Strange says to Mordo, "You told me once to fight as if my life depended on it, because one day, it might." The dialogue implies it's been a while since Mordo said that.
 * Where does this place it, ideally?: To refer to something as "once", I would say it's likely been years. Considering Strange's crash is February 2, 2016 and so his arrival in Kamar-Taj absolutely cannot be any earlier than April 2016, and the climax has to be before April 4, 2017, plus at least a few weeks have passed by the relic training, it is absolute maximum 11 months, 11 × (365 ÷ 12) = 334.58333 days.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Very imprecise dialogue, films. Value: 250.
 * Absolute shortest interpretation: Technically, it could simply be yesterday, 1 day.
 * Shortest possible interpretation: It should be at the very least about 3 weeks, 21 days.
 * Shortest realistic interpretation: Realistically, for something to have been said "once", it should be about 3 months minimum (regular year), 3 × (365 ÷ 12) = 91.25 days.
 * Latest realistic interpretation: Considering Strange's crash is February 2, 2016 and so his arrival in Kamar-Taj absolutely cannot be any earlier than April 2016, and the climax has to be before April 4, 2017, plus at least a few weeks have passed by the relic training, it is absolute maximum 11 months, 11 × (365 ÷ 12) = 334.58333 days.
 * Latest possible interpretation: Same, 334.58333 days.
 * Absolute latest interpretation: Same, 334.58333 days.
 * (([1 day] × 1 + [21 days] × 2 + [91.25 days] × 4) ÷ 7) to (([334.58333 days] × 4 + [334.58333 days] × 2 + [334.58333 days] × 1) ÷ 7) = 58.28571 days to 334.58333 days = 276:07:08.57280 days of leniency. 334.58333 days, weight 250 ÷ [276 + ([7 + ([8.57280] ÷ 60)] ÷ 24)] = 0.90482.

Collected Evidence

 * Doctor Strange Block 1 (Opening)
 * September 27, 2015 07:57.25 UTC. Weight 1.76622.
 * Doctor Strange Block 3 (Argument)
 * March 14, 2016 14:13.32156 UTC. Weight 5.61214.
 * Doctor Strange Block 4 (Kathmandu)
 * June 26, 2016 08:15.72385 UTC. Weight 1.15841.
 * Doctor Strange Block 8 (Climax)
 * December 31, 2017 06:32.55509 UTC. Weight 3.76614.


 * Doctor Strange Block 1 (Opening) → Block 8 (Climax)
 * 424.92211 days. Weight 0.75431.
 * Doctor Strange Block 3 (Argument) → Block 4 (Kathmandu)
 * 24.31250 days. Weight 1.07692.

=Thor: Ragnarok= Kevin Feige specifically said, "And I think there's a presumption, "Well if the movie came out in November 2017, it must take place in November 2017" - which is not the case." This suggests that, despite real time fitting well with the film, we should simply evaluate the evidence we have to find the placement it purely gives, ignoring real time.

When the evidence is contradictory, we'd use value roughly 100 for crew statements (66.66667 for production such as visual effects and production designers, 100 for cast, 133.33333 for directors and producers), and 1000 for direct dialogue. However, when it's not contradictory, it's nice to consider the crew statements pretty much equally.

There is one piece of contradictory evidence for the placement of Thor: Ragnarok - that Brad Winderbaum said it is set roughly at the same time as Captain America: Civil War and Spider-Man: Homecoming. However, he explained clearly that he was not certain, and it was a general ballpark, and was saying that it is 2 years since Age of Ultron, whereas if we were to use the information about Civil War from the same statement, we would be dragging it back rather than Civil War, which we are considering firmly placed, forwards - plus, it seems to be based more on a timeline befitting the "8 years later", which this timeline does not currently follow, due to it causing many, many issues. Ignoring this, we are considering all the rest of the evidence as non-contradictory, and evaluating it to find the most comfortable position for the main events of Thor: Ragnarok, currently.
 * 2000 for direct dialogue. If the information traces back to only one statement, it is averaged with the number of times it is stated, as explained below.
 * 2000 for director/producer statements.
 * 1500 for cast statements.
 * 1000 for production members/set visit reports without direct quotes.

List of Evidence
THOR: RAGNAROK DIALOGUE
 * In the film, it is said, on Day 4, it is said by Thor, "Sokovia, Ultron, that was 2 years ago." Banner asks, "I've been Hulk for 2 years?", and he replies, "I'm afraid so." Banner later says he's been "trapped for 2 years inside of a monster." All three references just come from Thor - one person - saying it is 2 years, however, Marvel have included the dialogue 3 times, reinforcing it. Overall, it should count for 2 mentions, the average of 1 and 3.
 * Where does this place Thor: Ragnarok, ideally?: May 6, 2015 (when Banner turns into the Hulk at the end of Avengers: Age of Ultron) + 2 years = May 25, 2017 for Day 4, so Day 2 is May 23, 2017.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory direct dialogue. Value: 2000.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: November 28, 2016 for Day 4, so November 26, 2016.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: January 1, 2017 for Day 4, so December 30, 2016.
 * Latest realistic/possible interpretation: December 31, 2017 for Day 4, so December 29, 2017.
 * ((November 26, 2016 × 1 + December 30, 2016 × 2) ÷ 3)-December 29, 2017 = December 18.66667, 2016-December 29, 2017 = 375.33333 days of leniency. May 23, 2017, weight 2000 ÷ 375.33333 = 5.32860, × 2 = 10.65719.

BRAD WINDERBAUM MARVEL WEBSITE
 * ""We kind of find him as like a lone gunslinger," describes Winderbaum. "A guy who's been adventuring around the cosmos, for 2 years right at the top of our movie. So he's a more savvy version of [himself.""]
 * Where does this place Thor: Ragnarok, ideally?: May 28, 2015 (when Thor leaves at the end of Avengers: Age of Ultron) + 2 years = June 8.66667, 2017 for Day 1, so Day 2 is June 9.66667, 2017.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory producer statement. Value: 2000.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: November 28, 2016.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: January 1, 2017.
 * Latest realistic/possible interpretation: December 31, 2017.
 * ((November 28, 2016 × 1 + January 1, 2017 × 2) ÷ 3)-December 31, 2017 = December 20.66667, 2016-December 31, 2017 = 375.33333 days of leniency. June 9.66667, 2017, weight 2000 ÷ 375.33333 = 5.32860.

BRAD WINDERBAUM SCREEN RANT
 * Brad Winderbaum said, "It's not like, five minutes after Ultron ends we start this movie. It’s a couple years later..."
 * Where does this place Thor: Ragnarok, ideally?: May 28, 2015 (when Thor leaves at the end of Avengers: Age of Ultron) + a couple of years. "A couple" strictly refers to 2, but is often used to be a vague 2, sometimes a little more - on the whole, it is taken in timeline evidence as "2, maybe 3" - 2⅓ years. May 28, 2015 + 2⅓ years = August 28, 2017 for Day 1, so Day 2 is August 29, 2017.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory producer statement. Value: 2000.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: Minimum of 2 years, 1.5, November 28, 2016.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: January 1, 2017.
 * Latest realistic interpretation: December 31, 2017.
 * Latest possible interpretation: "A couple" strictly should always be less than 3, even if the quote is not from someone using "couple" correctly - May 27, 2018.
 * ((November 28, 2016 × 1 + January 1, 2017 × 2) ÷ 3)-((December 31, 2017 × 2 + May 27, 2018 × 1) ÷ 3) = December 20.66667, 2016-February 18, 2018 = 424.33333 days of leniency. August 29, 2017, weight 2000 ÷ 424.33333 = 4.71328.

COMIC-CON MARK RUFFALO
 * Mark Ruffalo said, "He's been Hulk for 2 years, so he has a vocab of a 2-year-old. We're going to have a speaking Hulk."
 * Where does this place Thor: Ragnarok, ideally?: May 6, 2015 (when Banner turns into the Hulk at the end of Avengers: Age of Ultron) + 2 years = May 25, 2017.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory cast statement. Value: 1500.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: November 6, 2016.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: January 1, 2017.
 * Latest realistic/possible interpretation: December 31, 2017.
 * ((November 6, 2016 × 1 + January 1, 2017 × 2) ÷ 3)-December 31, 2017 = December 13.33333, 2016-December 31, 2017 = 382.66667 days of leniency. May 25, 2017, weight 1500 ÷ 382.66667 = 3.91986.

MARK RUFFALO EMPIRE
 * Mark Ruffalo said, "When we find him, he's been Hulk for 2 years [... and now he's the gladiator champion of Sakaar, so he's enjoying quite a bit of fame and adulation."]
 * Where does this place Thor: Ragnarok, ideally?: May 6, 2015 (when Banner turns into the Hulk at the end of Avengers: Age of Ultron) + 2 years = May 25, 2017.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory cast statement. Value: 1500.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: November 6, 2016.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: January 1, 2017.
 * Latest realistic/possible interpretation: December 31, 2017.
 * ((November 6, 2016 × 1 + January 1, 2017 × 2) ÷ 3)-December 31, 2017 = December 13.33333, 2016-December 31, 2017 = 382.66667 days of leniency. May 25, 2017, weight 1500 ÷ 382.66667 = 3.91986.

MARK RUFFALO MARVEL YOUTUBE
 * When asked, "And what kind of state is he in when he finally does transform back into Banner?", Mark Ruffalo said, "He's been in the trunk of the Hulk for 2 years."
 * Where does this place Thor: Ragnarok, ideally?: May 6, 2015 (when Banner turns into the Hulk at the end of Avengers: Age of Ultron) + 2 years = May 25, 2017 for Day 4, so May 23, 2017.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory cast statement. Value: 1500.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: November 6, 2016 for Day 4, so November 4, 2016.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: January 1, 2017 for Day 4, so December 30, 2016.
 * Latest realistic/possible interpretation: December 31, 2017 for Day 4, so December 29, 2017.
 * ((November 4, 2016 × 1 + December 30, 2016 × 2) ÷ 3)-December 29, 2017 = December 11.33333, 2016-December 29, 2017 = 382.66667 days of leniency. May 23, 2017, weight 1500 ÷ 382.66667 = 3.91986.

TOM HIDDLESTON
 * Tom Hiddleston said, "It's been 4 years since Thor: The Dark World, and Loki is pretending to be Odin."
 * Where does this place Thor: Ragnarok, ideally?: November 17, 2013 (the end of Thor: The Dark World + 4 years = October 2, 2017 for Day 1, so Day 2, the middle, is October 3, 2017.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory cast statement. Value: 1500.
 * Earliest possible/realistic interpretation: January 1, 2017 for Day 1, so January 2, 2017.
 * Latest realistic interpretation: December 31, 2017 for Day 1, so January 1, 2018.
 * Latest possible interpretation: May 16, 2018 for Day 1 so May 17, 2018.
 * January 2, 2017-((January 1, 2018 × 2 + May 17, 2018 × 1) ÷ 3) = January 2, 2017-February 15.33333, 2018 = 409.33333 days of leniency. October 3, 2017, weight 1500 ÷ 409.33333 = 3.66450.

JAKE MORRISON SCREEN RANT
 * Visual effects supervisor Jake Morrison said, "So we figured if Ruffalo's going to be delivering the lines, why not say because he was trapped in the back of Hulk's mind for 2 years that a little bit of him didn't leak out, maybe, and maybe that’s why he can speak a little bit and maybe, just maybe, that means he might look a little but more like Ruffalo."
 * Where does this place Thor: Ragnarok, ideally?: May 6, 2015 (when Banner turns into the Hulk at the end of Avengers: Age of Ultron) + 2 years = May 25, 2017.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory production member statement. Value: 1000.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: November 6, 2016.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: January 1, 2017.
 * Latest realistic/possible interpretation: December 31, 2017.
 * ((November 6, 2016 × 1 + January 1, 2017 × 2) ÷ 3)-December 31, 2017 = December 13.33333, 2016-December 31, 2017 = 382.66667 days of leniency. May 25, 2017, weight 1000 ÷ 382.66667 = 2.61324.

COLLIDER SET VISIT
 * Collider reported from their set visit that "in Sakaar, Hulk has been in 'Hulk-form' for 2 years straight."
 * Where does this place Thor: Ragnarok, ideally?: May 6, 2015 (when Banner turns into the Hulk at the end of Avengers: Age of Ultron) + 2 years = May 25, 2017.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory set visit. Value: 1000.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: November 6, 2016.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: January 1, 2017.
 * Latest realistic/possible interpretation: December 31, 2017.
 * ((November 6, 2016 × 1 + January 1, 2017 × 2) ÷ 3)-December 31, 2017 = December 13.33333, 2016-December 31, 2017 = 382.66667 days of leniency. May 25, 2017, weight 1000 ÷ 382.66667 = 2.61324.

DAN HENNAH NERDIST
 * Production designer Dan Hennah said, "He's been Hulk for 2 years."
 * Where does this place Thor: Ragnarok, ideally?: May 6, 2015 (when Banner turns into the Hulk at the end of Avengers: Age of Ultron) + 2 years = May 25, 2017.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory production member statement. Value: 1000.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: November 6, 2016.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: January 1, 2017.
 * Latest realistic/possible interpretation: December 31, 2017.
 * ((November 6, 2016 × 1 + January 1, 2017 × 2) ÷ 3)-December 31, 2017 = December 13.33333, 2016-December 31, 2017 = 382.66667 days of leniency. May 25, 2017, weight 1000 ÷ 382.66667 = 2.61324.

JAKE MORRISON THE VERGE
 * Visual effects supervisor Jake Morrison said, "Okay, if Banner's been trapped inside the Hulk for the last 2 years, they've probably morphed a bit more, and there's a pretty good reason that the Hulk should look a little bit more like Ruffalo."
 * Where does this place Thor: Ragnarok, ideally?: May 6, 2015 (when Banner turns into the Hulk at the end of Avengers: Age of Ultron) + 2 years = May 25, 2017.
 * How important/reliable is this piece of evidence?: Non-contradictory production member statement. Value: 1000.
 * Earliest possible interpretation: November 6, 2016.
 * Earliest realistic interpretation: January 1, 2017.
 * Latest realistic/possible interpretation: December 31, 2017.
 * ((November 6, 2016 × 1 + January 1, 2017 × 2) ÷ 3)-December 31, 2017 = December 13.33333, 2016-December 31, 2017 = 382.66667 days of leniency. May 25, 2017, weight 1000 ÷ 382.66667 = 2.61324.

Overall Result

 * May 23, 2017, weight 10.65719.
 * June 9.66667, 2017, weight 5.32860.
 * August 29, 2017, weight 4.71328.
 * May 25, 2017, weight 3.91986.
 * May 25, 2017, weight 3.91986.
 * May 23, 2017, weight 3.91986.
 * October 3, 2017, weight 3.66450.
 * May 25, 2017, weight 2.61324.
 * May 25, 2017, weight 2.61324.
 * May 25, 2017, weight 2.61324.
 * May 25, 2017, weight 2.61324.

(May 23, 2017 × 10.65719 + June 9.66667, 2017 × 5.32860 + August 29, 2017 × 4.71328 + May 25, 2017 × 3.91986 + May 25, 2017 × 3.91986 + May 23, 2017 × 3.91986 + October 3, 2017 × 3.66450 + May 25, 2017 × 2.61324 + May 25, 2017 × 2.61324 + May 25, 2017 × 2.61324 + May 25, 2017 × 2.61324) ÷ (10.65719 + 5.32860 + 4.71328 + 3.91986 + 3.91986 + 3.91986 + 3.66450 + 2.61324 + 2.61324 + 2.61324 + 2.61324) = June 15.18794, 2017. Therefore, June 15, 2017 for Day 2, the middle of the film, so the film is, as of right now, June 14-18, 2017.

Events of Thor: Ragnarok have been written and placed on their respective pages.

=Black Panther=

Past Dates
Events of Black Panther Past Dates have been written on their respectives pages.

To see the exact calculations check here

=Avengers: Infinity War= To be added

=Ant-Man and the Wasp= To be added